TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Arsenal FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$29,926
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$31,235

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,926 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No50c4,150$2,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,054.416,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8bb0…ca79backed Yes51c2,855$1,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,455.960%0 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No50c2,485$1,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,236.214,76841.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c16…4d41backed Yes50c2,377$1,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,189.14366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+22.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No50c1,746$869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$877.432,55847.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff91…2d75backed Yes51c1,730$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882.15425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-47.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6dd…40cebacked No44c1,607$707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.671172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.24per pick49cpaid+35.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4738…4687backed Yes51c1,503$767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$766.773444.1%15 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes52c1,404$736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735.5961143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf294…7967backed Yes50c1,287$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.654731.9%15 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No49c1,280$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.0996443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7402…8020backed Yes46c1,156$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.21742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf63a…90e6backed No47c1,127$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.7771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+28.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed No50c1,097$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.394656.5%26 W · 20 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No49c847.01$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.791,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No49c814.03$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.1626444.7%118 W · 146 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4009150.5%46 W · 45 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e5e…7315backed No50c572.92$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.461650%8 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b09…13d3backed Yes51c570.94$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.183141.9%13 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-19.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb22a…a80dbacked No73c357.81$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.79683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick60cpaid+35%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No49c339.93$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.3641850.7%212 W · 206 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d56…ffa7backed Yes58c335.85$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.79250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe84a…702dbacked Yes50c291$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.52748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes53c289.06$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.237342.6%159 W · 214 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No48c272.96$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.941,04433.3%348 W · 696 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked No51c271.42$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.811,93842.5%823 W · 1,115 L-41.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No49c269.72$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.6156051.4%288 W · 272 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6b9…de6dbacked No47c257.68$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.6612652.4%66 W · 60 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+11.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9531…18ffbacked Yes45c234.23$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.44050%20 W · 20 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+14.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No44c223.97$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.441,69034.9%589 W · 1,101 L-33.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Yes50c206.13$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.0619244.3%85 W · 107 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x78d7…1273backed Yes42c204.53$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98f7…d028backed No60c201.56$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.621275%9 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+22%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1871…59e6backed Yes55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11013651.5%70 W · 66 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ac0…1497backed Yes50c194$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb03…9732backed No50c194$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$977847.4%37 W · 41 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5db…f982backed Yes50c194$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9712741.7%53 W · 74 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5445…439ebacked Yes50c194$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5782…8ce5backed Yes46c193.52$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.021656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f2b…d743backed Yes51c193.24$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.557233.3%24 W · 48 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No50c162.13$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.2559847.7%285 W · 313 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8796…c744backed Yes50c151$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.52941.4%12 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4bb…4645backed Yes40c150$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601450%7 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes53c150$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.57439.2%29 W · 45 L-6.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-24.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes50c143.99$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.3711954.6%65 W · 54 L-0.6wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba97…716bbacked Yes40c139.99$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-38.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No50c134$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6727752.3%145 W · 132 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked No47c134$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.3715137.7%57 W · 94 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes50c130.57$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.2869851.1%357 W · 341 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked No51c127.51$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.482941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No50c126.71$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.361,24042.2%523 W · 717 L-29.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Yes50c122.08$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.0442862.4%267 W · 161 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes50c121.22$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.6134628.6%99 W · 247 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89e6…5501backed No46c117.31$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.351747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+43.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f2c…9d16backed Yes25c114.6$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.653336.4%12 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6eeb…f331backed No45c111.56$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.46520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-55.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x389a…cf3dbacked Yes50c111.28$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.644753.2%25 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb229…8e56backed Yes59c107.29$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.340%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes52c107.04$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.491,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc556…958dbacked Yes50c104.76$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.3810940.4%44 W · 65 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x73ad…fb53backed Yes54c104.32$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.331266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+43.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x806a…62d7backed Yes56c100.84$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.474535.6%16 W · 29 L-4.9wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-26%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked No46c99.99$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5419834.8%69 W · 129 L-17.3wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-26.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1306…c689backed Yes50c97$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.56144.3%27 W · 34 L-5.5wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xce27…8a7dbacked Yes50c97$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.53129%9 W · 22 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d39…a4fbbacked Yes50c97$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.54835.4%17 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid+18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09d4…5f81backed Yes31c95.86$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.72540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed No49c94.1$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.1416024.4%39 W · 121 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-31.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x18c9…e02fbacked Yes53c93.29$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.45837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-37.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes54c90.04$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.628354.2%45 W · 38 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x014c…38ccbacked Yes54c89.59$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.389957.6%57 W · 42 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+15.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x399c…6191backed Yes32c89.54$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.782147.6%10 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4148…4397backed Yes59c82.66$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.773743.2%16 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Yes55c81.18$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.6510221.6%22 W · 80 L-0.1wins0.00per pick22cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No49c78.23$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.981053.6%434 W · 376 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0c8…fd06backed Yes47c72.1$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8adc…6b14backed Yes50c67.76$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9517755.9%99 W · 78 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2617…4129backed Yes55c62.09$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.053633.3%12 W · 24 L-6.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-31.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed No50c62.07$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.158144.4%36 W · 45 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2059…4d1fbacked Yes51c60.9$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.061643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+3.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed Yes50c57.65$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.113363.6%21 W · 12 L+4.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+25.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x67d2…a008backed Yes51c57.09$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1213550.4%68 W · 67 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce69…1bd2backed No49c52.45$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+103%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes50c50.9$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4582763%521 W · 306 L+113.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes50c48.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2514844.6%66 W · 82 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e5b…292bbacked Yes50c48.48$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.241353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1a6…4791backed Yes59c47.94$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.29366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f9e…4c57backed Yes23c47.69$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.975313.2%7 W · 46 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbfb…3ac1backed Yes51c47.58$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ca0…cb82backed Yes53c45.84$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.35433.3%18 W · 36 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-3.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed No57c43.26$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.418549.4%42 W · 43 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x45d2…3275backed Yes46c42.07$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.352832.1%9 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-33.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5421…f713backed Yes25c42.02$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.511442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe24f…d68abacked No47c41.2$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.842638.5%10 W · 16 L-3.7wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-24.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xeca6…08ffbacked No48c40.41$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.011850%9 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+36.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Yes50c38.8$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.420336.9%75 W · 128 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ed9…b344backed Yes50c38.61$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid+13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dbd…ceeabacked Yes51c38.06$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.411040%4 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick65cpaid-46%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5be1…3371backed Yes51c38.06$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.412846.4%13 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a03…279abacked No51c37.36$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.13450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.