Premier League · resolved market
Arsenal FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b40de8477613224c1cf090e4f0f436df5fec3fbbad0e6117975b66ce1edb726
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,926
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,235
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,926 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 50c | 4,150$2,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,054.41 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb0…ca79backed Yes | 51c | 2,855$1,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,455.9 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 50c | 2,485$1,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,236.21 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c16…4d41backed Yes | 50c | 2,377$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 50c | 1,746$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.43 | 2,558 | 47.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff91…2d75backed Yes | 51c | 1,730$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6dd…40cebacked No | 44c | 1,607$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.67 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…4687backed Yes | 51c | 1,503$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.77 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 52c | 1,404$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.59 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…7967backed Yes | 50c | 1,287$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.65 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 49c | 1,280$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.09 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7402…8020backed Yes | 46c | 1,156$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.21 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf63a…90e6backed No | 47c | 1,127$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.7 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed No | 50c | 1,097$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.39 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 49c | 847.01$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.79 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 49c | 814.03$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.16 | 264 | 44.7%118 W · 146 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed No | 50c | 572.92$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.46 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b09…13d3backed Yes | 51c | 570.94$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.18 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb22a…a80dbacked No | 73c | 357.81$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.79 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 60cpaid | +35%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 49c | 339.93$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.36 | 418 | 50.7%212 W · 206 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d56…ffa7backed Yes | 58c | 335.85$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…702dbacked Yes | 50c | 291$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.5 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes | 53c | 289.06$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.2 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 48c | 272.96$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.94 | 1,044 | 33.3%348 W · 696 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 51c | 271.42$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.81 | 1,938 | 42.5%823 W · 1,115 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 49c | 269.72$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.61 | 560 | 51.4%288 W · 272 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked No | 47c | 257.68$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.66 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9531…18ffbacked Yes | 45c | 234.23$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.4 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 44c | 223.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.44 | 1,690 | 34.9%589 W · 1,101 L | -33.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 50c | 206.13$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.06 | 192 | 44.3%85 W · 107 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78d7…1273backed Yes | 42c | 204.53$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98f7…d028backed No | 60c | 201.56$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.62 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac0…1497backed Yes | 50c | 194$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb03…9732backed No | 50c | 194$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5db…f982backed Yes | 50c | 194$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5445…439ebacked Yes | 50c | 194$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5782…8ce5backed Yes | 46c | 193.52$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.02 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Yes | 51c | 193.24$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.55 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 50c | 162.13$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.25 | 598 | 47.7%285 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8796…c744backed Yes | 50c | 151$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.5 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bb…4645backed Yes | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes | 53c | 150$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 50c | 143.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.37 | 119 | 54.6%65 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba97…716bbacked Yes | 40c | 139.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 50c | 134$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 277 | 52.3%145 W · 132 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 47c | 134$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.37 | 151 | 37.7%57 W · 94 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 50c | 130.57$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.28 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked No | 51c | 127.51$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.48 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 50c | 126.71$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.36 | 1,240 | 42.2%523 W · 717 L | -29.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 50c | 122.08$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.04 | 428 | 62.4%267 W · 161 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 50c | 121.22$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.61 | 346 | 28.6%99 W · 247 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89e6…5501backed No | 46c | 117.31$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.35 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Yes | 25c | 114.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eeb…f331backed No | 45c | 111.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.46 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x389a…cf3dbacked Yes | 50c | 111.28$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.64 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb229…8e56backed Yes | 59c | 107.29$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.3 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 52c | 107.04$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.49 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…958dbacked Yes | 50c | 104.76$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.38 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73ad…fb53backed Yes | 54c | 104.32$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.33 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x806a…62d7backed Yes | 56c | 100.84$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.47 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked No | 46c | 99.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 198 | 34.8%69 W · 129 L | -17.3wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1306…c689backed Yes | 50c | 97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce27…8a7dbacked Yes | 50c | 97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d39…a4fbbacked Yes | 50c | 97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09d4…5f81backed Yes | 31c | 95.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.72 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 49c | 94.1$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.14 | 160 | 24.4%39 W · 121 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18c9…e02fbacked Yes | 53c | 93.29$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.45 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes | 54c | 90.04$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.62 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Yes | 54c | 89.59$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 99 | 57.6%57 W · 42 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x399c…6191backed Yes | 32c | 89.54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.78 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…4397backed Yes | 59c | 82.66$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.77 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Yes | 55c | 81.18$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.65 | 102 | 21.6%22 W · 80 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 49c | 78.23$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 810 | 53.6%434 W · 376 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…fd06backed Yes | 47c | 72.1$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Yes | 50c | 67.76$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.95 | 177 | 55.9%99 W · 78 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2617…4129backed Yes | 55c | 62.09$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.05 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -6.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed No | 50c | 62.07$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.15 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2059…4d1fbacked Yes | 51c | 60.9$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.06 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Yes | 50c | 57.65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.11 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed Yes | 51c | 57.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce69…1bd2backed No | 49c | 52.45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 50c | 50.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.45 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes | 50c | 48.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5b…292bbacked Yes | 50c | 48.48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a6…4791backed Yes | 59c | 47.94$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed Yes | 23c | 47.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 53 | 13.2%7 W · 46 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfb…3ac1backed Yes | 51c | 47.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…cb82backed Yes | 53c | 45.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed No | 57c | 43.26$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.41 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d2…3275backed Yes | 46c | 42.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5421…f713backed Yes | 25c | 42.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24f…d68abacked No | 47c | 41.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeca6…08ffbacked No | 48c | 40.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.01 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 203 | 36.9%75 W · 128 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed9…b344backed Yes | 50c | 38.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbd…ceeabacked Yes | 51c | 38.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -46%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5be1…3371backed Yes | 51c | 38.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a03…279abacked No | 51c | 37.36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arsenal FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Arsenal FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Arsenal FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Arsenal FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Arsenal FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)Newcastle United FC won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)Newcastle United FC won
- Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)Arsenal FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.