Premier League · resolved market
Arsenal FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcdfb996d691b1dcf6afe648bd1a21c685e9052297bab7829830b85b009e5c2bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $276,894
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $279,023
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $276,894 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 197 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f28…266ebacked Over | 57c | 119,108$67,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67,758.3 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 67cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 43c | 71,814$30,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,933.89 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Under | 53c | 51,040$27,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,988.82 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Under | 43c | 37,948$16,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,630.64 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Over | 47c | 31,349$14,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,781.87 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05f6…8cecbacked Over | 56c | 18,992$10,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,635.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 9,321$4,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,640.93 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 44c | 5,363$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,012.44 | 2,530 | 47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L | +43.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 44c | 4,015$1,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,248.62 | 107 | 65.4%70 W · 37 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 43c | 3,923$1,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,216.96 | 1,179 | 50%590 W · 589 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 44c | 3,866$1,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,164.74 | 183 | 62.3%114 W · 69 L | +17.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae4…0ddebacked Over | 77c | 3,845$2,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,950.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x820a…ca12backed Under | 53c | 3,680$1,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,731.25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Over | 57c | 3,464$1,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,974.2 | 205 | 45.4%93 W · 112 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…5058backed Over | 60c | 3,186$1,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,895.9 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 39c | 2,889$1,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,126.9 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf07…e601backed Over | 48c | 2,646$1,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,272.67 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 45c | 2,554$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160.72 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 57c | 2,393$1,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,363.88 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…610cbacked Under | 43c | 2,330$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,328.09 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 41c | 2,318$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,368.6 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 56c | 2,200$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240.39 | 553 | 51.9%287 W · 266 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…dd0ebacked Under | 44c | 2,196$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.96 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Over | 18c | 1,903$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.45 | 63 | 17.5%11 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 32c | 1,830$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,252.1 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Under | 44c | 1,734$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.12 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 46c | 1,733$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.23 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…433bbacked Over | 57c | 1,709$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.2 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 44c | 1,609$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.83 | 578 | 47.8%276 W · 302 L | +18.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 43c | 1,336$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.51 | 277 | 52.3%145 W · 132 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Over | 60c | 1,330$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Under | 44c | 1,318$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.98 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 59c | 1,215$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.04 | 264 | 44.7%118 W · 146 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…c691backed Under | 40c | 1,157$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.08 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09f1…8332backed Under | 52c | 1,056$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 48c | 1,009$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.4 | 200 | 54.5%109 W · 91 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 47c | 1,008$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.97 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbd…d6f0backed Over | 47c | 1,008$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 44c | 939.74$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.25 | 406 | 55.2%224 W · 182 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 44c | 820.21$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.89 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 44c | 801.15$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.64 | 292 | 50%146 W · 146 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b37…17bdbacked Under | 44c | 746.76$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.19 | 101 | 25.7%26 W · 75 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e61…19bdbacked Under | 44c | 712.24$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.85 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 53c | 611.33$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.01 | 755 | 42.3%319 W · 436 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…f7a1backed Over | 57c | 610.41$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.94 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…ff71backed Over | 41c | 600$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 44c | 585.19$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.39 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 43c | 535$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.95 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 44c | 483.2$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.59 | 232 | 58.2%135 W · 97 L | +13.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfc…07b0backed Over | 57c | 427.81$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.85 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 67cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb503…7552backed Over | 48c | 409.72$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.67 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0351…ab88backed Over | 57c | 398.19$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.97 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 40cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 38c | 359.9$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.9 | 697 | 42.5%296 W · 401 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 27c | 343.38$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.6 | 452 | 49.6%224 W · 228 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Over | 29c | 330.14$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.74 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f6…da6bbacked Over | 45c | 330.14$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6982…a165backed Under | 76c | 318.36$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.41 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf45…c794backed Under | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 55c | 299.97$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.99 | 306 | 45.8%140 W · 166 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 46c | 299.81$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.99 | 1,923 | 42.4%815 W · 1,108 L | -42.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 44c | 294.87$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.13 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked Under | 41c | 282.32$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.57 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 4c | 275.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 188 | 42.6%80 W · 108 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Over | 18c | 264.11$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.54 | 192 | 44.3%85 W · 107 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cad…0758backed Over | 57c | 256.37$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.13 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Over | 56c | 239.79$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.28 | 164 | 54.9%90 W · 74 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 44c | 236.58$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.49 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 50c | 235.95$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.25 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 59c | 230.12$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.77 | 1,615 | 34.9%564 W · 1,051 L | -28.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Under | 43c | 224.6$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.02 | 122 | 33.6%41 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Under | 44c | 220.34$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.39 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…0a8cbacked Under | 44c | 219.63$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.99 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 47c | 206$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.82 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d71…8da4backed Under | 42c | 203.87$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.24 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 135 | 54.8%74 W · 61 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed Over | 37c | 199.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…edcabacked Under | 44c | 197.67$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.7 | 170 | 48.8%83 W · 87 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc952…3c89backed Over | 55c | 197.26$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.49 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…97b8backed Under | 53c | 197.14$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.66 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…763bbacked Under | 43c | 174.39$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.4 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Over | 56c | 173.86$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.36 | 177 | 55.9%99 W · 78 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3771…5023backed Over | 57c | 172.29$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.39 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 41c | 171.69$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.61 | 329 | 51.4%169 W · 160 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 57c | 170.91$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.42 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecd5…a3a2backed Over | 57c | 170.91$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.42 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb821…5cddbacked Over | 57c | 167.55$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.5 | 112 | 65.2%73 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51af…8720backed Over | 47c | 158.54$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.51 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa64c…34f2backed Under | 75c | 147.75$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.94 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee09…1199backed Over | 57c | 143.06$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.2 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Under | 72c | 136.56$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.24 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc8…6875backed Under | 33c | 132.63$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.86 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +4.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked Over | 14c | 131.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Under | 44c | 125.63$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.35 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | +12.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Over | 48c | 121.1$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.13 | 79 | 31.6%25 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…899dbacked Under | 44c | 115.64$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.76 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +70%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93ff…84d1backed Over | 54c | 111.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.35 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x840d…3708backed Under | 44c | 103.21$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.8 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0514…def7backed Over | 47c | 103$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.41 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.4wins | -0.37per pick | 60cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 48c | 100.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.44 | 203 | 36.9%75 W · 128 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked Over | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 114 | 33.3%38 W · 76 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arsenal FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Arsenal FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Arsenal FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Arsenal FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Arsenal FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)Newcastle United FC won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)Newcastle United FC won
- Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)Arsenal FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.