TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will FC Nantes win on 2026-05-01?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$129,578
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$148,147

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,578 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x83d2…d196backed Yes23c58,756$13,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,259.093557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked No76c15,000$11,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,399.972437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No24c11,910$2,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,860.491,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes24c10,131$2,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,699.5413348.9%65 W · 68 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No77c8,000$6,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,1606347.6%30 W · 33 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No64c7,392$4,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,703.491,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No77c7,217$5,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,564.8452550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No77c6,000$4,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,6204548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked No77c5,327$4,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,101.64252.4%22 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No77c3,500$2,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6955151%26 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid+0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No77c3,000$2,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3105151%26 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No29c2,007$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.8418046.7%84 W · 96 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No77c2,000$1,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5403250%16 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x033a…fc42backed No77c1,694$1,304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,304.351050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+42.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc079…8accbacked No76c1,630$1,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,238.83627.8%10 W · 26 L-5.6wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes24c1,540$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1706141%25 W · 36 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No77c1,300$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0015251.9%27 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No77c1,300$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0014854.2%26 W · 22 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No77c1,200$918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91830448%146 W · 158 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x76be…120ebacked Yes21c1,189$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939.252040%8 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No79c1,118$883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$883.3312738.6%49 W · 78 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed No60c1,025$618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.284231%13 W · 29 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-32.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No77c1,000$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7704548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No77c900$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6934951%25 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f84…be62backed Yes26c826.92$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.92825%2 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+31.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed No74c805.41$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6005151%26 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No77c800$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6165251.9%27 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No77c800$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6164447.7%21 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No77c800$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6164753.2%25 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed No7c748.52$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.395846.6%27 W · 31 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes24c686.29$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.5812963.6%82 W · 47 L+12.6wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+14.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No77c584$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.683948.7%19 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No77c565.17$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.1487344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No78c541.24$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.9626354%142 W · 121 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No41c500.63$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.9648649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked No77c500$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3856654.5%36 W · 30 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked No77c500$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3856051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No77c500$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3855552.7%29 W · 26 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No77c500$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3854953.1%26 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6190…5d90backed No74c486.49$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked No77c460$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.26357.1%36 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe831…a42abacked Yes24c460$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.6650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked Yes77c445$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.794170.7%29 W · 12 L+6.3wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+54.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed No77c400$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3084847.9%23 W · 25 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdcbd…9d9ebacked Yes25c399.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x42d6…01ccbacked No75c333.33$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9212…4040backed Yes53c302.86$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.731145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-23.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed No77c300$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2315352.8%28 W · 25 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed No77c300$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2314553.3%24 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked No77c300$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2314650%23 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No37c230.78$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.9533145%149 W · 182 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13ad…241bbacked No80c229.91$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.931717.6%3 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.18per pick36cpaid-76.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Yes25c229.01$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.2112238.5%47 W · 75 L-11.1wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-24.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa46f…87c3backed No80c216$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.8757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick70cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x473e…c0f6backed No77c210$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.71414.3%2 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.21per pick36cpaid-39.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No77c209.66$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.6716644.6%74 W · 92 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea87…8066backed Yes24c208.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.331040%4 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick24cpaid+44.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No80c201.5$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.738056.6%215 W · 165 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8e8…2c0ebacked Yes20c200$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick19cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed No77c200$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1543652.8%19 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked No77c200$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1544252.4%22 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde8e…3289backed No77c200$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154862.5%5 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick75cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9bc…b282backed Yes26c187.46$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.72633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick18cpaid+115.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x024f…2df9backed Yes27c184.74$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.862100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+172.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Yes24c181$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.568644.2%38 W · 48 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Yes23c173.68$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.734751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98f7…d028backed No75c173.33$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x353c…01d9backed Yes21c166.67$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.67560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick36cpaid+96.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No76c160.1$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.685547.3%26 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No77c150$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.59954.5%54 W · 45 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe86…ec62backed No73c136.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2097…8b03backed No77c130$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.12268.2%15 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick76cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e91…1428backed No80c125$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick77cpaid-57.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6854…67d0backed No24c124.85$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.351258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Yes24c119.01$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.384427.3%12 W · 32 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No56c116.83$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.9416224.1%39 W · 123 L-13.0wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-42.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8010…04e4backed Yes28c116$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.342864.3%18 W · 10 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+32.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes23c114.09$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.7618351.4%94 W · 89 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+28.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc9f…44efbacked Yes21c106.37$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.03944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+46.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd3a…3203backed No80c103.31$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.651241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.19per pick60cpaid-34.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9fb…c51bbacked Yes19c100.15$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.12366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+117.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes58c100.04$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.2215071.3%107 W · 43 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No77c100$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.6716448.8%80 W · 84 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No39c97.72$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.496936.2%25 W · 44 L-6.1wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-28.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4060…e63cbacked Yes27c92.59$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.592040%8 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked No79c82.53$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.28250%41 W · 41 L-5.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9897…c033backed No79c82.41$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.11540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked No53c82.32$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.3914352.4%75 W · 68 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7418…251fbacked Yes58c81.83$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.753080%24 W · 6 L+7.8wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+64.7%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes21c81.01$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.3526845.9%123 W · 145 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No78c75$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.1323342.5%99 W · 134 L-11.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x95ad…4eebbacked No77c74.03$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572951.7%15 W · 14 L-4.1wins-0.14per pick66cpaid-20%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x958a…874fbacked No79c69.62$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5520%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No25c65.37$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.025042%21 W · 29 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed No75c61.46$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.12650%13 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2045…c77cbacked No80c60$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481275%9 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae45…96b9backed Yes24c58.62$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.55933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-21.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes25c56.4$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.4615951.6%82 W · 77 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No77c56$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.1246450.4%234 W · 230 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes20c55.76$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.6112647.6%60 W · 66 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.