TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will FC Nantes vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$694,467
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$881,869

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $694,467 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8ce9…b0e7backed Yes50c200,000$99,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99,331.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa58…31d6backed Yes50c125,000$61,923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61,922.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No3c77,225$2,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75,091.21,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf61f…3938backed Yes66c50,000$32,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,754.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x91e3…23bfbacked No2c44,421$737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,684.071100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.98per pick2cpaid+5,925.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No76c27,521$20,916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,604.962759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+43%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes24c18,276$4,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,386.861,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ce0…6599backed No2c9,600$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,4111136.4%4 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.22per pick14cpaid+535.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9e29…5777backed No2c9,600$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,411366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.60per pick6cpaid+1,926.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x750b…609fbacked No2c8,500$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,360633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick8cpaid+1,078.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x417e…85e4backed No1c8,000$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,900250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick6cpaid+3,900%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f4c…39c0backed No2c7,600$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,462616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick8cpaid+817.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed No4c6,426$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,168.961540%6 W · 9 L+3.7wins+0.25per pick15cpaid+869.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5886…fe3bbacked No1c5,000$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,930250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick3cpaid+3,471.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcff0…fa1abacked No4c4,700$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,503.1425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick15cpaid+496.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f70…ce77backed No4c4,700$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,503.1425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick15cpaid+496.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x845a…37acbacked No4c4,700$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,503.1333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick13cpaid+695.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2ad…795fbacked No3c4,700$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,5371100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.97per pick3cpaid+2,783.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes24c4,382$1,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,051.6287344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed Yes25c4,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008435.7%30 W · 54 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xafc4…daa1backed No2c3,300$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,233.61822.2%4 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick15cpaid+282.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57f7…ae57backed No6c3,100$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,9271030%3 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick17cpaid+179.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xedd1…45a9backed No3c3,075$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,988.751100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.97per pick3cpaid+3,465.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x78fc…8c88backed No7c3,000$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,790250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick12cpaid+614.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No75c2,706$2,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.5213348.9%65 W · 68 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked No2c2,650$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,599.7224.5%1 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick4cpaid+139.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x191a…b47dbacked No3c2,600$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,527.6633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick8cpaid+665.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x013d…0574backed No2c2,550$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,507.7425%1 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.21per pick4cpaid+1,407.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb829…4f5ebacked No2c2,550$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,507.7425%1 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick5cpaid+1,407.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0580…f78bbacked No2c2,550$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,507.7333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick5cpaid+1,909.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x196b…4151backed No2c2,550$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,507.7812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick4cpaid+653.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7b8…e32bbacked No6c2,270$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,139.51233.3%4 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.23per pick10cpaid+257.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed No2c2,150$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,113.85633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick1cpaid+1,724.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes21c1,773$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.9133145%149 W · 182 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c14…68f3backed No3c1,700$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,643.5922.2%2 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick7cpaid+345.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd7e4…15eebacked No4c1,700$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,624.2333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick11cpaid+647.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked No1c1,500$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,480287.1%2 W · 26 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick2cpaid+346.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa6…e56cbacked No11c1,438$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,278.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.89per pick11cpaid+802.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed No77c1,289$993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.44231%13 W · 29 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-32.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4f2d…318bbacked No3c1,050$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,022.71020%2 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick8cpaid+330.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x14c2…7d55backed No50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5001442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick29cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x26d8…0175backed No2c950$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$933.91100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.98per pick2cpaid+5,800.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes24c852.09$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.512738.6%49 W · 78 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No75c824.98$622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.5926354%142 W · 121 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x923c…6d03backed Yes8c812.65$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.583828.9%11 W · 27 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No75c800$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20030448%146 W · 158 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes24c700$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1682123.8%5 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick26cpaid+14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes4c699.99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.512039.2%47 W · 73 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid+13.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bef…485bbacked Yes25c532.2$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.05757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+72.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2f7…aef9backed No75c500$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1251100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9982…8b06backed No77c496.47$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.19475%3 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick77cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x459f…c1f5backed Yes24c486.68$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.81838.9%7 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick29cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x48ec…8f36backed No21c473$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.67837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick21cpaid+48.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd43…cd41backed No66c439.71$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.52152.4%11 W · 10 L-3.7wins-0.18per pick70cpaid-24.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes24c437.5$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10516644.6%74 W · 92 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf438…de5dbacked Yes25c412$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1031811.1%2 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick24cpaid-57.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No75c329$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.258143.2%35 W · 46 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No71c311$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.5618046.7%84 W · 96 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f0c…5292backed Yes30c300.5$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Yes32c300$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964427.3%12 W · 32 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked No67c298.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.513234.4%11 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-22.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes25c280$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7011735.9%42 W · 75 L-7.2wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-24.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x025c…b18abacked Yes7c257.96$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181127.3%3 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Yes24c251.87$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.2516448.8%80 W · 84 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4e1…62a2backed No76c181.15$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.272360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+23.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa23…7afabacked Yes28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501040%4 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-39.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes34c164.71$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564546.7%21 W · 24 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+31.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x844d…780bbacked Yes25c160$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid+19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No76c151.25$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.7938056.6%215 W · 165 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Yes34c129$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.863050%15 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed No72c128.47$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.971369.2%9 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.24per pick46cpaid+207.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No76c127.62$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.0326041.9%109 W · 151 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed No78c120.3$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.55829.3%17 W · 41 L-8.8wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-54.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Yes29c117.13$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7612238.5%47 W · 75 L-11.1wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-24.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed No76c112.92$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.1666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked No74c109.99$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.714352.4%75 W · 68 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked No76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248250%41 W · 41 L-5.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3322…7dc2backed No10c100$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90580%4 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.41per pick39cpaid+236.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4060…e63cbacked Yes26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262040%8 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes27c99.99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2722340.8%91 W · 132 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc995…05a3backed Yes23c95.38$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.941637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Yes25c92.98$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.245560%33 W · 22 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Yes25c78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.56759.7%40 W · 27 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed Yes25c64$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164951%25 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa475…bfe7backed No76c60.87$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.612100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+79.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked No72c56.25$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.754067.5%27 W · 13 L+9.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+99.5%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xbecc…f560backed No23c56.14$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.23520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6854…67d0backed No70c51.73$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.761258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No77c49.5$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.398957.3%51 W · 38 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2f0…0114backed No70c42.64$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.79837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes27c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.87343.8%32 W · 41 L+5.5wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+34.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x628d…a012backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102524%6 W · 19 L-3.7wins-0.15per pick39cpaid-43%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x96f4…b9debacked Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick23cpaid+150%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No73c27$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.2915951.6%82 W · 77 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6afe…65d9backed No76c20.84$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+20.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No76c20.83$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b67…829fbacked No77c19.46$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.542842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid+26.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No76c16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.8410960.6%66 W · 43 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28af…7de0backed No76c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.6560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.