TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-05-01?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$249,257
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$266,378

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $249,257 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 253 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0eb5…c494backed Yes52c72,762$38,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,004.45450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-26.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83d2…d196backed No46c67,590$31,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,366.143557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed No48c21,116$10,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,980.463756.8%21 W · 16 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+24.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes47c18,771$8,873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,872.851,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd684…f320backed No43c17,081$7,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,774.584045%18 W · 22 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes56c15,377$8,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,597.6952550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No49c12,500$6,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,37513348.9%65 W · 68 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08f0…b809backed No47c10,000$4,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,3001346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes53c9,414$4,981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,980.6387344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked Yes54c7,924$4,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,300.324252.4%22 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed No47c7,010$3,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,715.45156.9%29 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fde…abcebacked No49c6,087$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,086.78475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+52.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed Yes55c5,000$2,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7508435.7%30 W · 54 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa58f…ee1abacked Yes51c4,200$2,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,14240%0 W · 4 L-2.4wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Yes51c3,888$1,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,982.735257.7%30 W · 22 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xba6f…fd5bbacked Yes56c2,800$1,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5682653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No60c2,601$1,571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,029.271,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes56c2,593$1,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,45223250.9%118 W · 114 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Yes58c2,521$1,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,462.25947.5%28 W · 31 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2114…84c5backed No42c2,298$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,333.12850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes56c2,211$1,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,237.9412738.6%49 W · 78 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa427…8821backed Yes55c2,144$1,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,179.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes3c2,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60368.3%3 W · 33 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick6cpaid-36.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a23…8ef9backed Yes56c1,786$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick56cpaid-67.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes52c1,752$903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902.854231%13 W · 29 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-32.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x47c0…7aedbacked Yes4c1,206$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.23per pick45cpaid-52.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d9c…4695backed Yes50c1,190$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick39cpaid-64.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1572…7991backed No44c1,049$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.692445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a05…754abacked Yes51c1,022$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5213050%15 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ae4…bf8cbacked Yes49c1,021$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.29475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No47c999.98$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.994751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes49c969.39$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4754139%16 W · 25 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No55c900.3$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.7218046.7%84 W · 96 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4c3…60d9backed No57c877.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.396446.9%30 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Yes53c875.17$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.6916448.8%80 W · 84 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No47c766.36$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.4926354%142 W · 121 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes53c725.99$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.0327748.7%135 W · 142 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked Yes54c710.59$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.87955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+58.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No51c699.74$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.872759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+43%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7cea…371bbacked Yes52c682.69$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Yes44c681.82$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003141.9%13 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+19.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes52c591.44$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.5512963.6%82 W · 47 L+12.6wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+14.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes52c576.92$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002536%9 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-36.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x555c…ee28backed Yes55c555$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.251060%6 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes52c531.63$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.452857.1%16 W · 12 L+3.9wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+37.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3bef…485bbacked Yes56c523.07$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.92757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+72.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked No47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2656654.5%36 W · 30 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes53c500$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.1327049.6%134 W · 136 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked No47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2656051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked No51c499.99$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.9212238.5%47 W · 75 L-11.1wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-24.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes53c499.08$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.7133148.6%161 W · 170 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x81a8…9c69backed No49c464.41$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.851275%9 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+45.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked No47c460$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.86357.1%36 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f0b…5577backed Yes56c446.43$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-30.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd121…50c8backed Yes56c446.43$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503850%19 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+40.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed No45c444.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.444238.1%16 W · 26 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes58c441.48$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.062832.1%9 W · 19 L-3.9wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-37.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa6e3…3fe8backed No44c431.92$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.871747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+18.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011735.9%42 W · 75 L-7.2wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-24.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes49c386$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.422744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Yes51c360$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.24427.3%12 W · 32 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No71c357.35$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.1448649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7065…5292backed Yes56c357.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-37.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c03…5c25backed Yes56c339.29$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e07…80d1backed Yes50c310$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf8d9…d7f5backed Yes18c300$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542123.8%5 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb002…103dbacked No42c299.97$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.981330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-35.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6f7…a146backed No45c294$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes56c267.86$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No67c258.86$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.4526046.2%120 W · 140 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Yes58c257.42$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.310364.1%66 W · 37 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Yes29c246.76$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724628.3%13 W · 33 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes52c241.1$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.1716644.6%74 W · 92 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2961…cfcfbacked Yes56c235.71$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1329846.9%46 W · 52 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x840d…3708backed Yes58c231.65$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.36650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked No45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.228247.6%39 W · 43 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed No54c219.28$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.261855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75fc…0a4cbacked Yes47c218$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.461723.5%4 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick24cpaid-17.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x353c…01d9backed Yes56c214.29$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick36cpaid+96.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x025c…b18abacked Yes12c211.11$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251127.3%3 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x473e…c0f6backed Yes53c210$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.31414.3%2 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.21per pick36cpaid-39.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x923c…6d03backed Yes43c203.47$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.493828.9%11 W · 27 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Yes56c202.5$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.43246.9%15 W · 17 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+29.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes55c202.5$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11112039.2%47 W · 73 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid+13.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes51c200.78$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1027343.8%32 W · 41 L+5.5wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+34.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9493…7988backed Yes51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1023743.2%16 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1104751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb897…fc48backed Yes17c200$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344431.8%14 W · 30 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb73…3a62backed Yes55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbdd…c26abacked Yes51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003438.2%13 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2057…af78backed Yes51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.32per pick61cpaid-57.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed No46c191$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.143354.5%18 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0cff…db9cbacked Yes53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7932…5b38backed Yes56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-32.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f0c…5292backed No56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.571747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5127…de1ebacked Yes56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes56c175.44$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.2518351.4%94 W · 89 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+28.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Yes58c174.46$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.1912367.5%83 W · 40 L+11.9wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+21.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x776c…5c84backed No43c170.27$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.522100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+136.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes57c166.15$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.4413844.2%61 W · 77 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.