TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$92,317
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$115,653

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,317 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb85…152fbacked Yes30c16,417$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,417.153426.5%9 W · 25 L-4.9wins-0.15per pick41cpaid-36.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No65c6,354$4,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,099.652,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes69c5,948$4,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,819.1418748.1%90 W · 97 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes28c5,204$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,753.6811445.6%52 W · 62 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No70c4,234$2,947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,946.5576842.6%327 W · 441 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No69c3,310$2,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,298.411,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd2c…e8e8backed No34c2,756$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9301010%1 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick25cpaid-80.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed No14c2,286$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.537129.6%21 W · 50 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-47.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No45c1,821$826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$825.84,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No72c1,495$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,080.2626444.7%118 W · 146 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No40c1,478$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.6553344.8%239 W · 294 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No56c1,474$826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$825.6813948.9%68 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No72c1,462$1,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,057.582,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No37c1,438$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.9714658.9%86 W · 60 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No27c1,396$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.8326319.8%52 W · 211 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Yes27c1,235$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901.235543.6%24 W · 31 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-15.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2f6…679ebacked Yes55c1,117$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.512951.7%15 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No72c1,092$791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$790.8884549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No70c1,043$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.0820059.5%119 W · 81 L-0.9wins0.00per pick60cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed No25c1,017$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.7926548.3%128 W · 137 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb73…53b0backed Yes27c1,000$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73011942%50 W · 69 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+18.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbffc…1f45backed No72c901.65$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.195052%26 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8b75…6bb0backed Yes72c707.99$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.734233.3%14 W · 28 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7106…1caabacked Yes57c662.53$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.537736.4%28 W · 49 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9227…e497backed Yes31c645.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.16250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No73c560.63$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.9980953.6%434 W · 375 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes54c515.28$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.26,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6854…67d0backed No37c458.28$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.62653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-25.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9e7…4697backed Yes73c410$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.83237.5%12 W · 20 L-3.7wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-39.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes40c400$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.4536462.9%229 W · 135 L+32.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+33.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No72c400$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28855751.5%287 W · 270 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Yes40c362.28$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.3720651.9%107 W · 99 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No71c350.19$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.641,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8365…6c28backed Yes29c336.67$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9ff…38c2backed Yes30c333.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.332941.4%12 W · 17 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick30cpaid+27.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2bef…f80abacked Yes27c305.56$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.062839.3%11 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+54.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No73c302.5$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.311,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffff…4413backed No43c297.24$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.6415249.3%75 W · 77 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-19.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4db9…14f5backed No33c292.72$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974835.4%17 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c46…ae13backed Yes27c277.78$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.786527.7%18 W · 47 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No69c222.01$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.191,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e2d…5116backed Yes45c211.11$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a16…5f47backed No73c199.99$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.9911850%59 W · 59 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98f7…d028backed No72c194.44$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401275%9 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+22%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No29c193$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.6574644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No11c152$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7241343.3%179 W · 234 L-2.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No73c150$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10933551.3%172 W · 163 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No56c148.97$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.9757150.4%288 W · 283 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed No44c145.19$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.47327.4%20 W · 53 L-8.8wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-56.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No72c144.84$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10535941.5%149 W · 210 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3311755.6%65 W · 52 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-4.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed No49c130$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.046040%24 W · 36 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed No74c119.11$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.1420956%117 W · 92 L+15.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+24.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc55a…c4afbacked No72c118.48$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.320%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x38a9…01c6backed No72c114.56$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.48333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick69cpaid-53.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8510…e41ebacked Yes58c113.25$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.31944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked No54c111.19$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.5336545.2%165 W · 200 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x377e…fb4bbacked No72c109.9$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.13650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40f7…1f5ebacked Yes56c105$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.24434.1%15 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-29.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes27c103.7$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.745224.8%112 W · 340 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed No72c103.08$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7413250.8%67 W · 65 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+6.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb684…343cbacked No73c101.88$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.384965.3%32 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-0.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes29c100$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7159645.5%271 W · 325 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4f9…9419backed Yes29c100$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712646.2%12 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+17.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked No73c99.99$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7312562.4%78 W · 47 L+8.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Yes43c99.99$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.4917244.2%76 W · 96 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No72c99.98$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.9941850.7%212 W · 206 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70b1…73b2backed Yes29c99.04$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.3211460.5%69 W · 45 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed Yes26c96.63$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.5190751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Yes28c83.1$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.2518352.5%96 W · 87 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed No69c81$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.4927948%134 W · 145 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed No59c74.33$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.788052.5%42 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82a5…8f69backed Yes27c74.07$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.078043.8%35 W · 45 L+8.1wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+37.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf24f…15b2backed Yes27c74.07$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.079936.4%36 W · 63 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e41…b875backed Yes55c72.73$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.735653.6%30 W · 26 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No42c70$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6341956.3%236 W · 183 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29bf…08a1backed Yes31c70$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.311637.1%43 W · 73 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2be3…5c4bbacked Yes77c64.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.94837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.23per pick61cpaid-44.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x292a…a7fabacked Yes31c64.52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.52366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick16cpaid+215.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes23c63.89$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.1174156.8%421 W · 320 L+46.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked No45c63$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.359732%31 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes39c62.5$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.1269772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes29c61.59$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.7354340.5%220 W · 323 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfff…3d0ebacked No65c60$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393461.8%21 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8745…4658backed No70c60$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421450%7 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-25.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No72c60$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.21,61553%856 W · 759 L+33.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fa4…4eabbacked Yes29c59.42$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.191643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1894…9b71backed Yes36c53.62$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.461752.9%9 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x356f…639fbacked No79c51$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.291637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-27.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Yes40c51$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.377851.3%40 W · 38 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed No73c50$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.56250%31 W · 31 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2568…ef92backed No73c50$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.514162.4%88 W · 53 L+7.1wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes31c48.39$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3931746.1%146 W · 171 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked No37c48$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.887335.6%26 W · 47 L-8.0wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-28.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3940…9e72backed Yes43c46.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5115534.8%54 W · 101 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes73c45.82$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3738233.2%127 W · 255 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes30c44$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.812045%54 W · 66 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d21…92e5backed No59c41.33$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.463951.3%20 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes36c40.58$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0951516.1%83 W · 432 L-49.9wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-38.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6926…152dbacked No74c40.54$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305653.6%30 W · 26 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-1.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.