Asian League · resolved market
Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8508f0032a967ba1ade5e5b726c003710c57597d885651872f96ed3a6a9b669e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,695
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,355
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,695 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2978…b511backed Yes | 0c | 40,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 73c | 6,364$4,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,728.3 | 182 | 48.9%89 W · 93 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 28c | 4,394$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.2 | 6,028 | 46.1%2,778 W · 3,250 L | +50.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 27c | 2,416$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.73 | 1,796 | 50.2%902 W · 894 L | +30.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 27c | 432.13$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.08 | 1,266 | 50.2%635 W · 631 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 72c | 410$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.8 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 65c | 389.91$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.74 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 44c | 341.7$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 141 | 36.9%52 W · 89 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked No | 64c | 312.89$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.89 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 39c | 289.19$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.56 | 1,529 | 54.9%840 W · 689 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 68c | 156.09$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.35 | 2,566 | 42.1%1,081 W · 1,485 L | +52.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98f7…d028backed No | 69c | 143.95$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.95 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked No | 75c | 106.43$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.43 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 77c | 101$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.74 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Yes | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 26c | 86.37$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 838 | 53.7%450 W · 388 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 77c | 74.08$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 1,656 | 50.8%841 W · 815 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Yes | 34c | 71.05$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 42c | 66.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.09 | 474 | 55.5%263 W · 211 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 57c | 60.29$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 744 | 44.1%328 W · 416 L | -31.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 76c | 59.33$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 17c | 58.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed Yes | 23c | 58.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 67c | 57.21$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.05 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed No | 72c | 56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 22c | 49.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 87 | 35.6%31 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a01…c0f7backed Yes | 27c | 46.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 27c | 45.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Yes | 27c | 41.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 154 | 55.8%86 W · 68 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 71c | 39.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Yes | 40c | 35.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 71c | 33.28$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 438 | 26%114 W · 324 L | -34.2wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -39%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed No | 80c | 27.21$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 72c | 24.21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 2,036 | 54.2%1,104 W · 932 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x473e…c0f6backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 70c | 16.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 961 | 35.3%339 W · 622 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-05-02?No won
- Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-05-02?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.