Tennis · resolved market
Madrid Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2631feadf28e9b984124eee082d29973a9319020633f6e292730d839efd4c424
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Juan Manuel Cerundoloof Daniel Altmaier, Juan Manuel Cerundolo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $554,005
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $712,096
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $554,005 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 314 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 58c | 127,099$73,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,830.4 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Daniel Altmaier | 42c | 38,000$15,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,960 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b71…4e79backed Daniel Altmaier | 25c | 26,197$6,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,676.34 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Daniel Altmaier | 19c | 26,192$5,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,058.28 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22f9…f814backed Daniel Altmaier | 43c | 23,630$10,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,160.93 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 46c | 12,752$5,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,947.05 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Daniel Altmaier | 40c | 11,812$4,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,743.07 | 579 | 39.7%230 W · 349 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6447…8075backed Daniel Altmaier | 43c | 11,104$4,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,774.54 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 58c | 9,832$5,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,120.37 | 647 | 55.2%357 W · 290 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Daniel Altmaier | 47c | 7,558$3,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,555.2 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Daniel Altmaier | 42c | 7,530$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 53c | 7,337$3,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,435.34 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Daniel Altmaier | 44c | 6,926$3,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,014.05 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Daniel Altmaier | 37c | 6,401$2,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,358.07 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Daniel Altmaier | 43c | 6,186$2,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,634.79 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fd…a0a9backed Daniel Altmaier | 41c | 5,553$2,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,276.77 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Daniel Altmaier | 41c | 5,452$2,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,243.88 | 485 | 52.8%256 W · 229 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x129f…7b9ebacked Daniel Altmaier | 43c | 4,519$1,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,943 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed Daniel Altmaier | 13c | 4,338$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.76 | 680 | 26.2%178 W · 502 L | -24.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Daniel Altmaier | 41c | 4,029$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650.09 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Daniel Altmaier | 41c | 3,995$1,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,627.95 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…67f5backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 78c | 3,896$3,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.41 | 182 | 47.3%86 W · 96 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Daniel Altmaier | 9c | 3,740$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.29 | 721 | 32%231 W · 490 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 66c | 3,387$2,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.21 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Daniel Altmaier | 43c | 3,333$1,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,433.19 | 538 | 43.5%234 W · 304 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9451…c3f9backed Daniel Altmaier | 8c | 2,953$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.2 | 67 | 23.9%16 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Daniel Altmaier | 40c | 2,686$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.54 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x630e…3a86backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 74c | 2,661$1,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.74 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Daniel Altmaier | 41c | 2,575$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.96 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b3…49f8backed Daniel Altmaier | 19c | 2,505$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.54 | 198 | 35.4%70 W · 128 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc789…92b4backed Daniel Altmaier | 43c | 2,499$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Daniel Altmaier | 41c | 2,058$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.78 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Daniel Altmaier | 42c | 2,003$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.14 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Daniel Altmaier | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 587 | 34.6%203 W · 384 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Daniel Altmaier | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1f…2bd0backed Daniel Altmaier | 42c | 1,847$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.29 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Daniel Altmaier | 41c | 1,753$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.74 | 362 | 44.8%162 W · 200 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Daniel Altmaier | 41c | 1,725$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.13 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Daniel Altmaier | 66c | 1,491$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.35 | 464 | 73.3%340 W · 124 L | +27.0wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf487…3550backed Daniel Altmaier | 43c | 1,489$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x058e…a2acbacked Daniel Altmaier | 41c | 1,476$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.09 | 328 | 51.8%170 W · 158 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48b8…4b69backed Daniel Altmaier | 42c | 1,473$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.61 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa395…e703backed Daniel Altmaier | 43c | 1,467$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Daniel Altmaier | 40c | 1,458$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.09 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +109.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9326…2756backed Daniel Altmaier | 43c | 1,437$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Daniel Altmaier | 42c | 1,412$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.15 | 785 | 36.1%283 W · 502 L | +36.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Daniel Altmaier | 41c | 1,333$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.55 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Daniel Altmaier | 42c | 1,289$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.38 | 582 | 32%186 W · 396 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…f0aebacked Daniel Altmaier | 43c | 1,253$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.96 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Daniel Altmaier | 42c | 1,206$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.23 | 1,729 | 48.9%845 W · 884 L | +53.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Daniel Altmaier | 42c | 1,200$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.99 | 1,077 | 52.4%564 W · 513 L | +30.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48cb…ab8cbacked Daniel Altmaier | 43c | 1,179$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa729…1509backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 61c | 1,174$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc287…a468backed Daniel Altmaier | 43c | 1,173$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Daniel Altmaier | 43c | 1,159$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.35 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde80…d8b9backed Daniel Altmaier | 23c | 1,133$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.85 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33ac…506bbacked Daniel Altmaier | 43c | 1,125$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8227…8b63backed Daniel Altmaier | 43c | 1,119$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Daniel Altmaier | 43c | 1,020$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.6 | 159 | 48.4%77 W · 82 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4698…d7a5backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 78c | 1,012$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.66 | 536 | 55.4%297 W · 239 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Daniel Altmaier | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb777…3ff9backed Daniel Altmaier | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 152 | 48%73 W · 79 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5979…fc4fbacked Daniel Altmaier | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed Daniel Altmaier | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb92…a82fbacked Daniel Altmaier | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Daniel Altmaier | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0c…a55dbacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 229 | 65.9%151 W · 78 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc25c…1b21backed Daniel Altmaier | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc762…8970backed Daniel Altmaier | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed1…eedbbacked Daniel Altmaier | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Daniel Altmaier | 41c | 927.4$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.31 | 971 | 41.4%402 W · 569 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Daniel Altmaier | 53c | 919.14$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.35 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Daniel Altmaier | 38c | 907.29$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.01 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Daniel Altmaier | 42c | 877.26$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.7 | 606 | 41.6%252 W · 354 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca40…83f6backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 56c | 867.49$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.65 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Daniel Altmaier | 67c | 860.79$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.73 | 798 | 55.9%446 W · 352 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Daniel Altmaier | 41c | 836.98$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.39 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x604a…d5f8backed Daniel Altmaier | 9c | 806.42$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.55 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 78c | 801.16$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.76 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc661…610abacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 54c | 800$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f92…dec0backed Daniel Altmaier | 13c | 738.37$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.77 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | -10.2wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Daniel Altmaier | 43c | 733.79$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.16 | 567 | 57.1%324 W · 243 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 49c | 729.99$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.98 | 389 | 31.4%122 W · 267 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c4…e6a5backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 76c | 648.74$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.95 | 259 | 57.1%148 W · 111 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…ec26backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 75c | 611.34$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.42 | 645 | 40.2%259 W · 386 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Daniel Altmaier | 7c | 600.27$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 1,671 | 53%885 W · 786 L | +44.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Daniel Altmaier | 41c | 593.08$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.09 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed Daniel Altmaier | 42c | 579.12$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.23 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Daniel Altmaier | 43c | 545.99$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.78 | 977 | 45.2%442 W · 535 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Daniel Altmaier | 41c | 527.4$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.41 | 1,679 | 48.1%808 W · 871 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…1b52backed Daniel Altmaier | 26c | 525.58$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.65 | 619 | 24.4%151 W · 468 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2a…a4bbbacked Daniel Altmaier | 43c | 516.68$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.17 | 219 | 37.9%83 W · 136 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…6952backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 57c | 510.37$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.06 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Daniel Altmaier | 42c | 502.33$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.98 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Daniel Altmaier | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a41…1cbbbacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | -10.5wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d12…4070backed Daniel Altmaier | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | +9.6wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 39c | 497.17$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.52 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 78c | 493.4$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.55 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeff…78f8backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 59c | 490.99$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.31 | 436 | 47.2%206 W · 230 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Madrid Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Juan Manuel Cerundolothis page
- Daniel Altmaier vs. Juan Manuel Cerundolo: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.