TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Will Gamba Ōsaka win on 2026-04-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$29,997
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$30,814

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,997 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No59c6,529$3,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,693.265,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf07…e601backed Yes46c5,000$2,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,309.972944.8%13 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No62c3,762$2,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,443.8896846.1%446 W · 522 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb63…7fb5backed Yes43c3,477$1,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,495.0630%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc0cf…8bcbbacked No57c3,000$1,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2906753.7%36 W · 31 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+24.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No63c2,558$1,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$945.011,25451.4%644 W · 610 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes35c2,525$889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888.817832.1%25 W · 53 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31b0…8c4cbacked No52c994.88$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.641136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21f5…c161backed Yes40c967.67$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.358834.1%30 W · 58 L+0.3wins0.00per pick34cpaid+10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa796…82fdbacked Yes41c736.39$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.921947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No61c712.59$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.8784347.7%402 W · 441 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No62c678.51$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.7189245%401 W · 491 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No57c582.32$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.211,52254.9%835 W · 687 L+5.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x840d…3708backed No56c563.14$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.785100%5 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+84.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Yes49c446$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.5418353.6%98 W · 85 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f0c…5292backed Yes26c417.29$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.977042.9%30 W · 40 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3fb4…d481backed Yes50c400.55$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.286159%36 W · 25 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes26c367.54$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.5628532.3%92 W · 193 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No53c366.72$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.3620138.3%77 W · 124 L-1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No50c342.24$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.121,76450.2%886 W · 878 L+31.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Yes39c335.68$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.688532.9%28 W · 57 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+23.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e07…80d1backed Yes48c302.75$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.32650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9531…18ffbacked Yes36c267.11$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.166738.8%26 W · 41 L-0.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes14c263.04$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.192835%325 W · 603 L-22.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-33.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x99ec…0da5backed Yes48c202.18$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.871118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.7wins-0.33per pick51cpaid-66.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8788…d82abacked Yes50c194$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9720%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked No53c184.42$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.334537.8%17 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No53c181.8$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.647860.3%288 W · 190 L+15.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No63c170.95$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.982053.8%441 W · 379 L+25.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9f9…0eaabacked Yes17c161.16$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.383823.7%9 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Yes32c155.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.466043.3%26 W · 34 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7106…1caabacked Yes17c149.49$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.466924.6%17 W · 52 L-6.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-28.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8b32…8052backed Yes48c148.94$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.984946.9%23 W · 26 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98d8…de5ebacked Yes48c139.73$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.07728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-34.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes48c137.25$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.882634.6%9 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No49c120.14$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2718446.2%85 W · 99 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0335…caf1backed Yes16c118.7$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9930%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d55…f50cbacked Yes50c115.82$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.914650%23 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ec1…3f7bbacked Yes46c105.89$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.37450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Yes46c105.17$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3838737.5%145 W · 242 L-1.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes47c103$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4112550.4%63 W · 62 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes27c100.38$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3726348.7%128 W · 135 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Yes49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4918543.8%81 W · 104 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b9c…2a84backed Yes42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4240%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No53c99.99$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4723755.3%131 W · 106 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25c5…0031backed No52c99.95$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.982030%6 W · 14 L-3.8wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-39.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0e15…8ea4backed Yes41c94.11$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.582142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked No53c91.76$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.1832560.3%196 W · 129 L+20.0wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x45dd…7b56backed Yes43c90$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.72630.8%8 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No62c87.39$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.8572144.1%318 W · 403 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No50c81.39$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.713746.7%64 W · 73 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Yes47c81.32$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2613949.6%69 W · 70 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked Yes46c79.16$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.529444.7%42 W · 52 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd21a…5a66backed Yes48c74.78$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.99250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes31c72.29$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1214840.5%60 W · 88 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked No60c71.97$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.9924162.2%150 W · 91 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1683…e4abbacked Yes45c69.67$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.354045%18 W · 22 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No79c66.32$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9336142.4%153 W · 208 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf40a…ea0abacked No76c64.71$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.536460.9%39 W · 25 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed No60c63.25$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.3131960.2%192 W · 127 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Yes49c61.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3814351.7%74 W · 69 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaaf5…e71cbacked Yes49c59.35$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.083250%16 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78d8…cffcbacked Yes41c58.82$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.125064%32 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes36c58.39$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.771,02841.7%429 W · 599 L-31.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x981b…b8eabacked No53c55.01$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.8518445.7%84 W · 100 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf472…fd6ebacked Yes50c52.82$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.449141.8%38 W · 53 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes30c51.09$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3310344.7%46 W · 57 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b67…829fbacked No66c50.22$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.915352.8%28 W · 25 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-10.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6e…99eabacked No51c50.06$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.53955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes48c47.47$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7977056.2%433 W · 337 L+40.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5ca5…9343backed Yes47c47.38$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.27757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick39cpaid+51.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdca9…0898backed Yes48c46.73$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.432161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes44c43.93$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3311841.5%49 W · 69 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed No56c43.65$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.25162.7%32 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeca6…08ffbacked Yes48c41.7$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.022626.9%7 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-14.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Yes32c40.72$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2311023.6%26 W · 84 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x59b4…73e0backed Yes43c40.43$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.387143.7%31 W · 40 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+42.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb6f…2653backed No50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6d8…be72backed Yes50c38.8$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes44c36.42$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9546422.6%105 W · 359 L-22.6wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x36f9…5445backed No53c36.34$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.96663.6%42 W · 24 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No50c36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181,97054.4%1,071 W · 899 L+32.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57e0…3878backed Yes43c35.94$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9ce…316ebacked Yes43c34.21$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.71366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefe7…0cdfbacked Yes46c31.55$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.511163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed No57c30.64$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2415470.8%109 W · 45 L+16.1wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+13.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdf18…af99backed No66c29.76$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.17633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa34d…b57fbacked No65c28.92$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.234163.4%26 W · 15 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd78d…81e0backed Yes40c27.76$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.061050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No50c24.23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1234558.6%202 W · 143 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed No50c24.23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1228253.5%151 W · 131 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabb7…9241backed No63c22.87$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.395100%5 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+43.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x525a…9d3ebacked No50c20.26$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x117b…bcfebacked No53c19.3$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.076100%6 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.