Asian League · resolved market
Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1084830ce3b53d7c1d1d14fa214aa0ba80a732fca29d8caf16f379dcd0e72794
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,837
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,542
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,837 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 77c | 3,798$2,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.13 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Over | 23c | 3,261$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 137 | 46.7%64 W · 73 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6785…98c3backed Over | 37c | 908.76$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.73 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Over | 29c | 751.77$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.37 | 47 | 17%8 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 63c | 617.16$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.75 | 2,499 | 42.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L | +52.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 28c | 348.23$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.87 | 1,306 | 56.9%743 W · 563 L | +67.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 76c | 310.35$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.45 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 24c | 300$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.8 | 148 | 23%34 W · 114 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 72c | 212.25$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.74 | 2,397 | 37.8%905 W · 1,492 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad4…7eeabacked Under | 76c | 149.4$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.06 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.5wins | -0.42per pick | 75cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 32c | 148.01$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.94 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 35c | 138.82$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.35 | 126 | 59.5%75 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 15c | 110.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 19c | 109.88$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 434 | 52.1%226 W · 208 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Under | 73c | 107.81$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.11 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 71c | 96.14$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.67 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 78c | 79.43$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.78 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…7dc2backed Under | 75c | 75.71$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Over | 31c | 61.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…c9a8backed Under | 77c | 57.5$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.04 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x117b…bcfebacked Under | 62c | 46.55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.46 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dd…69ddbacked Under | 77c | 31.49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3b…8568backed Under | 77c | 28.9$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…2a49backed Under | 51c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.74 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 64c | 25.58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 313 | 59.7%187 W · 126 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…e91cbacked Under | 72c | 18.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.26 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Under | 64c | 17.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 75c | 15.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 876 | 45.1%395 W · 481 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 79c | 14.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.06 | 154 | 70.8%109 W · 45 L | +16.1wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: O/U 3.5this page
- Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Al Najmah Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Taawoun Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Taawoun Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Najmah Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Taawoun Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Najmah Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.