TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Spread: Al Taawoun Saudi Club (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Al Najmah Saudi Clubof Al Taawoun Saudi Club, Al Najmah Saudi Club
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$8,750
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,866

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,750 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2e62…b22ebacked Al Taawoun Saudi Club30c865$263 inLost-$263.0514823%34 W · 114 L-10.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-16.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Al Najmah Saudi Club66c638.32$422 inWon+$215.985,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Al Najmah Saudi Club79c372.48$295 inWon+$77.51,64736.2%596 W · 1,051 L-34.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6785…98c3backed Al Taawoun Saudi Club20c366.52$73 inLost-$73.350%0 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Al Najmah Saudi Club64c351$225 inWon+$126.3634558.6%202 W · 143 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Al Taawoun Saudi Club22c312.19$69 inLost-$68.682,52242.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L+54.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Al Najmah Saudi Club64c229.54$147 inWon+$82.6440448%194 W · 210 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Al Taawoun Saudi Club33c198.67$66 inLost-$65.8942625.8%110 W · 316 L-33.7wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-40%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3ee7…f36ebacked Al Najmah Saudi Club76c129.68$99 inWon+$31.124961.2%30 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Al Najmah Saudi Club64c112.14$72 inWon+$39.9515358.8%90 W · 63 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x876d…1327backed Al Taawoun Saudi Club20c103.03$21 inLost-$20.611233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-48.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Al Najmah Saudi Club65c86.35$56 inWon+$30.5247860.3%288 W · 190 L+15.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Al Najmah Saudi Club64c80.84$52 inWon+$29.132560.3%196 W · 129 L+20.0wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Al Taawoun Saudi Club20c70.75$14 inLost-$13.892,42438%920 W · 1,504 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked Al Taawoun Saudi Club19c69.57$13 inLost-$13.2224162.2%150 W · 91 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Al Taawoun Saudi Club22c63.72$14 inLost-$14.310335%36 W · 67 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+6.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xeb8a…9944backed Al Taawoun Saudi Club32c57.76$19 inLost-$18.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Al Najmah Saudi Club65c56.62$37 inWon+$19.9628253.5%151 W · 131 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Al Taawoun Saudi Club28c52.04$15 inLost-$14.846422.6%105 W · 359 L-22.6wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Al Taawoun Saudi Club24c51.59$12 inLost-$12.3844152.4%231 W · 210 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Al Taawoun Saudi Club27c47.33$13 inLost-$12.9911023.6%26 W · 84 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dfd…aadebacked Al Najmah Saudi Club64c38.6$25 inWon+$13.725373.6%39 W · 14 L+6.7wins+0.13per pick61cpaid+21.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbac4…86dbbacked Al Najmah Saudi Club64c33.02$21 inWon+$11.895464.8%35 W · 19 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.