Asian League · resolved market
Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe83b704807902a3c385ef3c645622cb65a21a3545905902805e81e5510395424
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,385
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,437
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,385 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 52c | 9,620$5,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,617.59 | 181 | 54.1%98 W · 83 L | +19.1wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 6,176$3,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,055.72 | 6,028 | 46.1%2,778 W · 3,250 L | +50.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 48c | 3,513$1,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,686.28 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d35…96afbacked Under | 43c | 1,916$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 61c | 801.81$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.54 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 56c | 703.9$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.07 | 2,566 | 42.1%1,081 W · 1,485 L | +52.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 49c | 700$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354 | 261 | 52.5%137 W · 124 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 39c | 676.03$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.27 | 1,724 | 36.5%629 W · 1,095 L | -31.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 51c | 629.54$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.09 | 1,529 | 54.9%840 W · 689 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Under | 40c | 499.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 50c | 418.07$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.04 | 1,066 | 41.7%445 W · 621 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 57c | 367.75$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.88 | 2,535 | 38%964 W · 1,571 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 48c | 352.21$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.91 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 39c | 320$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 937 | 46%431 W · 506 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 39c | 320$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 1,143 | 46.5%531 W · 612 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 39c | 313.89$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.43 | 1,796 | 50.2%902 W · 894 L | +30.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 48c | 309.05$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.34 | 142 | 47.2%67 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 51c | 297.07$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.91 | 148 | 23%34 W · 114 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 67c | 282.72$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.3 | 402 | 56.2%226 W · 176 L | +33.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 60c | 279.1$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.64 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4c…39c0backed Under | 7c | 262.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 55c | 260.03$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.92 | 1,337 | 56.5%756 W · 581 L | +64.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 34c | 224.96$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.12 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 49c | 217.46$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.29 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 69c | 160.8$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 381 | 59.1%225 W · 156 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 43c | 158.69$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.05 | 126 | 59.5%75 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf00e…00f4backed Over | 62c | 158.56$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.25 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4325…39b8backed Over | 60c | 146.4$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 50c | 141.79$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.9 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb844…8cf6backed Over | 53c | 96.43$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.43 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2af…3880backed Over | 52c | 94.87$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.54 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 44c | 87.22$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.63 | 131 | 48.1%63 W · 68 L | -9.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 56c | 79.66$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.32 | 473 | 53.1%251 W · 222 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…dc9bbacked Over | 53c | 75.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.33 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +60%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 53c | 71.74$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.46 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5f…8eadbacked Over | 41c | 69.95$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.01 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd577…c012backed Over | 42c | 68.94$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.99 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.26per pick | 45cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 69c | 58.58$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.18 | 399 | 61.9%247 W · 152 L | +57.7wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 71c | 56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 377 | 62.3%235 W · 142 L | +60.7wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 42c | 53.45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.89 | 2,585 | 40%1,035 W · 1,550 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 58c | 52.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8652…93cebacked Over | 52c | 52.11$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 55c | 52.09$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.7 | 162 | 52.5%85 W · 77 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 57c | 49.13$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.16 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc4…7ae7backed Under | 46c | 47.22$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x354f…95f8backed Under | 65c | 45.18$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Over | 61c | 40.34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0a…50adbacked Over | 40c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.25per pick | 47cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4630…8bacbacked Under | 48c | 37.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Over | 49c | 30.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 63c | 30.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 940 | 44.7%420 W · 520 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 40c | 26.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1,266 | 50.2%635 W · 631 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 50c | 25.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 284 | 53.2%151 W · 133 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43f5…40d0backed Over | 59c | 24.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34b9…243fbacked Under | 59c | 24.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 60c | 21.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.62 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Over | 60c | 17.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 241 | 62.2%150 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 60c | 16.91$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 153 | 58.8%90 W · 63 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: O/U 2.5this page
- Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Al Najmah Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Taawoun Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Taawoun Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Najmah Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Taawoun Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Najmah Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.