Asian League · resolved market
Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04b99daf90875a22edd5b900a79eb8b3539ed7938691dd9b8f7e3d11c9730cae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,257
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,490
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,257 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 58c | 618.06$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.6 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 55c | 506.33$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.13 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…a834backed Yes | 58c | 479.02$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.18 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6114…69dbbacked Yes | 32c | 462.45$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.98 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 48c | 288.33$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.93 | 148 | 23%34 W · 114 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…ceeebacked No | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 10cpaid | +144.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc621…7c5cbacked No | 49c | 241.36$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.27 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 43c | 228$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.04 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 57c | 175.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.4 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 41c | 172.88$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.88 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed Yes | 34c | 150.44$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.29 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Yes | 42c | 116.1$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.34 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 41c | 106.41$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.63 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Yes | 53c | 73.34$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.47 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Yes | 45c | 66.36$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.22 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Yes | 57c | 60.2$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.88 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -5.5wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked No | 44c | 54.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes | 59c | 52.59$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe497…2b89backed No | 50c | 39.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1521…ae21backed No | 42c | 35.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…7dc2backed No | 54c | 34.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 48c | 34.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 199 | 65.3%130 W · 69 L | +27.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 57c | 34.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…e91cbacked No | 76c | 32.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed No | 49c | 29.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…c9a8backed No | 52c | 28.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Al Najmah Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Taawoun Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Taawoun Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Najmah Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Taawoun Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Najmah Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.