Asian League · resolved market
Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4010e980f1d68d56611cdca2bae7516948d6467c1e7382b674d2c5c1a0f555a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,296
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,389
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,296 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 34c | 1,754$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.13 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf541…ac67backed Over | 73c | 1,347$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.58 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 74cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 56c | 1,042$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.67 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 44c | 1,035$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.53 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 51c | 687.53$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.7 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb44e…c2c6backed Over | 70c | 491$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 74cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 21c | 486.49$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.16 | 150 | 36.7%55 W · 95 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Over | 79c | 481.2$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.05 | 157 | 72%113 W · 44 L | +33.9wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 27c | 422.2$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.78 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 55c | 405.62$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.53 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Over | 51c | 286.44$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.29 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -5.5wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 70c | 280.97$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.59 | 334 | 52.7%176 W · 158 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 34c | 233.53$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.98 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 21c | 191.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.05 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 37c | 170.32$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.63 | 126 | 59.5%75 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 55c | 142.84$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.28 | 162 | 52.5%85 W · 77 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 56c | 139.53$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.17 | 66 | 92.4%61 W · 5 L | +17.8wins | +0.27per pick | 65cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x8488…0de6backed Under | 26c | 135.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…c9a8backed Under | 37c | 120.47$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.58 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 74c | 111.24$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.66 | 345 | 60%207 W · 138 L | +49.3wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 50c | 97.8$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.79 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 67c | 96.56$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.86 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 70c | 75.05$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 199 | 65.3%130 W · 69 L | +27.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3b…8568backed Under | 38c | 59.05$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 76c | 56.68$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.83 | 375 | 62.7%235 W · 140 L | +61.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x117b…bcfebacked Over | 55c | 52.1$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.69 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 35c | 49.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…7dc2backed Under | 46c | 43.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 75c | 39.64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.91 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 32c | 36.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.69 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8858…ed3ebacked Over | 53c | 19.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 54c | 19.16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 207 | 69.6%144 W · 63 L | +31.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x033c…b4afbacked Over | 76c | 18.55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.45 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 67cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 70c | 16.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC: O/U 1.5this page
- Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Damac Saudi Club (-1.5)Damac Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.