TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-04-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$130,566
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$150,175

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,566 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9770…0ff5backed No54c26,279$14,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,239.47540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-24.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Yes51c21,623$11,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,595.451643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No53c12,911$6,838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,838.2598844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes46c12,171$5,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,611.144450%22 W · 22 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes42c6,267$2,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,604.412025%5 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-43.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Yes52c4,500$2,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,160633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-32.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe87…6fc0backed No50c3,329$1,665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,664.531471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.4wins+0.25per pick47cpaid+70.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes53c2,855$1,504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,351.2347850.8%243 W · 235 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes45c2,449$1,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,347.279336.6%34 W · 59 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3b5…a2a7backed Yes43c2,224$966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,257.91933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3625…1187backed Yes46c2,120$967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,152.72742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+36%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes47c2,108$981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,126.9813551.1%69 W · 66 L+0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No49c1,598$783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782.982568%17 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+24.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa163…934dbacked Yes51c1,553$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$760.95475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+77.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No49c1,546$758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757.6743748.3%211 W · 226 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x840d…3708backed No50c1,314$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.89933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-26%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes46c1,182$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.447549.3%37 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No60c1,171$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.8815140.4%61 W · 90 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No53c1,129$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.633537.1%13 W · 22 L-4.1wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-20.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6945…873dbacked No52c1,121$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.72250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed No50c1,083$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.631464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes49c1,005$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.974341.9%18 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff91…2d75backed Yes51c986.15$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde1d…44a6backed Yes41c941.07$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.23250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+22%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70dc…1317backed Yes51c909.7$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.75966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+62.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes49c885.77$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.273737.8%14 W · 23 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-28.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes38c869.92$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.421533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e65…0b57backed Yes43c773.23$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.98250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+17.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes48c714.93$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.981050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes51c664.47$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.733951.3%20 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Yes46c652.16$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.17366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+55.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7cca…08a9backed Yes40c602.5$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.51650%8 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+34.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf070…57b8backed Yes55c529.97$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.061656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+206.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x46f1…b1eebacked Yes50c526.88$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.44425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No51c504.59$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.673641.7%15 W · 21 L-4.9wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-33.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No49c494.39$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.2511055.5%61 W · 49 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes23c486.47$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.0111063.6%70 W · 40 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+25.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked No51c469.55$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.681833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-37.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd3b…cea6backed Yes51c436.77$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.021172.7%8 W · 3 L+3.1wins+0.28per pick45cpaid+74%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No49c436.23$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.752157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd03…df4abacked No27c399.99$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1072147.6%10 W · 11 L+2.9wins+0.14per pick34cpaid+47.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed No53c399.98$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.99850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6684…95d1backed Yes72c368.54$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.031266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3de4…b032backed Yes46c328.06$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.151040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0bff…c8a8backed Yes46c323.85$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.761040%4 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Yes46c319.74$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.662445.8%11 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+56.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No49c316.36$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.7924732.4%80 W · 167 L-0.4wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No63c310.41$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.564928.6%14 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+47.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes40c301.25$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.75728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-42.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Yes51c291.18$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.681050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd41b…f231backed Yes50c288.86$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.331546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e07…80d1backed Yes52c280.57$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0348…3d81backed Yes23c279.17$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.96366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick26cpaid+132.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4db3…c1eabacked Yes75c255.83$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.161957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No15c241.33$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.3814047.1%66 W · 74 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes72c218.58$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.926435.9%23 W · 41 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes73c216.88$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.445945.8%27 W · 32 L-6.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-17.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5bac…f1a6backed No47c206$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.82944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Yes47c202.34$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.243256.3%18 W · 14 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+23.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Yes48c201.83$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.95250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked No26c200$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526129.5%18 W · 43 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes49c197.84$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.92650%13 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Yes50c195.2$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.63938.5%15 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No54c194.48$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.024866.7%32 W · 16 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No54c180$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.210448.1%50 W · 54 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8ca…c93abacked Yes54c179.82$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.58560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+35%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x490e…42f1backed Yes21c177.05$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.01580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+76.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa1ee…0267backed Yes51c176.74$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.64100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+81.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes51c173.07$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.063354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1da…23a3backed Yes47c167.91$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked No49c159.73$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.272740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed No24c159.17$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.732020%4 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-65.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed No53c156.12$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.341060%6 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaaf5…e71cbacked Yes51c151.19$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.521181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.0wins+0.27per pick55cpaid+50.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No29c149.58$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.659714.4%14 W · 83 L-13.0wins-0.13per pick28cpaid-48.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x98d8…de5ebacked Yes48c139.73$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.66366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+40.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a3e…65eebacked Yes78c139.16$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No43c139.15$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.5210857.4%62 W · 46 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed No49c138.75$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.99850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+17.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked No53c137.24$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.12060%12 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No58c133.08$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7714843.9%65 W · 83 L-0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9bf…684dbacked Yes37c130.03$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.92366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+71.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb6f…2653backed No49c126.16$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.8220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No78c124.34$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9823551.5%121 W · 114 L+13.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Yes73c115.16$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2613540.7%55 W · 80 L-8.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes52c114.69$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.0711050%55 W · 55 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c6…e162backed Yes17c114$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$951100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.83per pick17cpaid+500%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Yes51c108.48$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.152166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+42.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x694c…eb70backed Yes51c102.77$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.361172.7%8 W · 3 L+3.8wins+0.34per pick38cpaid+88.6%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes48c100.92$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.481145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+46.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed No50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502040%8 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf11a…d3e3backed No52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cae…fdc1backed Yes49c98.92$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.455048%24 W · 26 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x876d…1327backed Yes47c95.94$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.06944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8006…94dcbacked Yes51c95.25$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.72862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.29per pick34cpaid+105.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x99ec…0da5backed Yes51c95.16$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.63425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No78c94.55$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.9410633%35 W · 71 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-30.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ec1…3f7bbacked Yes52c93.9$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.352100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+72.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked No24c93.83$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.111816.7%3 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick28cpaid-41.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2062…6be2backed Yes52c93.38$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.821844.4%8 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.