Australian A League · resolved market
Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7bf7d64d9d9cfb495cd33c485fdcab835fd61416950f9c7e847beb8be98251a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,082
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,587
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,082 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbe87…6fc0backed No | 76c | 10,374$7,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,489.71 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.25per pick | 47cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 24c | 4,092$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.15 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 29c | 3,163$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.76 | 151 | 40.4%61 W · 90 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 24c | 2,937$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.88 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 17c | 2,250$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 24c | 2,082$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.68 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 1,753$1,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.82 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Yes | 14c | 1,399$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.84 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 24c | 1,031$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.78 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 71c | 860.67$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.81 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -4.9wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce1…2f49backed Yes | 48c | 651.98$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 24c | 320$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 76c | 286.15$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.04 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 24c | 262.4$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.98 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 66c | 229.48$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.42 | 148 | 43.9%65 W · 83 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 75c | 195.75$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.33 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 76c | 195.07$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.39 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Yes | 28c | 193.03$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.56 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes | 26c | 184.13$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.78 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 17c | 182.24$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.15 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 24c | 173.6$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.66 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 71c | 167.5$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.87 | 108 | 57.4%62 W · 46 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 20c | 164.87$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebb5…ec99backed Yes | 18c | 144.36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe332…0cf7backed Yes | 24c | 125.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6084…5c17backed Yes | 25c | 114.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d12…a4c4backed Yes | 25c | 114.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked Yes | 25c | 113.88$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 75c | 106.67$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Yes | 27c | 106.24$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.69 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 78c | 102.91$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.29 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 70c | 101$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.79 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 20c | 100.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 97 | 14.4%14 W · 83 L | -13.0wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 33c | 95.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.67 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Yes | 24c | 86.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 26c | 78.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 26c | 73.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 74c | 71.23$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 28c | 71.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 125 | 32.8%41 W · 84 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 20c | 69.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 18c | 68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 110 | 50%55 W · 55 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…c3c4backed Yes | 19c | 60.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 49c | 59.83$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.08 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe497…2b89backed Yes | 25c | 57.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 24c | 56.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0430…80a2backed Yes | 25c | 55.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 24c | 48.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 43c | 47.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 50c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd1…344fbacked No | 54c | 26.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 74c | 19.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed No | 72c | 14.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 74c | 13.47$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.44 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -9.7wins | -0.20per pick | 59cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-04-25?Yes won
- Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC win on 2026-04-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.