UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Jafel Filho vs. Cody Durden (Flyweight, Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74048cba84dac3cafc07f17e7f9801e684b25ecaf65c656ee6d4a6854277142b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cody Durdenof Jafel Filho, Cody Durden
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $376,123
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $486,271
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $376,123 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3e2f…aaf8backed Cody Durden | 17c | 46,638$8,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,590.79 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6e…5cfdbacked Cody Durden | 16c | 33,456$5,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,102.62 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…017fbacked Jafel Filho | 10c | 24,064$2,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,521.86 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Jafel Filho | 53c | 17,994$9,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,510.83 | 159 | 39.6%63 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Cody Durden | 16c | 16,122$2,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,542.65 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…f004backed Cody Durden | 72c | 14,073$10,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,912.77 | 209 | 54.1%113 W · 96 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d2…ac37backed Cody Durden | 18c | 10,455$1,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,574.12 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb0…ca79backed Jafel Filho | 28c | 4,409$1,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.31 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb6…3965backed Jafel Filho | 1c | 2,822$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.22 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Jafel Filho | 58c | 2,558$1,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,482.99 | 159 | 33.3%53 W · 106 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…e11cbacked Cody Durden | 18c | 2,377$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,949.14 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Jafel Filho | 66c | 2,290$1,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,513.07 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Jafel Filho | 77c | 2,200$1,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,695.59 | 309 | 64.7%200 W · 109 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76cc…fbbcbacked Cody Durden | 34c | 2,066$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,357.69 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e7…613ebacked Cody Durden | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52f4…2b15backed Cody Durden | 43c | 1,869$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.14 | 161 | 56.5%91 W · 70 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Cody Durden | 73c | 1,785$1,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.21 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed Cody Durden | 40c | 1,743$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.17 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…0574backed Jafel Filho | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Jafel Filho | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceb1…bd4fbacked Jafel Filho | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7b…440fbacked Jafel Filho | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Jafel Filho | 60c | 1,430$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.85 | 137 | 35.8%49 W · 88 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Jafel Filho | 14c | 1,428$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 36 | 8.3%3 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0940…3640backed Cody Durden | 34c | 1,396$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.65 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0506…8c6abacked Jafel Filho | 51c | 1,327$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.61 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Jafel Filho | 60c | 1,312$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.35 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20dd…f6acbacked Jafel Filho | 65c | 1,242$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.56 | 318 | 55%175 W · 143 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Jafel Filho | 1c | 1,200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Cody Durden | 17c | 1,057$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…0734backed Jafel Filho | 76c | 1,034$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.86 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Jafel Filho | 19c | 951.4$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.77 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f3…3426backed Cody Durden | 28c | 923.75$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.47 | 141 | 32.6%46 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fb…a074backed Cody Durden | 17c | 793.14$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +125.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Cody Durden | 13c | 792.49$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.46 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71b4…f97ebacked Cody Durden | 64c | 768.28$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.19 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +192.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…9d0bbacked Jafel Filho | 64c | 761.46$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.8 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Jafel Filho | 54c | 735.08$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.1 | 383 | 53.3%204 W · 179 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Jafel Filho | 61c | 714.39$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.95 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…884ebacked Cody Durden | 36c | 712.66$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.29 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Jafel Filho | 47c | 697.41$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.86 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -29%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe802…e465backed Cody Durden | 18c | 687.21$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.61 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d9…5896backed Cody Durden | 18c | 660.28$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.43 | 142 | 37.3%53 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Jafel Filho | 58c | 656.39$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.94 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Cody Durden | 47c | 637.22$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.83 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf23…dcb7backed Cody Durden | 17c | 616.23$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.47 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Cody Durden | 47c | 613.87$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.05 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | +11.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Cody Durden | 18c | 591.61$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.12 | 261 | 40.6%106 W · 155 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa844…83b8backed Cody Durden | 47c | 588.09$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.46 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…fe85backed Cody Durden | 57c | 572.6$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.22 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda00…5c4dbacked Cody Durden | 18c | 559.92$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.13 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Jafel Filho | 58c | 553.95$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.73 | 201 | 39.8%80 W · 121 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Jafel Filho | 44c | 543.54$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.65 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c14…d8fbbacked Jafel Filho | 65c | 541.84$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.23 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Jafel Filho | 50c | 490.34$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.99 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdded…13a2backed Cody Durden | 27c | 488.7$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.47 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Cody Durden | 55c | 486.47$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.33 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae1…bbedbacked Jafel Filho | 55c | 469.82$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.26 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed Cody Durden | 15c | 466.65$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.66 | 248 | 47.2%117 W · 131 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Cody Durden | 53c | 463$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.61 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Jafel Filho | 50c | 418.91$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.48 | 377 | 54.6%206 W · 171 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99b1…196abacked Cody Durden | 43c | 407.24$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.43 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b39…7fbcbacked Cody Durden | 18c | 401.45$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.19 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd738…eeeebacked Cody Durden | 22c | 395.51$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.43 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Jafel Filho | 64c | 387.01$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.97 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Jafel Filho | 69c | 372$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.68 | 180 | 32.8%59 W · 121 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3d…351dbacked Cody Durden | 48c | 365.87$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.13 | 120 | 55.8%67 W · 53 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Jafel Filho | 70c | 351.74$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.47 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x692e…ee58backed Cody Durden | 58c | 336.65$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.7 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Jafel Filho | 46c | 324$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.51 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Jafel Filho | 77c | 311$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.02 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Cody Durden | 31c | 309.85$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.73 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | +10.2wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…e8b5backed Cody Durden | 19c | 285.78$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.48 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe160…b6b9backed Cody Durden | 50c | 282.52$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.39 | 144 | 42.4%61 W · 83 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…4259backed Jafel Filho | 70c | 280.57$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Cody Durden | 17c | 276.56$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.48 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8cee…0d1ebacked Jafel Filho | 75c | 261.73$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.11 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x914b…b84abacked Cody Durden | 19c | 250.37$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.8 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Jafel Filho | 40c | 248.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.54 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29fb…09f1backed Cody Durden | 19c | 247.11$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +414.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea8e…ee37backed Cody Durden | 55c | 229.07$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.08 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x360b…982fbacked Jafel Filho | 80c | 222.41$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.93 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2461…f240backed Jafel Filho | 77c | 206.33$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd6…84cdbacked Jafel Filho | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Cody Durden | 17c | 199.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.99 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…e115backed Cody Durden | 34c | 197.73$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.5 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Jafel Filho | 69c | 179.21$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.66 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Jafel Filho | 69c | 179.21$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.66 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Cody Durden | 29c | 163.14$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.29 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f94…f992backed Cody Durden | 18c | 158.47$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.94 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2311…99ecbacked Cody Durden | 28c | 157.19$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.69 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Jafel Filho | 69c | 151.65$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.64 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +32%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbccb…5269backed Cody Durden | 17c | 139.51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.79 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac6b…a962backed Cody Durden | 28c | 136.4$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Cody Durden | 28c | 134.94$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.57 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbc…1d39backed Cody Durden | 21c | 117.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.2 | 178 | 41.6%74 W · 104 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Jafel Filho | 9c | 116.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 54 | 18.5%10 W · 44 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e3…1080backed Jafel Filho | 68c | 114.9$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.13 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -6.7wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e91…4e8bbacked Jafel Filho | 78c | 110.67$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.85 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | -7.8wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Cody Durden | 16c | 106.55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.5 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Jafel Filho vs. Cody Durden (Flyweight, Prelims)this page
- O/U 1.5 RoundsOver won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.