Euroleague · resolved market
Real Madrid vs. La Laguna Tenerife
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc05ba7f7e275d23907974a528f937d17aaecd7f283c2d98386076d1a45f64fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- La Laguna Tenerifeof Real Madrid, La Laguna Tenerife
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,842
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,319
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,842 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1316…48a4backed Real Madrid | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked La Laguna Tenerife | 40c | 3,941$1,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,369.71 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked La Laguna Tenerife | 42c | 2,352$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,355.53 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…4c80backed La Laguna Tenerife | 45c | 1,619$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Real Madrid | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed La Laguna Tenerife | 28c | 1,383$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.51 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed Real Madrid | 1c | 1,346$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a05…cd14backed Real Madrid | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Real Madrid | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc26a…b715backed La Laguna Tenerife | 19c | 980.1$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.1 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Real Madrid | 60c | 955.5$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.82 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Real Madrid | 73c | 912.09$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcab9…baf6backed La Laguna Tenerife | 60c | 761.96$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.45 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed La Laguna Tenerife | 15c | 659.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.53 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked La Laguna Tenerife | 36c | 610$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.45 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked La Laguna Tenerife | 21c | 541.57$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.5 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Real Madrid | 75c | 526.39$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.28 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed La Laguna Tenerife | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.32 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +103.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked La Laguna Tenerife | 37c | 523.84$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.59 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed La Laguna Tenerife | 15c | 500$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…a5d5backed La Laguna Tenerife | 40c | 498.49$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.49 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked La Laguna Tenerife | 19c | 473.65$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.32 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed La Laguna Tenerife | 37c | 405.89$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.09 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe6…a99fbacked La Laguna Tenerife | 16c | 319.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.94 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Real Madrid | 8c | 310.72$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.91 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed Real Madrid | 49c | 292$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.39 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb829…4f5ebacked Real Madrid | 22c | 283$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.93 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -43%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Real Madrid | 31c | 270$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.86 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Real Madrid | 31c | 270$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.86 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed La Laguna Tenerife | 16c | 229.75$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.99 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Real Madrid | 48c | 209.84$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.45 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e42…f22abacked Real Madrid | 52c | 200$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…7518backed Real Madrid | 79c | 190$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.3 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked La Laguna Tenerife | 39c | 176.21$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.01 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +121.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0580…f78bbacked Real Madrid | 39c | 174$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.21 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed La Laguna Tenerife | 40c | 139.18$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.86 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked La Laguna Tenerife | 30c | 138.64$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +75%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked La Laguna Tenerife | 37c | 130$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.34 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked La Laguna Tenerife | 15c | 129.25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.27 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Real Madrid | 61c | 126$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.86 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef2…fdb6backed La Laguna Tenerife | 16c | 123.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.49 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Real Madrid | 78c | 120$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed La Laguna Tenerife | 16c | 118.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.75 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Real Madrid | 50c | 113$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.2 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Real Madrid | 73c | 111.34$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.98 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed La Laguna Tenerife | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x293c…dcbabacked Real Madrid | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Real Madrid | 75c | 99.44$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.62 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -4.2wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x456a…6a90backed La Laguna Tenerife | 42c | 98.04$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.86 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Real Madrid | 45c | 84.33$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.59 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a0…1f3dbacked La Laguna Tenerife | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.33 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked La Laguna Tenerife | 40c | 81.22$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.73 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed La Laguna Tenerife | 25c | 81.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 70 | 31.4%22 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed La Laguna Tenerife | 17c | 81.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.05 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Real Madrid | 36c | 75.49$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked La Laguna Tenerife | 41c | 73.9$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.97 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Real Madrid | 44c | 66$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.27 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Real Madrid | 37c | 65.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed La Laguna Tenerife | 17c | 65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.95 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +67%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Real Madrid | 68c | 61.84$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.25 | 215 | 35.8%77 W · 138 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x086b…f18dbacked La Laguna Tenerife | 18c | 56.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +462.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed La Laguna Tenerife | 18c | 55.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.92 | 121 | 36.4%44 W · 77 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f07…4956backed La Laguna Tenerife | 19c | 54.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +426.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31c4…622fbacked La Laguna Tenerife | 39c | 50.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2d…20f6backed La Laguna Tenerife | 39c | 44.07$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +159.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Real Madrid | 76c | 26.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83f9…d399backed Real Madrid | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Real Madrid | 45c | 24.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Real Madrid | 67c | 22.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb4…f3a4backed Real Madrid | 68c | 21.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Real Madrid | 80c | 14.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 76cpaid | -51%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.