La Liga · resolved market
Spread: UD Almería (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c1bd1bc357e34a48789037e810a05674b4aea80c6d2cf85409ff7fcc699280b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Real Valladolid CFof UD Almería, Real Valladolid CF
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,102
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,974
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,102 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed UD Almería | 47c | 7,777$3,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,655.17 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…5122backed Real Valladolid CF | 53c | 4,528$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,128.3 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4956…e2c7backed UD Almería | 47c | 4,216$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980.06 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Real Valladolid CF | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Real Valladolid CF | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Real Valladolid CF | 66c | 2,177$1,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.19 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed UD Almería | 46c | 2,000$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.29 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed UD Almería | 45c | 1,453$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.66 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Real Valladolid CF | 53c | 937.82$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.06 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Real Valladolid CF | 54c | 865.09$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.71 | 403 | 57.1%230 W · 173 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Real Valladolid CF | 54c | 861.41$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.03 | 224 | 55.8%125 W · 99 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked UD Almería | 37c | 780$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.18 | 132 | 30.3%40 W · 92 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…81e0backed UD Almería | 31c | 580$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.8 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a47…cfbbbacked UD Almería | 46c | 426.09$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked UD Almería | 27c | 368.06$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.38 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Real Valladolid CF | 53c | 346$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.96 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Real Valladolid CF | 54c | 333$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.18 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Real Valladolid CF | 53c | 235$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.45 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed UD Almería | 47c | 215$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.05 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +44%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6e…542dbacked UD Almería | 45c | 214.38$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked UD Almería | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 186 | 53.8%100 W · 86 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked UD Almería | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed UD Almería | 45c | 180$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked UD Almería | 31c | 175$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.1 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed UD Almería | 45c | 144.49$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.68 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Real Valladolid CF | 54c | 125$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 234 | 55.1%129 W · 105 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Real Valladolid CF | 55c | 120$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…db27backed Real Valladolid CF | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d9…1059backed UD Almería | 45c | 111.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.14 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacd1…0689backed UD Almería | 47c | 106.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Real Valladolid CF | 53c | 101.89$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.89 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed UD Almería | 45c | 97$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.65 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed UD Almería | 45c | 92$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.67 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Real Valladolid CF | 55c | 89.48$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.27 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31d6…b5c9backed UD Almería | 36c | 82.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.05 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Real Valladolid CF | 53c | 81.06$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.76 | 124 | 60.5%75 W · 49 L | +12.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Real Valladolid CF | 60c | 80.79$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.98 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Real Valladolid CF | 53c | 70.26$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.02 | 91 | 67%61 W · 30 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef2…fdb6backed Real Valladolid CF | 54c | 62$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.52 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Real Valladolid CF | 54c | 53.52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed UD Almería | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed UD Almería | 34c | 47.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed UD Almería | 49c | 46.94$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Real Valladolid CF | 53c | 46.08$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.87 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked UD Almería | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Real Valladolid CF | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 224 | 56.3%126 W · 98 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Real Valladolid CF | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +7.1wins | +0.31per pick | 43cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Real Valladolid CF | 54c | 29.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9906…7d46backed Real Valladolid CF | 53c | 24.27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.41 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b7…3267backed Real Valladolid CF | 53c | 22.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Real Valladolid CF | 57c | 17.88$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.69 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: UD Almería (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Real Valladolid CF (-1.5)UD Almería won
- Spread: Real Valladolid CF (-2.5)UD Almería won
- Spread: UD Almería (-2.5)Real Valladolid CF won
- UD Almería vs. Real Valladolid CF: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- UD Almería vs. Real Valladolid CF: O/U 0.5Over won
- UD Almería vs. Real Valladolid CF: O/U 1.5Under won
- UD Almería vs. Real Valladolid CF: O/U 2.5Under won
- UD Almería vs. Real Valladolid CF: O/U 3.5Under won
- UD Almería vs. Real Valladolid CF: O/U 4.5Under won
- UD Almería vs. Real Valladolid CF: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.