MLB · resolved market

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe483f47893f6dcd5fe8da9858b2e03c5f0bc8c5649f54e11e46b0467db12d259

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Miami Marlinsof Tampa Bay Rays, Miami Marlins
Resolved: Jun 7, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $399,300
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $458,723

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $399,300 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 260 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked Miami Marlins	50c	55,555$27,778 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27,777.5	1,385	49.5%685 W · 700 L	-4.9wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8a67…e403backed Tampa Bay Rays	51c	38,700$19,737 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,737	41	56.1%23 W · 18 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Tampa Bay Rays	42c	30,505$12,681 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,680.53	10,846	51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L	+137.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Tampa Bay Rays	51c	29,412$15,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,000	238	46.6%111 W · 127 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Tampa Bay Rays	50c	29,164$14,582 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,582.07	239	48.5%116 W · 123 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Miami Marlins	49c	27,000$13,230 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,769.93	770	53.9%415 W · 355 L	+8.1wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc1…b33cbacked Miami Marlins	55c	21,978$12,088 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,890.11	260	56.9%148 W · 112 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Miami Marlins	49c	21,600$10,651 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,949.34	1,660	50.1%832 W · 828 L	-22.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Miami Marlins	53c	15,310$8,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,210.35	4,279	47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L	-83.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Miami Marlins	71c	12,736$9,103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,632.97	950	45.2%429 W · 521 L	-12.0wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Tampa Bay Rays	50c	12,567$6,272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,272.22	595	49.7%296 W · 299 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Miami Marlins	61c	12,286$7,539 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,746.76	8,470	52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L	+510.0wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b88…8f33backed Tampa Bay Rays	50c	10,000$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	448	51.6%231 W · 217 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Tampa Bay Rays	28c	9,052$2,555 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,555.34	2,021	39.5%798 W · 1,223 L	-25.7wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Miami Marlins	75c	8,836$6,624 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,212.35	11,357	52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L	+209.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b74…0482backed Tampa Bay Rays	8c	7,053$575 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$575.06	522	28%146 W · 376 L	-57.7wins	-0.11per pick	39cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Tampa Bay Rays	50c	6,933$3,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,500	192	39.1%75 W · 117 L	-10.8wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Tampa Bay Rays	22c	6,140$1,341 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,340.63	2,969	48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L	-5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0e64…336dbacked Tampa Bay Rays	50c	5,000$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	449	45.4%204 W · 245 L	-13.9wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Miami Marlins	49c	4,500$2,205 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,295	5,401	50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L	+17.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b44…3992backed Miami Marlins	55c	4,396$2,418 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,978.02	156	59%92 W · 64 L	+5.1wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf11…c679backed Miami Marlins	49c	3,659$1,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,858.78	289	44.3%128 W · 161 L	-12.8wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Miami Marlins	59c	3,316$1,948 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,368.66	1,499	58.9%883 W · 616 L	+75.6wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	-2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Tampa Bay Rays	51c	3,000$1,530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,529.96	2,104	51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L	+11.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Tampa Bay Rays	50c	2,606$1,306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,305.59	3,453	51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L	+58.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e56…d55ebacked Tampa Bay Rays	18c	2,538$449 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$448.85	140	37.1%52 W · 88 L	-10.4wins	-0.07per pick	45cpaid	-34%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5674…2ff4backed Miami Marlins	55c	2,198$1,209 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$989.01	127	59.8%76 W · 51 L	+5.8wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4861…3aaebacked Miami Marlins	55c	2,198$1,209 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$989.01	127	59.1%75 W · 52 L	+4.8wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x459e…7dd1backed Tampa Bay Rays	50c	2,071$1,035 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,035.36	70	47.1%33 W · 37 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Miami Marlins	50c	1,800$900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$900	866	53%459 W · 407 L	+16.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52e3…3337backed Tampa Bay Rays	50c	1,499$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$749.56	432	53.9%233 W · 199 L	+12.0wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Miami Marlins	48c	1,455$702 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$752.47	1,345	47.7%642 W · 703 L	+10.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Tampa Bay Rays	29c	1,279$370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$369.68	4,553	49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L	-9.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Miami Marlins	49c	1,239$607 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$631.89	1,381	48.1%664 W · 717 L	-13.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Tampa Bay Rays	51c	1,161$592 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$591.97	779	51.1%398 W · 381 L	+6.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Tampa Bay Rays	51c	1,088$558 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$558.25	2,369	47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked Miami Marlins	49c	1,073$526 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$547.07	168	45.8%77 W · 91 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Miami Marlins	72c	1,047$758 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$289.31	1,456	42.7%622 W · 834 L	-39.7wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36aa…a683backed Tampa Bay Rays	2c	1,043$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.86	443	47.9%212 W · 231 L	-5.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Miami Marlins	66c	1,041$688 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$352.52	718	50.1%360 W · 358 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5d21…abc5backed Tampa Bay Rays	19c	1,026$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195	124	41.1%51 W · 73 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Tampa Bay Rays	51c	1,000$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510	672	50.1%337 W · 335 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaab5…fdc0backed Tampa Bay Rays	8c	999.95$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.19	292	41.4%121 W · 171 L	+9.0wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Miami Marlins	32c	999.69$320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$679.79	367	29.4%108 W · 259 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x81b0…858cbacked Tampa Bay Rays	51c	980.39$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	205	52.7%108 W · 97 L	+12.1wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Miami Marlins	71c	916.67$651 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$265.83	2,147	50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L	+27.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…67fdbacked Tampa Bay Rays	51c	899.98$462 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$461.99	377	48.8%184 W · 193 L	-1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x085c…99e3backed Tampa Bay Rays	51c	899.3$458 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$458.36	244	48.4%118 W · 126 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f0b…5577backed Tampa Bay Rays	51c	891.27$455 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$454.55	294	49.7%146 W · 148 L	-7.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Tampa Bay Rays	47c	851.06$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	2,243	57.6%1,293 W · 950 L	+37.1wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Tampa Bay Rays	50c	831.23$416 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$415.62	1,402	48.8%684 W · 718 L	-11.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Miami Marlins	50c	800$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$400	859	52.6%452 W · 407 L	+7.8wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Tampa Bay Rays	34c	750.69$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$254.91	3,792	45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L	-5.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Miami Marlins	48c	636.82$309 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$327.96	2,947	51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L	-34.0wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Tampa Bay Rays	12c	610$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74	201	38.8%78 W · 123 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Miami Marlins	46c	606.73$278 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$328.74	3,457	51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L	+108.1wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Tampa Bay Rays	45c	603.98$271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270.78	4,478	48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L	-47.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Miami Marlins	49c	598.98$291 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$308.47	1,515	51.1%774 W · 741 L	+7.5wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Miami Marlins	70c	568.35$398 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$170.11	8,295	47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L	+72.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Tampa Bay Rays	53c	470.99$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.63	1,851	53.1%982 W · 869 L	+18.1wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a6…6991backed Tampa Bay Rays	13c	463.16$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	397	39.5%157 W · 240 L	+6.2wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa73a…656abacked Miami Marlins	49c	462$226 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$235.62	577	58.1%335 W · 242 L	+28.5wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Miami Marlins	54c	459.47$246 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$213.59	12,247	46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L	-68.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ef2…fdb6backed Tampa Bay Rays	54c	449$242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$242.46	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-4.1wins	-0.32per pick	55cpaid	-60.5%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Tampa Bay Rays	51c	426.27$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217.4	224	48.7%109 W · 115 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Miami Marlins	49c	408$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$208.08	1,137	46.3%526 W · 611 L	+36.1wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Miami Marlins	33c	405.58$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$271.74	707	35.1%248 W · 459 L	-31.7wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Miami Marlins	59c	405.36$241 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$164.72	791	47.9%379 W · 412 L	+3.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Miami Marlins	49c	400$196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$204	328	50%164 W · 164 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xad88…3c1ebacked Tampa Bay Rays	51c	400$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204	483	54.7%264 W · 219 L	+20.8wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa95a…6b78backed Miami Marlins	50c	400$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200.1	65	52.3%34 W · 31 L	+3.2wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf5b…5d3abacked Tampa Bay Rays	51c	392.16$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	60	56.7%34 W · 26 L	-3.7wins	-0.06per pick	63cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Tampa Bay Rays	50c	380.45$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.75	6,899	50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L	-7.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Miami Marlins	37c	379.75$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$240.14	6,116	55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L	+344.6wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Miami Marlins	50c	378$189 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$189	2,045	53.8%1,100 W · 945 L	+32.7wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd991…faeabacked Miami Marlins	49c	367.41$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$187.41	404	49.3%199 W · 205 L	-13.7wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Tampa Bay Rays	51c	359.55$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183.37	134	41%55 W · 79 L	-12.2wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-19%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x72f3…d396backed Miami Marlins	49c	334.49$165 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$169.49	506	47%238 W · 268 L	-21.3wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Tampa Bay Rays	37c	332.82$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.9	4,035	57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L	+72.2wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48ed…33bebacked Tampa Bay Rays	46c	326.09$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	37	75.7%28 W · 9 L	+7.4wins	+0.20per pick	56cpaid	+36.2%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Tampa Bay Rays	58c	320.49$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.62	694	47.6%330 W · 364 L	-9.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6676…22f3backed Miami Marlins	49c	306.17$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156.17	529	47.4%251 W · 278 L	-24.8wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Miami Marlins	79c	303$239 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.75	230	36.1%83 W · 147 L	-11.2wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3783…171dbacked Tampa Bay Rays	50c	300$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	115	49.6%57 W · 58 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Tampa Bay Rays	51c	300$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153	1,483	50.2%745 W · 738 L	+5.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Tampa Bay Rays	51c	294.12$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	940	34.3%322 W · 618 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x88fb…db3abacked Miami Marlins	50c	294$147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147	732	43.4%318 W · 414 L	-14.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Tampa Bay Rays	35c	288.77$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.07	1,137	42.6%484 W · 653 L	+10.0wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f6a…9888backed Miami Marlins	54c	263$142 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$121.39	786	49.1%386 W · 400 L	+3.7wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x20e5…118dbacked Miami Marlins	49c	250$123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.5	514	49.2%253 W · 261 L	-5.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Tampa Bay Rays	59c	246.57$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.12	6,303	48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L	+181.4wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f9b…a181backed Miami Marlins	49c	244.95$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.95	205	43.9%90 W · 115 L	-10.0wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda54…b8a1backed Miami Marlins	64c	237.56$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.72	284	56.7%161 W · 123 L	+11.5wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7fd…0dedbacked Miami Marlins	43c	232.55$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132.55	75	44%33 W · 42 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a50…e934backed Tampa Bay Rays	65c	230.77$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	67	68.7%46 W · 21 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	71cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5572…f01ebacked Tampa Bay Rays	51c	220$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.1	90	58.9%53 W · 37 L	+3.6wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xea6e…7c46backed Miami Marlins	49c	214.2$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.2	674	49.4%333 W · 341 L	-28.0wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed Tampa Bay Rays	52c	211.54$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	141	61%86 W · 55 L	+9.9wins	+0.07per pick	54cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a0a…75acbacked Miami Marlins	49c	207.23$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.28	465	46%214 W · 251 L	-17.8wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Miami Marlins	49c	204.98$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.54	1,435	50%717 W · 718 L	+25.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlinsthis page
Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
Spread: Miami Marlins (-3.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 11.5Under won
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 5.5Under won
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 6.5Under won
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5Under won
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5Under won
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 9.5Under won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami MarlinsNo won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event