MLB · resolved market
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x662e7d64e9cf012db653a24695ff7b583280ffe074d2249da7159981297235a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,610
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,332
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,610 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9a4c…1f30backed Under | 54c | 16,400$8,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,583 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 46c | 11,135$5,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,121.94 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 56c | 6,690$3,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,965.07 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 46c | 6,308$2,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,870.5 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Over | 44c | 5,102$2,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,244.69 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Under | 56c | 4,141$2,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,829.94 | 390 | 47.4%185 W · 205 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 45c | 3,063$1,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375.52 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 35c | 2,276$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.07 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Under | 53c | 1,800$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 47c | 1,526$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.4 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 56c | 1,406$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.64 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 47c | 999.98$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.99 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Under | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -27%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 52c | 918.19$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.73 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 53c | 900.87$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.41 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 53c | 900.87$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.41 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 46c | 898.79$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.36 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 75c | 734.21$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.86 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 42c | 725.08$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.84 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Under | 58c | 575.29$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.85 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 48c | 457$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.36 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Over | 17c | 417.51$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.53 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 45c | 400$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Over | 47c | 361.29$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.81 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Over | 28c | 358.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.3 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 34c | 331.05$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.12 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 63c | 276$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.07 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 47c | 240$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.8 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Over | 43c | 231.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.67 | 111 | 38.7%43 W · 68 L | -11.0wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Over | 46c | 217.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.02 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Under | 58c | 189.66$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.66 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 15c | 175.76$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.98 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 35c | 168.5$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.73 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 46c | 153$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 47c | 142$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.74 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc78d…0bbdbacked Over | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Over | 46c | 127.18$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.17 | 264 | 38.3%101 W · 163 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over | 45c | 120$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Over | 47c | 112.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.11 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1c…debbbacked Over | 46c | 101$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.46 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 44c | 97.67$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.49 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 20c | 80.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Over | 45c | 80$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.73 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 68c | 80$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Over | 32c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 303 | 40.6%123 W · 180 L | -16.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Under | 52c | 74.87$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.75 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…5d44backed Under | 53c | 66.04$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2573…2726backed Under | 58c | 60.34$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 230 | 51.7%119 W · 111 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Over | 22c | 59.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 447 | 45.6%204 W · 243 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Over | 48c | 59.29$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.46 | 597 | 49.9%298 W · 299 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 44c | 58$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Under | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…0eb2backed Under | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 859 | 49.1%422 W · 437 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 47c | 54.58$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba17…5c67backed Over | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Over | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 45c | 49.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.47 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x89b7…fd93backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5aa…e292backed Under | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66c0…5fc2backed Under | 73c | 38.36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 252 | 56.7%143 W · 109 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x138d…b23ebacked Over | 46c | 36.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 48c | 34.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6769…f8b9backed Under | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x193a…2b55backed Under | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 234 | 55.1%129 W · 105 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked Over | 47c | 33.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 221 | 51.6%114 W · 107 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Under | 63c | 31.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 435 | 60%261 W · 174 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa541…7aefbacked Under | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e4…c62abacked Over | 47c | 25.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Over | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 556 | 43.9%244 W · 312 L | -38.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Over | 45c | 24.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 539 | 50.6%273 W · 266 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 79c | 23.81$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc823…c1b9backed Under | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 465 | 57.2%266 W · 199 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Under | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b2…6a58backed Under | 55c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 127 | 53.5%68 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabe7…24a0backed Under | 56c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5894…c28ebacked Under | 78c | 15.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5this page
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-3.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami MarlinsMiami Marlins won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 11.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 5.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 6.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami MarlinsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.