TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Flyers vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$424,426
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$428,938

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $424,426 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4bff…fc26backed Over45c301,816$134,969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134,969.181822.2%4 W · 14 L-4.2wins-0.23per pick46cpaid-51.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe3c9…4b9cbacked Under56c228,818$127,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101,695.942147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Under55c111,111$61,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,999.9412146.3%56 W · 65 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over43c55,059$23,926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,925.7210545.7%48 W · 57 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x47a8…52f9backed Under57c30,065$17,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,928.997545.3%34 W · 41 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over44c12,000$5,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,28041842.8%179 W · 239 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under55c6,805$3,743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,062.4511952.1%62 W · 57 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Under55c5,350$2,952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,397.5527044.4%120 W · 150 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44d6…9858backed Over45c5,000$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,25029146.7%136 W · 155 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked Over45c4,356$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,960.3214151.8%73 W · 68 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfd9…648dbacked Over44c3,361$1,479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,479771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+30.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over44c2,979$1,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,316.051,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef23…5b60backed Over44c2,919$1,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,284.564242.2%271 W · 371 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under56c2,500$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,10031848.7%155 W · 163 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a6c…236dbacked Under59c2,000$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8203056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf63a…90e6backed Over45c1,929$877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$877.364141.5%17 W · 24 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over41c1,801$736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$736.4689355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Under55c1,220$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.147753.9%257 W · 220 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over45c1,113$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.412,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Under54c1,100$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50683652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x54ea…f74abacked Over44c920.45$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4054740.4%19 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc83f…23e4backed Over14c917.74$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.033259.4%19 W · 13 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under57c877.19$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.1925449.6%126 W · 128 L-15.0wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ef2…fdb6backed Over46c825.47$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.72862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under52c800.06$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.373,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeca0…e8f8backed Under56c800$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3522857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid-1.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over43c635.33$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.091,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over48c624.99$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30012357.7%71 W · 52 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Over43c599.98$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.9926154%141 W · 120 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Over18c583.33$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10535829.3%105 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb7c…8eabbacked Over44c568.18$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25011245.5%51 W · 61 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd56b…342dbacked Over36c561.32$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.08250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Over44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2204949%24 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0ca…ee0cbacked Over73c500$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-22.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under80c479.94$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.1961848.1%297 W · 321 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over47c459.76$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.098469%58 W · 26 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over33c435$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.5513841.3%57 W · 81 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Over47c416.4$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.9410166.3%67 W · 34 L+11.0wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+25%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over45c359.65$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.9928749.8%143 W · 144 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Over56c313$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.0424946.2%115 W · 134 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Over45c300$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1357149.3%35 W · 36 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under67c283.21$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.3841050.7%208 W · 202 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Under55c272.73$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.7329551.9%153 W · 142 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under56c258.68$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.8233554%181 W · 154 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x58c7…4f5ebacked Under55c229.09$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.092045%9 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd52c…6c59backed Over44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030855.5%171 W · 137 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under56c222.21$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.4476950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb37…7d86backed Over46c213.33$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.721833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-47.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Under56c207.13$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.1411648.3%56 W · 60 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa974…ef79backed Under54c186.53$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.8110743%46 W · 61 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+22.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed Under50c170.51$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.595653.6%30 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under30c164.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.911,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Under57c159.61$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.195954.2%32 W · 27 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36d0…8dcebacked Over45c150$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.518046.7%84 W · 96 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Over45c125$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.258150.6%41 W · 40 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under42c124.95$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.831,14051.5%587 W · 553 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over47c121.89$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.2914045.7%64 W · 76 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f46…85c0backed Under57c121.54$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.2610256.9%58 W · 44 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over39c118.5$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.3521355.4%118 W · 95 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf58…2bf4backed Over44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe601…84ecbacked Under56c111.47$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.057533.3%25 W · 50 L-6.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-25.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Over34c109.22$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.626527.7%18 W · 47 L-6.3wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-39.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Under57c105.26$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.2639751.1%203 W · 194 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Over45c103.09$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.3986549.1%425 W · 440 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…ad11backed Under43c100.51$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.29944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Over46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4697955.5%543 W · 436 L+21.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Over44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4414653.4%78 W · 68 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Over45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4518941.8%79 W · 110 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Over44c97.52$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.8650251.2%257 W · 245 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd52…df69backed Under45c91.5$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.161163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+28.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x27e2…20ccbacked Over44c90.91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over57c89.52$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9349851%254 W · 244 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under56c88.2$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8182353.1%437 W · 386 L+1.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Over44c80.75$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.536154.1%33 W · 28 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Over55c79.77$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.9212733.1%42 W · 85 L-10.1wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under55c78.73$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2460449.2%297 W · 307 L-17.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Over47c77.32$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.347265.3%47 W · 25 L+7.6wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+16.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3704…5487backed Over44c75.78$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.721625%4 W · 12 L-4.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-53.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe479…70dfbacked Under25c75.56$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.674134.1%14 W · 27 L-5.3wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-27.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6e2e…7f4ebacked Under56c70.71$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.116251.6%32 W · 30 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over45c70.43$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.345959.3%35 W · 24 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Over44c65.75$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.938844.3%39 W · 49 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x951b…291abacked Over46c65.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306540%26 W · 39 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over46c65$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.953849.4%266 W · 272 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Under54c65$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.93748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Over55c61.78$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.688757.5%50 W · 37 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2baf…8023backed Under55c55.75$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.0911946.2%55 W · 64 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2bcf…c678backed Over48c55.1$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.452560%15 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Under55c54.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5571952.4%377 W · 342 L-2.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Under25c54$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.529533.6%99 W · 196 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Over45c50.51$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7345651.5%235 W · 221 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ffe…9150backed Over30c50.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.984738.3%18 W · 29 L-5.7wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-41%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Under55c48.87$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.9941850%209 W · 209 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b79…40ddbacked Under39c47.89$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+155.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3711…7339backed Under56c45.6$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.063053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed Over55c43$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.659141.8%38 W · 53 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec3e…11c0backed Over57c43$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.512045%9 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-28.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Over46c43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.782450%12 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8858…ed3ebacked Under56c41.98$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.472441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.