NHL · resolved market
Flyers vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11b9700822cd148a29c231c01d7b9fc6fe1912cfda04a863e2a201d382e77762
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,259
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,990
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,259 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Over | 34c | 5,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.99 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 59c | 3,610$2,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,141.01 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf367…212ebacked Under | 32c | 3,223$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,193.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Under | 70c | 2,709$1,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.86 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Under | 45c | 2,419$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,324.83 | 270 | 44.4%120 W · 150 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 65c | 2,091$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.1 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 30c | 1,861$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.42 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 66c | 1,801$1,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.37 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b88…9856backed Under | 66c | 910.2$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.47 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Under | 37c | 838.11$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.78 | 358 | 29.3%105 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 33c | 730.52$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.07 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 69c | 727.65$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.65 | 103 | 67%69 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 61c | 600$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.07 | 222 | 50.5%112 W · 110 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 31c | 538.11$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.94 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Over | 63c | 500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 261 | 54%141 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 43c | 488.07$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.4 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 39c | 457.32$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.87 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2628…757bbacked Over | 66c | 360$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…ad11backed Over | 51c | 345.2$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.19 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 32c | 324.88$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.54 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Under | 69c | 273.01$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.99 | 44 | 77.3%34 W · 10 L | +8.6wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 31c | 190.63$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.1 | 127 | 33.1%42 W · 85 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed Over | 51c | 164.55$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.18 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 27c | 164$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.28 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Over | 31c | 157.94$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 38c | 152.47$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.19 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d0…8dcebacked Under | 66c | 150$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9375…5a37backed Under | 66c | 143.09$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.65 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 63c | 141.89$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.39 | 138 | 41.3%57 W · 81 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8a…45aabacked Under | 69c | 131.3$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.3 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Under | 50c | 117$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.04 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Under | 70c | 115.51$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.08 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 32c | 105.25$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.68 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Under | 64c | 103.28$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.18 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 27c | 102.06$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 355 | 51%181 W · 174 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4892…27bcbacked Under | 68c | 101.47$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.47 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2e…c5d2backed Under | 68c | 101$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.32 | 75 | 80%60 W · 15 L | +10.0wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Over | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 236 | 65.7%155 W · 81 L | +15.5wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 31c | 99.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 146 | 53.4%78 W · 68 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551a…b3dcbacked Under | 70c | 99.49$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.49 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 66c | 91.74$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.55 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 35c | 85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 71c | 75$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.75 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 33c | 74.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb37…7d86backed Over | 36c | 74.27$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.85 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 397 | 51.1%203 W · 194 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 65c | 71.43$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b71…80ecbacked Over | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f7…b944backed Under | 36c | 66.16$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.54 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e1…f17fbacked Under | 68c | 66.09$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.09 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 44c | 61.8$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.08 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 34c | 59.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 67c | 57$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 67c | 55$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.96 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 26c | 54.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 333 | 63.7%212 W · 121 L | +44.3wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 42c | 50.89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 148 | 55.4%82 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 33c | 50.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 101 | 66.3%67 W · 34 L | +11.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +25%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 32c | 49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 276 | 59.4%164 W · 112 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Under | 68c | 46.41$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cac…988ebacked Under | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 73c | 43$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.44 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Over | 65c | 39.69$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.69 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5b…efbebacked Under | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…c407backed Over | 32c | 37.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c99…d91abacked Under | 68c | 36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88fc…74a4backed Under | 67c | 33.94$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd6…3beebacked Under | 67c | 30.91$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd22f…d0eebacked Under | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd5…a5bbbacked Under | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Under | 69c | 23.16$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.18 | 164 | 43.3%71 W · 93 L | -15.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c78…e701backed Under | 66c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…c07bbacked Under | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Under | 67c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcf…c678backed Over | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Over | 55c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 345 | 47.8%165 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb684…343cbacked Under | 66c | 15.27$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 60cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…772abacked Under | 68c | 14.81$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Flyers vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5this page
- Flyers vs. HurricanesHurricanes won
- Flyers vs. Hurricanes: O/U 4.5Over won
- Flyers vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5Under won
- Flyers vs. Hurricanes: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Flyers (-1.5)Hurricanes won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)Flyers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.