MLB · resolved market
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. NC Dinos
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b6cdf8ef791237dd5bb194b4dfed09c214de7475bbb79f277caac94506cd269
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NC Dinosof Lotte Giants, NC Dinos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,098
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,754
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,098 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Lotte Giants | 53c | 2,450$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed NC Dinos | 47c | 958.78$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.36 | 241 | 50.6%122 W · 119 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Lotte Giants | 52c | 628$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.46 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Lotte Giants | 52c | 617$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.84 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed NC Dinos | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Lotte Giants | 17c | 553.41$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.6 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed NC Dinos | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed Lotte Giants | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 269 | 48.7%131 W · 138 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Lotte Giants | 26c | 343.6$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.83 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed NC Dinos | 47c | 275$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.75 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed NC Dinos | 45c | 273.1$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.21 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x797b…3a78backed NC Dinos | 56c | 269.25$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked NC Dinos | 45c | 250$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.5 | 373 | 57.4%214 W · 159 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed NC Dinos | 51c | 197.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.29 | 260 | 49.6%129 W · 131 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Lotte Giants | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 280 | 45.7%128 W · 152 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed Lotte Giants | 52c | 149.46$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.72 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed NC Dinos | 48c | 140$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.8 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed NC Dinos | 60c | 137.51$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.44 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed Lotte Giants | 36c | 137.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 252 | 55.2%139 W · 113 L | +17.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Lotte Giants | 25c | 125.28$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.93 | 430 | 43%185 W · 245 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Lotte Giants | 19c | 120.84$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.82 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed NC Dinos | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 590 | 38.8%229 W · 361 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6627…000cbacked Lotte Giants | 52c | 100.77$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.4 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8dd…5672backed NC Dinos | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked NC Dinos | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…eee6backed Lotte Giants | 51c | 98.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.01 | 145 | 55.9%81 W · 64 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5f…8716backed Lotte Giants | 24c | 79.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe75b…b4f5backed NC Dinos | 50c | 78$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Lotte Giants | 54c | 74$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.1 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed NC Dinos | 78c | 73$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.06 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed NC Dinos | 47c | 70$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 1,299 | 50.9%661 W · 638 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x304a…05ecbacked Lotte Giants | 25c | 67.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 94 | 25.5%24 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed NC Dinos | 46c | 65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Lotte Giants | 48c | 60.32$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.78 | 403 | 51.4%207 W · 196 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Lotte Giants | 48c | 52.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked NC Dinos | 58c | 51.02$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked NC Dinos | 76c | 50.72$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 557 | 58%323 W · 234 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed NC Dinos | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 449 | 49.2%221 W · 228 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Lotte Giants | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed NC Dinos | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked NC Dinos | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x424c…82b5backed NC Dinos | 47c | 47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.91 | 193 | 52.8%102 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed NC Dinos | 48c | 46.34$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.11 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc26…5039backed Lotte Giants | 46c | 42.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee3…6d16backed NC Dinos | 53c | 39.97$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.79 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa80b…02d6backed Lotte Giants | 52c | 38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…268dbacked Lotte Giants | 49c | 36.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lotte Giants | 49c | 31.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked NC Dinos | 62c | 31.25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed NC Dinos | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 254 | 48.4%123 W · 131 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfd…038bbacked NC Dinos | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef2…fdb6backed NC Dinos | 54c | 27.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -4.1wins | -0.32per pick | 55cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Lotte Giants | 53c | 27.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 373 | 49.6%185 W · 188 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Lotte Giants | 48c | 25.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 363 | 67.8%246 W · 117 L | +33.3wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed NC Dinos | 68c | 24.35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +22.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…7df1backed NC Dinos | 48c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0287…a0c2backed Lotte Giants | 54c | 20.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 63cpaid | -30%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x170a…c8a9backed Lotte Giants | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x761b…e8f7backed NC Dinos | 58c | 18.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed NC Dinos | 68c | 18.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +23.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.