TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Liechtenstein vs. Cyprus: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$105,632
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$115,931

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,632 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Over32c8,512$2,759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,759.373,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under47c4,848$2,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,572.812146.3%56 W · 65 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Under46c3,927$1,818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,109.395242.3%22 W · 30 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Over42c3,696$1,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,549.2244539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under58c3,407$1,979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,427.494,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52a1…7833backed Under69c3,000$2,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929.991560%9 W · 6 L+0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over30c2,884$879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.1274034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6d1…286abacked Over48c2,644$1,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,270.4317447.1%82 W · 92 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4d0…8814backed Over52c2,375$1,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,233.173873.7%28 W · 10 L+5.0wins+0.13per pick61cpaid+22.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over42c2,226$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$929.883,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04f8…c9e9backed Over52c2,143$1,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,117.222552%13 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbce5…02f1backed Over50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006349.2%31 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf374…ce1abacked Under50c2,000$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,004.473545.7%16 W · 19 L+4.5wins+0.13per pick33cpaid+15.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Under49c1,904$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$964.338526.8%103 W · 282 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under60c1,740$1,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.22,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Over23c1,700$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39122813.2%30 W · 198 L+0.7wins0.00per pick13cpaid+30.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under53c1,697$899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$797.5413351.1%68 W · 65 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Over1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1530642.8%131 W · 175 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b4e…12aebacked Over10c1,324$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.9711238.4%43 W · 69 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-22%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Over32c1,250$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.0530431.3%95 W · 209 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd1f…9136backed Under48c1,245$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.043759.5%22 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over54c1,224$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.742,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0145…35d0backed Over51c1,191$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.7514866.9%99 W · 49 L+0.7wins0.00per pick66cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ef2…fdb6backed Under50c1,111$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.51154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Over54c1,016$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.5720262.4%126 W · 76 L-0.3wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54023949.4%118 W · 121 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x800b…152abacked Over54c999.96$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.982748.1%13 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under45c968.22$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.861,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Over48c896.55$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.5317629%51 W · 125 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-30.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2f…3531backed Under56c893.73$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.154238.1%16 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under47c804.77$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.333,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under46c782.46$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.873,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed Under46c752.87$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.6218435.3%65 W · 119 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d92…6761backed Over2c750$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.838254.9%45 W · 37 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x733d…cc26backed Over54c740.74$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004233.3%14 W · 28 L-4.2wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-32.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf12…76debacked Under51c660.17$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.488949.4%44 W · 45 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Over50c653.38$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.2624950.2%125 W · 124 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Under44c645$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.214433.3%48 W · 96 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over47c631.91$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29721747.9%104 W · 113 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over53c620$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.832,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1017…c669backed Over38c605.33$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.834858.3%28 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9916…bcb2backed Over52c600$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3122626.9%7 W · 19 L-3.6wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-44%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x26f2…1761backed Over45c599.98$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.9913850.7%70 W · 68 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20ad…307dbacked Over51c587.4$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30028258.2%164 W · 118 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x140e…cf85backed Under50c511.59$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.6516153.4%86 W · 75 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c2d…646bbacked Over37c487.92$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.57633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-41.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90c6…52bcbacked Over55c470.3$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.874949%24 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Under50c456.73$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.3785851.2%439 W · 419 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d7…4084backed Under50c440$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+42.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd881…af24backed Under46c421.43$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.5722450.4%113 W · 111 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under51c418.09$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.382,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x048b…f503backed Over52c379.38$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.28450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-26.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under49c373.69$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.3241451.4%213 W · 201 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc338…974ebacked Over54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20019746.2%91 W · 106 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x50e3…3792backed Over55c362.38$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.315549.1%27 W · 28 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under48c354$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.633,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a5a…3427backed Under45c350$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.531553%167 W · 148 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+34.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Over39c348.05$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.9863151.5%325 W · 306 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over32c340.58$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.2459453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Under52c335.51$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.5162452.7%329 W · 295 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over33c332.15$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.6110330.1%31 W · 72 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over29c324.1$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.9935658.7%209 W · 147 L+35.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+28%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0684…d1fabacked Over54c296.3$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16010832.4%35 W · 73 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c92…c646backed Under70c285.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.716050%30 W · 30 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7736…c991backed Over57c261.19$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.9513253%70 W · 62 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeef3…0547backed Over47c258.82$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12210748.6%52 W · 55 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under53c239.99$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.81,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc65a…2e83backed Under45c220$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1215232.7%17 W · 35 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-20.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7066…50e5backed Over47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012250%61 W · 61 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfde0…c21cbacked Over48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4939…9adebacked Under48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.332951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Under49c208$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.0817255.2%95 W · 77 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over46c202.65$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.641,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Over52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10414146.1%65 W · 76 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Over56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1121,00544.3%445 W · 560 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8fb…28dabacked Over42c183.33$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777647.4%36 W · 40 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf05b…3c59backed Over55c174.55$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9616547.9%79 W · 86 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under59c167.57$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.211,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdecf…caf2backed Over49c163.27$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8013653.7%73 W · 63 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under46c162$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.2384844.3%376 W · 472 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x232e…e9fdbacked Over55c160.58$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.321637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over41c160$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.616535.2%58 W · 107 L+15.3wins+0.09per pick26cpaid+32.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over7c153.69$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.094,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x630c…f294backed Over42c151$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.743839.5%15 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6190…5d90backed Under73c149.99$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.52965.5%19 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Under67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.257136.6%26 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Under48c146$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.9244435.4%157 W · 287 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over52c146$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.9240736.6%149 W · 258 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over52c134.13$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.758,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over55c133.94$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.4335549.9%177 W · 178 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9e7…4697backed Under61c130$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.7823440.2%94 W · 140 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06a0…5804backed Over47c114.89$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5410050%50 W · 50 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf40a…ea0abacked Under61c114.33$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.548871.6%63 W · 25 L+8.1wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+7.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2230…69e5backed Over47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471643.8%7 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe8c…639cbacked Over52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+26.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.331,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf2d…d3f9backed Under77c92.64$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.31560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-22.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under49c92.28$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.6890840.9%371 W · 537 L-64.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-24.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x46b4…72e9backed Under45c88.2$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.51922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-53.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.