Fifa International · resolved market
Liechtenstein vs. Cyprus: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4df3fbfc6b129475850b45ab75d13d3395ddbbd438bb2fb2045815b948de458c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,505
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,950
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,505 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fcf…e455backed Under | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 25c | 2,251$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.65 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 80c | 2,250$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 233 | 63.5%148 W · 85 L | +19.8wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 70c | 2,146$1,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.61 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Under | 31c | 2,097$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.97 | 385 | 26.8%103 W · 282 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 32c | 1,512$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.11 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 20c | 1,423$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.02 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa704…11c1backed Over | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 86 | 72.1%62 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 80c | 1,188$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.54 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3b…5a53backed Over | 79c | 1,035$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.29 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 67cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf374…ce1abacked Under | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 57c | 929.44$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.36 | 855 | 50.6%433 W · 422 L | +54.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 18c | 869.15$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.08 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 79c | 631.77$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.77 | 282 | 58.2%164 W · 118 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked Over | 80c | 625.13$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.12 | 594 | 53.4%317 W · 277 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb2…95e4backed Over | 76c | 525.03$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.96 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2d…646bbacked Over | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Over | 80c | 494.93$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.99 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | +7.2wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…97cfbacked Over | 69c | 458.84$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.43 | 341 | 22.3%76 W · 265 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…3c59backed Over | 66c | 403.32$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.13 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 21c | 352.46$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.72 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed Under | 37c | 295.92$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.55 | 137 | 36.5%50 W · 87 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2461…f240backed Over | 77c | 287.4$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.1 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…6fb4backed Under | 21c | 251$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.14 | 184 | 35.3%65 W · 119 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Under | 22c | 240$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 237 | 32.1%76 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Over | 79c | 236.23$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.61 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…925dbacked Over | 67c | 232.55$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.74 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 80c | 225$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 77c | 223.99$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.96 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…729cbacked Over | 80c | 219.27$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.85 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc9…ab64backed Under | 7c | 205.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +6.8wins | +0.20per pick | 6cpaid | +327.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8406…c2fabacked Over | 79c | 202.53$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcae4…cc88backed Over | 80c | 201.2$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.24 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f06…3e6ebacked Under | 27c | 174.61$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.41 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…7843backed Under | 10c | 155.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 236 | 45.3%107 W · 129 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 21c | 148.41$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.23 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fb…28dabacked Over | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb262…9b98backed Over | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 24c | 138.54$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.94 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 23c | 137.76$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.19 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc2…56a9backed Under | 11c | 137.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa96…fafcbacked Over | 70c | 136.26$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.88 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Over | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 224 | 66.1%148 W · 76 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef87…e853backed Under | 32c | 124.55$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Over | 77c | 114.29$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.29 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 25c | 101.02$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.51 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 141 | 46.1%65 W · 76 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Over | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 66 | 71.2%47 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…7e67backed Under | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 177 | 37.9%67 W · 110 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 67c | 95.43$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.1 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 76c | 94$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.76 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2d…d3f9backed Under | 21c | 82.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cea…371bbacked Over | 77c | 80.45$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Under | 22c | 76.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 176 | 29%51 W · 125 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde7e…564dbacked Under | 15c | 74.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 173 | 29.5%51 W · 122 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 23c | 72.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 203 | 30.5%62 W · 141 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 69c | 70.29$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Under | 40c | 70$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…3a56backed Under | 16c | 66.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x630c…f294backed Over | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 24c | 56.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 311 | 49.5%154 W · 157 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73ec…9659backed Over | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 29 | 79.3%23 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 65cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…5aebbacked Over | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb447…a929backed Over | 77c | 45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7dd…96cbbacked Over | 58c | 40.62$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.06 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb5…d972backed Over | 61c | 39.34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 78c | 37.39$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.29 | 848 | 44.3%376 W · 472 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7097…811cbacked Over | 78c | 27.35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.11 | 113 | 64.6%73 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…4b5bbacked Over | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 200 | 53%106 W · 94 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Over | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 548 | 59.5%326 W · 222 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x453c…b749backed Over | 68c | 23.68$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -37%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 80c | 20.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66f7…c691backed Over | 72c | 20.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 87 | 73.6%64 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x284f…f863backed Over | 72c | 20.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.61 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7c…4394backed Over | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…9945backed Over | 76c | 17.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16d8…3ee1backed Over | 79c | 12.78$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.68 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Liechtenstein vs. Cyprus: O/U 1.5this page
- Liechtenstein vs. Cyprus: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Liechtenstein vs. Cyprus: O/U 0.5Over won
- Liechtenstein vs. Cyprus: O/U 2.5Under won
- Liechtenstein vs. Cyprus: O/U 3.5Under won
- Liechtenstein vs. Cyprus: O/U 4.5Under won
- Liechtenstein vs. Cyprus: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Cyprus (-1.5)Cyprus won
- Spread: Cyprus (-2.5)Liechtenstein won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.