Liechtenstein vs. Cyprus: O/U 3.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86dd46fc892f2cb9dc27300fdc899cdead6ff160e752f20ddf2de3e1be59d266

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 7, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $52,027
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $69,844

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,027 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Over	21c	8,798$1,835 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,834.82	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dba…1d6cbacked Under	78c	4,765$3,710 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,055.14	115	61.7%71 W · 44 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over	11c	3,253$358 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$357.83	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	19c	3,135$598 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$597.6	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over	23c	2,603$602 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$601.83	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under	78c	1,614$1,256 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$358.04	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Over	33c	1,417$469 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$469.36	220	41.4%91 W · 129 L	-8.0wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf12…76debacked Under	68c	736$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$235.52	89	49.4%44 W · 45 L	-5.4wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over	32c	652.59$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208.83	80	32.5%26 W · 54 L	-7.6wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over	34c	600$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204	438	26.3%115 W · 323 L	+12.6wins	+0.03per pick	23cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Under	57c	595.62$340 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$256.12	130	59.2%77 W · 53 L	+31.0wins	+0.24per pick	35cpaid	+118.1%equal weight	72+0.20 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under	68c	575.69$390 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$185.95	765	51.6%395 W · 370 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked Over	12c	505.18$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.42	229	51.1%117 W · 112 L	+12.8wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+24.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x40a7…ecb7backed Under	75c	500$375 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125	198	25.3%50 W · 148 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over	19c	500$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95	454	21.4%97 W · 357 L	-10.1wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5145…dd71backed Under	70c	500$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150	140	51.4%72 W · 68 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Over	21c	477.73$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.43	631	51.5%325 W · 306 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over	36c	447.6$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.06	356	58.7%209 W · 147 L	+35.0wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+28%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under	65c	390$253 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$136.56	2,411	53%1,278 W · 1,133 L	+75.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc60e…33d0backed Over	43c	379.2$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.92	20	25%5 W · 15 L	-4.0wins	-0.20per pick	45cpaid	-54.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under	73c	298.66$218 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.64	1,204	48.9%589 W · 615 L	+18.2wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Over	43c	289.05$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.29	94	56.4%53 W · 41 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed Under	67c	281$188 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.67	184	35.3%65 W · 119 L	-8.8wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-21%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over	30c	274.11$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82	3,077	47%1,447 W · 1,630 L	-11.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x49fa…4575backed Over	34c	227.1$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.41	72	45.8%33 W · 39 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over	23c	210$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.3	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Under	67c	205.39$138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.58	374	51.6%193 W · 181 L	+8.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26eb…22d0backed Over	27c	198.66$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.64	291	54%157 W · 134 L	+21.1wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over	19c	195.26$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.1	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under	64c	168.63$109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60	2,380	53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L	+76.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7243…e409backed Over	12c	167.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	62	51.6%32 W · 30 L	+2.7wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under	70c	160.34$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.73	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe569…e759backed Over	32c	156.25$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	524	41.4%217 W · 307 L	+5.7wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under	66c	138.72$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.16	1,873	48.4%906 W · 967 L	+14.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under	68c	137.22$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.91	617	50.6%312 W · 305 L	+4.4wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3c1…13cabacked Under	69c	136.64$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.36	16	93.8%15 W · 1 L	+4.6wins	+0.29per pick	65cpaid	+47.5%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7736…c991backed Over	36c	134.61$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.46	132	53%70 W · 62 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Under	58c	130.32$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.73	176	29%51 W · 125 L	-8.7wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under	66c	124.99$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.97	3,731	51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L	+55.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over	30c	111.21$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.26	136	43.4%59 W · 77 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf05b…3c59backed Over	27c	107.41$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	165	47.9%79 W · 86 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	0%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9836…5765backed Under	76c	90$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.6	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	-3.5wins	-0.13per pick	61cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over	15c	89.96$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.89	1,711	35.2%603 W · 1,108 L	-68.3wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa146…038bbacked Over	32c	76.13$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.36	41	39%16 W · 25 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed Under	71c	70$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.3	156	55.1%86 W · 70 L	-10.5wins	-0.07per pick	62cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3ee7…f36ebacked Under	73c	68.49$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.49	112	53.6%60 W · 52 L	-4.0wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Under	67c	52.09$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.19	203	30.5%62 W · 141 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Over	29c	51.64$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.98	908	40.9%371 W · 537 L	-64.0wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over	31c	48.39$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	823	40.9%337 W · 486 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x95b4…7c3fbacked Over	33c	45.64$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.06	54	38.9%21 W · 33 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b57…263ebacked Under	68c	44.19$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.19	397	52.1%207 W · 190 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x692e…ffbdbacked Under	67c	43.06$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.21	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	64cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9663…5b70backed Over	27c	42$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.34	60	25%15 W · 45 L	-5.6wins	-0.09per pick	34cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe50e…45c5backed Over	43c	41$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.63	329	59.6%196 W · 133 L	+21.3wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8f15…a670backed Under	72c	34.51$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.51	190	69.5%132 W · 58 L	+5.9wins	+0.03per pick	66cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e73…9150backed Under	68c	34$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.88	83	60.2%50 W · 33 L	-3.0wins	-0.04per pick	64cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa529…677ebacked Under	67c	31.34$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.34	100	68%68 W · 32 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	69cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41f6…bc0dbacked Over	32c	31.25$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	117	46.2%54 W · 63 L	+6.7wins	+0.06per pick	40cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Under	69c	30$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.3	373	48.3%180 W · 193 L	-5.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9972…6d7abacked Under	65c	30$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.5	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-1.5wins	-0.10per pick	60cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8857…4b5bbacked Under	68c	29$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.28	200	53%106 W · 94 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa658…f93ebacked Under	79c	25.32$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.32	147	66%97 W · 50 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	68cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under	67c	23.63$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.89	2,796	56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L	-9.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under	65c	23$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.98	848	44.3%376 W · 472 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49b9…9613backed Under	76c	20$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.8	99	57.6%57 W · 42 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	60cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under	70c	19.93$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.99	2,327	18.1%422 W · 1,905 L	-363.0wins	-0.16per pick	34cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0xa402…d14bbacked Under	68c	17.91$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.73	146	53.4%78 W · 68 L	-11.6wins	-0.08per pick	61cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1812…c143backed Under	77c	15.82$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.64	40	65%26 W · 14 L	+2.3wins	+0.06per pick	59cpaid	+39.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Liechtenstein vs. Cyprus: O/U 3.5this page
Liechtenstein vs. Cyprus: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Liechtenstein vs. Cyprus: O/U 0.5Over won
Liechtenstein vs. Cyprus: O/U 1.5Over won
Liechtenstein vs. Cyprus: O/U 2.5Under won
Liechtenstein vs. Cyprus: O/U 4.5Under won
Liechtenstein vs. Cyprus: O/U 5.5Under won
Spread: Cyprus (-1.5)Cyprus won
Spread: Cyprus (-2.5)Liechtenstein won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Liechtenstein vs. Cyprus: O/U 3.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event