Fifa International · resolved market
Liechtenstein vs. Cyprus: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x368979991e7bfb590cdbc74cb72e7f29544082c4477c7b2b47b752d91ab8a992
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,723
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,806
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,723 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 76c | 5,829$4,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,424.22 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Yes | 38c | 5,195$1,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,957.99 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 12c | 4,284$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 316 | 44.9%142 W · 174 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 41c | 4,227$1,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,727.61 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 62c | 1,880$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.78 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 17c | 1,499$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.83 | 292 | 32.9%96 W · 196 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 73c | 796.97$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.99 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 63c | 776.88$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.74 | 355 | 49.9%177 W · 178 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed No | 58c | 603.45$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.45 | 145 | 64.1%93 W · 52 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8640…cdf1backed Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 37c | 523.44$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.41 | 472 | 35%165 W · 307 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 63c | 518.09$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.99 | 414 | 51.4%213 W · 201 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12a2…0e71backed No | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 191 | 58.1%111 W · 80 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 75c | 463.25$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.44 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 63c | 456.25$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.86 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 37c | 455.43$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.52 | 436 | 35.8%156 W · 280 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7984…638abacked No | 59c | 450$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.5 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | -15.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…d2dcbacked No | 72c | 444.44$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.44 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed No | 59c | 412.41$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.09 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -4.3wins | -0.22per pick | 37cpaid | -71.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 58c | 400$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2461…f240backed Yes | 37c | 381.9$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.67 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 59c | 381.73$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.51 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32be…6da7backed No | 62c | 308.82$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.17 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 37c | 299.08$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.6 | 176 | 29%51 W · 125 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…c55dbacked Yes | 14c | 242.8$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.07 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1e…9e97backed Yes | 41c | 236.93$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.14 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 60c | 200$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed No | 62c | 171.23$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.22 | 847 | 51%432 W · 415 L | +10.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 63c | 168.39$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.93 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Yes | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 524 | 41.4%217 W · 307 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 62c | 119.5$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.24 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 38c | 110.71$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.34 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6759…a913backed No | 62c | 87.01$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.06 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 58c | 69$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.68 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 36c | 58.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 165 | 9.7%16 W · 149 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1be9…8fbabacked Yes | 37c | 56.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5891…4912backed No | 80c | 51.52$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 64c | 49.5$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…a387backed No | 61c | 49.19$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 36c | 45.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Yes | 41c | 44.83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 381 | 55.4%211 W · 170 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…a670backed No | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 190 | 69.5%132 W · 58 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 59c | 38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 370 | 57.3%212 W · 158 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 58c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa37b…63a1backed No | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7885…1173backed No | 66c | 22.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Liechtenstein vs. Cyprus: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Liechtenstein vs. Cyprus: O/U 0.5Over won
- Liechtenstein vs. Cyprus: O/U 1.5Over won
- Liechtenstein vs. Cyprus: O/U 2.5Under won
- Liechtenstein vs. Cyprus: O/U 3.5Under won
- Liechtenstein vs. Cyprus: O/U 4.5Under won
- Liechtenstein vs. Cyprus: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Cyprus (-1.5)Cyprus won
- Spread: Cyprus (-2.5)Liechtenstein won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.