TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: Cyprus (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Cyprusof Cyprus, Liechtenstein
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$32,553
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$36,028

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,553 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9a4c…1f30backed Cyprus51c6,083$3,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,005.493754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Cyprus56c5,391$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,390.6731644.9%142 W · 174 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1fa…9c2cbacked Liechtenstein47c2,011$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945.395554.5%30 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Liechtenstein52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04085851.2%439 W · 419 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Liechtenstein48c1,637$781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780.6729232.9%96 W · 196 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Liechtenstein45c1,312$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.871,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked Liechtenstein52c1,161$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.816946.2%78 W · 91 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Cyprus78c988.35$776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.514,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f85…4834backed Cyprus69c951.35$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.274143.9%18 W · 23 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-20.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Liechtenstein43c910$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.326454.5%144 W · 120 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Liechtenstein48c701.77$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.7710744.9%48 W · 59 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Cyprus52c688.8$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.6238351.4%197 W · 186 L-1.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Liechtenstein46c686.56$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.623,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Liechtenstein21c659.27$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.8117629%51 W · 125 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-30.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Liechtenstein47c657.49$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.621,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb8c…6a99backed Cyprus45c653.47$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.416432.8%21 W · 43 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-18.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Liechtenstein45c624.35$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.4777845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Cyprus60c551.45$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.362,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Liechtenstein45c531.6$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.373,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Liechtenstein43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21537850.5%191 W · 187 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x800b…152abacked Cyprus48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2602748.1%13 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6d1…286abacked Liechtenstein50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.9217447.1%82 W · 92 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f5…c161backed Cyprus64c470.95$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.957038.6%27 W · 43 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Cyprus57c457.57$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.563,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91f4…7a5bbacked Cyprus53c445.81$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.531833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-37.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Liechtenstein37c435$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.0393542.2%395 W · 540 L-27.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Liechtenstein47c431$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.571,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Liechtenstein48c417.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.848,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8eae…f9d1backed Liechtenstein48c407.63$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.09837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeef3…0547backed Liechtenstein47c400$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18810748.6%52 W · 55 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Cyprus53c283.02$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.0251429.4%151 W · 363 L-0.6wins0.00per pick29cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Liechtenstein45c263.2$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.781,68854.4%918 W · 770 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Liechtenstein43c260$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.839951.4%205 W · 194 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c88…5463backed Cyprus52c258.4$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.42462.5%15 W · 9 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+26.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x85ae…5399backed Liechtenstein52c222$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.446446.9%30 W · 34 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Liechtenstein50c215$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.52,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26eb…22d0backed Cyprus46c213.91$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.3429154%157 W · 134 L+21.1wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5127…de1ebacked Liechtenstein48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012143%52 W · 69 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Cyprus69c207.96$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.472,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd881…af24backed Liechtenstein48c206.11$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.9322450.4%113 W · 111 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce5e…c0fabacked Cyprus50c202$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10121046.7%98 W · 112 L+12.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Cyprus53c189.36$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8961750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3e9…4288backed Cyprus54c180.62$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.43342.4%14 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Liechtenstein31c175.77$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.094,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0542…0a81backed Cyprus47c165.96$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.962254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Cyprus52c165.91$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.641,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Cyprus52c156$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.8837452.1%195 W · 179 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Liechtenstein46c149.99$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.51,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Cyprus69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9355153%292 W · 259 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89bd…3f72backed Cyprus47c140.41$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.81656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcc0…ca25backed Cyprus71c137.65$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.923234.4%11 W · 21 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f0b…5720backed Liechtenstein33c123.9$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.4222052.3%115 W · 105 L+0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdecf…caf2backed Cyprus69c115.94$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.9413653.7%73 W · 63 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29d3…ccf6backed Cyprus54c107.63$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.0117145%77 W · 94 L+11.5wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+19.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Liechtenstein34c103.77$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.242,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Liechtenstein47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4723949.4%118 W · 121 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Cyprus52c95.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.7641344.1%182 W · 231 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e83…3bb7backed Cyprus54c93.01$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.021,20632.7%394 W · 812 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Liechtenstein39c80.33$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6490840.9%371 W · 537 L-64.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-24.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked Liechtenstein43c80$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.417557.1%100 W · 75 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Cyprus52c73.67$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.365242.3%22 W · 30 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c10…5d44backed Cyprus52c67.94$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.943943.6%17 W · 22 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3ee7…f36ebacked Liechtenstein30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011253.6%60 W · 52 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39b2…9460backed Liechtenstein50c65.53$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.6935619.4%69 W · 287 L-21.4wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-27.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2458…bd24backed Cyprus53c56.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.617945.3%81 W · 98 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Cyprus53c56.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.631147.9%149 W · 162 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Cyprus54c54.96$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2831149.5%154 W · 157 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Cyprus52c52.3$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.135451.4%182 W · 172 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Liechtenstein46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.954859.5%326 W · 222 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b6f…4c96backed Liechtenstein31c48.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Liechtenstein51c43.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4470948.9%347 W · 362 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed Cyprus52c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.223453%124 W · 110 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…7f72backed Liechtenstein47c39.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.813745.3%62 W · 75 L-14.9wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb847…1974backed Cyprus53c37.49$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.495940.7%24 W · 35 L-5.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-28.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7288…19abbacked Liechtenstein48c34.21$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a20…d4b6backed Liechtenstein47c33.21$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.61450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa541…7aefbacked Cyprus49c30.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.611266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+31.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf4ba…10d5backed Cyprus52c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.46851.5%35 W · 33 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Liechtenstein56c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.824257.9%140 W · 102 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Cyprus53c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.176551.6%395 W · 370 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Cyprus51c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.5537348.3%180 W · 193 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c5f…0614backed Cyprus64c29.8$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.819150.5%46 W · 45 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Cyprus55c27.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2782340.9%337 W · 486 L-2.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57bd…1c8cbacked Cyprus53c22.5$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.55664.3%36 W · 20 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e9b…829ebacked Cyprus54c22.37$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3719540%78 W · 117 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x531b…da26backed Cyprus53c22.09$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.382365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf5f…2184backed Liechtenstein51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.22441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Cyprus52c19.95$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.5820330.5%62 W · 141 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fa9…9945backed Cyprus65c19.16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.716738.8%26 W · 41 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14b2…e75fbacked Cyprus67c15.97$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.19862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.