La Liga · resolved market
RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61a2b106a80547206fdeabc39ea40cccaa956abe1783dab438758a75eb992478
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,913
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,855
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,913 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 4,068$1,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,175.91 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 54c | 1,737$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.02 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 108 | 20.4%22 W · 86 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e88…9b64backed Under | 9c | 1,200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.32per pick | 13cpaid | +312.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5634…d81abacked Over | 46c | 950.99$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.46 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Under | 42c | 888.98$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.06 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 34c | 585.22$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.13 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Over | 67c | 572$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.43 | 61 | 70.5%43 W · 18 L | +9.9wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Over | 57c | 464.96$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.03 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Over | 34c | 439.72$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7018…290abacked Over | 38c | 299.99$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa9…09fabacked Under | 12c | 285.73$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.14 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 28cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Over | 48c | 254.89$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.35 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb34d…e1bdbacked Over | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67bf…f983backed Over | 46c | 239.46$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.94 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 45c | 223.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.96 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 52c | 221.23$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.04 | 118 | 20.3%24 W · 94 L | -11.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed Under | 17c | 214.54$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.41 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Under | 54c | 183.33$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.33 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed Over | 80c | 175.09$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.07 | 45 | 82.2%37 W · 8 L | +10.0wins | +0.22per pick | 60cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc582…853cbacked Under | 11c | 159.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.59 | 85 | 10.6%9 W · 76 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c0…fad2backed Under | 14c | 127.91$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.61 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +74.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 53c | 100.68$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.16 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 492 | 28.9%142 W · 350 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 69c | 87.23$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 697 | 50.8%354 W · 343 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Under | 70c | 66$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 31c | 64.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 74c | 64.59$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9e…c96bbacked Over | 80c | 62.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 55c | 61.82$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.82 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 40c | 51.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 72c | 40.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 454 | 50%227 W · 227 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Over | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef2…fdb6backed Over | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed Under | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Over | 55c | 31.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | -11.8wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb0…dbc2backed Under | 54c | 27.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 73c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Over | 53c | 21.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Under | 69c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.21per pick | 38cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Under | 74c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 3.5this page
- RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. UD Las Palmas: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 0.5Over won
- RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 1.5Over won
- RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 2.5Over won
- RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 4.5Under won
- RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: RC Deportivo La Coruña (-1.5)UD Las Palmas won
- Spread: RC Deportivo La Coruña (-2.5)UD Las Palmas won
- Spread: UD Las Palmas (-1.5)RC Deportivo La Coruña won
- Spread: UD Las Palmas (-2.5)RC Deportivo La Coruña won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.