Euroleague · resolved market
Basket Zaragoza vs. CB Murcia
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06f5e8d5e6c1036b881c8caacc611741b482d8651923a5c6a11f1a6770b4914d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CB Murciaof Basket Zaragoza, CB Murcia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,389
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,329
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,389 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Basket Zaragoza | 5c | 5,401$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.71 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaff6…d1fdbacked CB Murcia | 70c | 1,700$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.99 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 68cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked CB Murcia | 73c | 1,676$1,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.08 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Basket Zaragoza | 2c | 1,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12e3…7982backed Basket Zaragoza | 2c | 1,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Basket Zaragoza | 33c | 1,491$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.65 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef2…fdb6backed Basket Zaragoza | 30c | 1,261$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8f…d0e4backed Basket Zaragoza | 12c | 1,105$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.28 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5839…2c33backed CB Murcia | 70c | 1,096$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.43 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked CB Murcia | 67c | 1,009$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed CB Murcia | 75c | 715.79$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.93 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed CB Murcia | 76c | 697$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.36 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Basket Zaragoza | 30c | 640.9$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.45 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Basket Zaragoza | 28c | 499.98$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.99 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Basket Zaragoza | 20c | 329.97$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.47 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Basket Zaragoza | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Basket Zaragoza | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Basket Zaragoza | 28c | 286.17$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Basket Zaragoza | 28c | 204.72$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.17 | 269 | 35.3%95 W · 174 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…03e5backed CB Murcia | 70c | 191.69$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.07 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90d4…2deebacked Basket Zaragoza | 14c | 157.69$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5690…7a58backed Basket Zaragoza | 13c | 153.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80f3…0f89backed CB Murcia | 70c | 133$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc0…80cebacked Basket Zaragoza | 24c | 122.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Basket Zaragoza | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.28 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Basket Zaragoza | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed Basket Zaragoza | 30c | 90.31$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.09 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce0…2b8abacked CB Murcia | 73c | 70$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa8…53ccbacked Basket Zaragoza | 20c | 57.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Basket Zaragoza | 29c | 57.34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Basket Zaragoza | 32c | 53.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11a1…8597backed CB Murcia | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed CB Murcia | 74c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x764a…83d3backed Basket Zaragoza | 31c | 36.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a98…639dbacked CB Murcia | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d96…a1bfbacked CB Murcia | 50c | 27.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…4ad4backed Basket Zaragoza | 50c | 27.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbc…cd88backed Basket Zaragoza | 50c | 21.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x421a…2df4backed CB Murcia | 50c | 20.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4179…735ebacked Basket Zaragoza | 50c | 20.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.