TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Brazil vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$123,002
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$147,979

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,002 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb809…2004backed Under40c22,099$8,949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,949.265957.6%34 W · 25 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over60c10,877$6,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,376.9745428%127 W · 327 L-2.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Under12c9,291$1,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,104.8713738.7%53 W · 84 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over59c8,207$4,842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,364.6859230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Under11c4,501$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.7951514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0145…35d0backed Over77c4,160$3,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965.0114866.9%99 W · 49 L+0.7wins0.00per pick66cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30d5…36bfbacked Over59c4,069$2,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,668.4422639.4%89 W · 137 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bf0…72cebacked Under14c3,611$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.818643%37 W · 49 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under41c3,425$1,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,405.741,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under41c3,380$1,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,385.7129232.9%96 W · 196 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under1c2,824$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2421314.1%30 W · 183 L+14.3wins+0.07per pick7cpaid+135.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x75f0…2b66backed Under1c2,500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2529030.7%89 W · 201 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under32c2,181$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$698.552,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under28c1,908$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.523,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under25c1,855$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.494,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c6e…bd19backed Over59c1,421$838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.65922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-51.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under41c1,175$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.113,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7c7…44b7backed Over59c1,017$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.957943%34 W · 45 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf12…76debacked Under44c1,002$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.738949.4%44 W · 45 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under11c991.52$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.454,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over59c857.42$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.5441451.4%213 W · 201 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over59c857.42$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.5435549.9%177 W · 178 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4d0…8814backed Over59c847.46$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.463873.7%28 W · 10 L+5.0wins+0.13per pick61cpaid+22.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Under30c732.76$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.611,11449.4%550 W · 564 L+57.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Under45c706.71$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.9260752.4%318 W · 289 L+21.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under41c676.38$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.943,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7c0…dadabacked Over60c594.34$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.3411230.4%34 W · 78 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under14c570.09$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.272,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf984…24cebacked Over55c543.88$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.7510331.1%32 W · 71 L+0.5wins0.00per pick31cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over59c507$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.762,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under26c474.09$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.042,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xea16…4bd8backed Over59c468.36$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.032055%11 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over55c453.97$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.292,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under40c453.72$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.31,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9762…73fbbacked Over60c360.68$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.273171%22 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick71cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over54c349.38$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.832,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Under15c334.43$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4770948.9%347 W · 362 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3a5…cd84backed Over60c333.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.516850%34 W · 34 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x44e6…24f3backed Over60c328$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.215845.6%72 W · 86 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Over57c300$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12923820.6%49 W · 189 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a5a…3427backed Under41c299.96$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.9831553%167 W · 148 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+34.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b4e…12aebacked Under12c272$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9911238.4%43 W · 69 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-22%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under6c268.46$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.774,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Over60c266.67$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.6747935.1%168 W · 311 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over59c265.24$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.792,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Under44c258.04$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.239456.4%53 W · 41 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Over59c254.24$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.2411252.7%59 W · 53 L-10.1wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-16.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over60c250.85$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.3438439.8%153 W · 231 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04a7…164bbacked Under43c246.38$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.94633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1806…5234backed Over60c230.78$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.316258.1%36 W · 26 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a7a…6c9abacked Under13c214.4$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.244030%12 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick30cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7472…c267backed Under12c208.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2530%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ea9…5b98backed Over59c201.24$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.5118764.2%120 W · 67 L+11.1wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Under40c200.01$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.741,00544.3%445 W · 560 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0766…77dcbacked Under44c193.16$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.993221.9%7 W · 25 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under41c191.58$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.571,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under22c181.81$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.161,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b57…263ebacked Under14c177.89$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2539752.1%207 W · 190 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ef…9a9fbacked Over59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.495848.3%28 W · 30 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x014c…38ccbacked Over59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4928646.2%132 W · 154 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Under27c167.64$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.1663151.5%325 W · 306 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd254…9858backed Over60c166.75$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.759462.8%59 W · 35 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick59cpaid-3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb86c…b76fbacked Over58c160$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.210672.6%77 W · 29 L+7.8wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x155d…3ec8backed Over64c157.23$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.3525532.9%84 W · 171 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8428…3faabacked Under10c150$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49fa…4575backed Over59c142.37$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.377245.8%33 W · 39 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Over60c131.42$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.5731554.6%172 W · 143 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under11c129.82$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2885550.6%433 W · 422 L+54.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ef2…fdb6backed Over56c126.16$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.511154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ff7…bf32backed Under12c125.46$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4917460.3%105 W · 69 L+14.0wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6a07…9dedbacked Under12c125$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Under41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5051429.4%151 W · 363 L-0.6wins0.00per pick29cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Under42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016437.2%61 W · 103 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4aa7…736ebacked Over60c114.75$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.4522746.3%105 W · 122 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12ef…dda9backed Over62c110.37$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.943548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Over59c107.61$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.1637451.6%193 W · 181 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7736…c991backed Over60c102.9$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.1613253%70 W · 62 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over55c102.22$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d17…0d91backed Under10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101560%9 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfaa8…0d07backed Over60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404465.9%29 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Under41c99.96$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9912544%55 W · 70 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed Under42c96.49$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.4118435.3%65 W · 119 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Under40c95.78$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.311,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d0a…1bd3backed Under42c95.71$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405856.9%33 W · 25 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x947a…cd42backed Under43c93.02$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4030%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb602…1ab1backed Over60c92.3$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.38939.3%35 W · 54 L-6.6wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-22.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over57c89.99$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.6936329.8%108 W · 255 L-17.4wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Over59c88.25$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.1884751%432 W · 415 L+10.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over56c86$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.483,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8d9…1059backed Over59c85.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.0211952.9%63 W · 56 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37d5…728fbacked Over59c85.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.979752.6%51 W · 46 L+9.1wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe906…aa69backed Over59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.759660.4%58 W · 38 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e26…ecc5backed Over59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.754156.1%23 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Over59c83.49$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.2320330.5%62 W · 141 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under14c82.49$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4950833.3%169 W · 339 L-35.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-40.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x07e2…6099backed Over62c80.77$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.771637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x99c5…ebc7backed Under41c80$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.954938.8%19 W · 30 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-18.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over59c79.66$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.6612953.5%69 W · 60 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6134…c8ccbacked Over59c76.27$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2727254.4%148 W · 124 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.