Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Brazil (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ddb40e5acb1d51ec6afac60c5d1e0ae9e948d23aa87dab87b88b7892a14e477
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Egyptof Brazil, Egypt
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,873
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,687
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,873 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Brazil | 29c | 1,908$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.07 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74a3…3b73backed Egypt | 79c | 1,141$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.38 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Egypt | 73c | 879.93$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.85 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Egypt | 71c | 809.64$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.79 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Brazil | 21c | 750$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Brazil | 25c | 595.02$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.31 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Egypt | 71c | 501.9$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.87 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…99d3backed Egypt | 71c | 422.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.54 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Brazil | 28c | 392.7$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.88 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20bf…2be9backed Brazil | 29c | 349.68$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.41 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -8.8wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Egypt | 73c | 330.99$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.69 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3275…b8acbacked Egypt | 76c | 330.33$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.33 | 107 | 62.6%67 W · 40 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4c…67e4backed Brazil | 48c | 309.47$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Egypt | 56c | 292.25$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.59 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Egypt | 71c | 277.77$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.55 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Brazil | 29c | 273$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.19 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Egypt | 66c | 180.02$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.14 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fca…1938backed Egypt | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Brazil | 31c | 119.28$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.04 | 249 | 35.3%88 W · 161 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Egypt | 72c | 104.17$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.17 | 63 | 73%46 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Brazil | 50c | 100.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 286 | 46.2%132 W · 154 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb876…d9c3backed Brazil | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…c120backed Egypt | 73c | 95$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 374 | 51.6%193 W · 181 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11c9…1184backed Brazil | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…740cbacked Egypt | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Egypt | 72c | 63.2$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Egypt | 70c | 55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22e7…bfacbacked Brazil | 26c | 52.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0193…6db1backed Brazil | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Brazil | 29c | 48.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 203 | 30.5%62 W · 141 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Egypt | 57c | 43.75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 1,141 | 46.2%527 W · 614 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…51abbacked Brazil | 36c | 42.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +19.7wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Egypt | 71c | 40.07$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.62 | 481 | 52.4%252 W · 229 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Brazil | 49c | 37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 150 | 59.3%89 W · 61 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Egypt | 74c | 36.28$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe50e…45c5backed Egypt | 57c | 28.6$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 329 | 59.6%196 W · 133 L | +21.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadcb…c2bebacked Egypt | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 95 | 32.6%31 W · 64 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Egypt | 71c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 397 | 46.3%184 W · 213 L | -28.9wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…bbbabacked Egypt | 57c | 26.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.57 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | +34.7wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +61%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x03c9…d8c1backed Egypt | 57c | 26.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.57 | 131 | 58.8%77 W · 54 L | +26.4wins | +0.20per pick | 39cpaid | +82.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…a3b6backed Egypt | 57c | 26.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.57 | 142 | 60.6%86 W · 56 L | +25.7wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…39e0backed Egypt | 57c | 26.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.57 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Egypt | 71c | 26.7$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 847 | 51%432 W · 415 L | +10.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Egypt | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Egypt | 70c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Brazil (-2.5)this page
- Brazil vs. Egypt: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Brazil vs. Egypt: O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Egypt: O/U 4.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Egypt: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Brazil (-1.5)Egypt won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.