La Liga · resolved market
UD Las Palmas vs. Málaga CF: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf95ea522da1dc19e3ce807c875a9ba785ff240e1c229c5f55d2f38beda56b094
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,541
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,776
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,541 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 43c | 8,459$3,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,633.22 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb6…06dabacked Over | 44c | 5,927$2,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,607.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 44c | 4,501$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980.42 | 200 | 54%108 W · 92 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 57c | 4,247$2,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,826.14 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 58c | 3,910$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,659.86 | 403 | 57.1%230 W · 173 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Under | 56c | 3,107$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,367.14 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.4wins | +0.38per pick | 51cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Under | 60c | 2,920$1,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.01 | 228 | 59.6%136 W · 92 L | +18.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 56c | 2,099$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.55 | 417 | 51.8%216 W · 201 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 41c | 1,959$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.87 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32aa…c56ebacked Under | 57c | 1,861$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.08 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…d241backed Under | 58c | 1,735$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.58 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Over | 3c | 1,400$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…1204backed Under | 56c | 803.57$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.57 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x879b…1594backed Over | 2c | 613.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked Under | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d94…541abacked Under | 56c | 427.46$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 56c | 300.79$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.35 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 102 | 30.4%31 W · 71 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 33c | 289.52$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.54 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | +14.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Under | 56c | 278.57$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.57 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…286abacked Under | 56c | 254$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.76 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 40c | 227.5$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 42c | 226.78$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.31 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c4…8e87backed Over | 44c | 219.45$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Under | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Over | 45c | 179.04$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.34 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 41cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 26c | 166.7$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.52 | 444 | 24.1%107 W · 337 L | -50.1wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e9…4288backed Under | 56c | 139$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 23c | 131.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 42c | 128.56$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.58 | 754 | 51.2%386 W · 368 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 56c | 124.77$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.9 | 482 | 51.2%247 W · 235 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 44c | 110.32$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.54 | 440 | 39.3%173 W · 267 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 58c | 97.83$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.09 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x055f…b363backed Under | 54c | 93.24$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d9…1059backed Under | 57c | 88.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.07 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 43c | 84.54$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.63 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 56c | 83.82$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.88 | 697 | 50.8%354 W · 343 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 56c | 77.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.31 | 454 | 50%227 W · 227 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 42c | 60.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.21 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce6…9d69backed Over | 43c | 45.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 57c | 44.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.07 | 136 | 48.5%66 W · 70 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 46c | 41.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe01d…6365backed Under | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef2…fdb6backed Over | 44c | 38.12$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 56c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Over | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Under | 57c | 25.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 61c | 25.64$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 215 | 46%99 W · 116 L | -14.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 56c | 21.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 57c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Under | 56c | 17.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 91 | 67%61 W · 30 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Under | 57c | 17.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 35 | 82.9%29 W · 6 L | +8.3wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UD Las Palmas vs. Málaga CF: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Málaga CF (-1.5)UD Las Palmas won
- Spread: UD Las Palmas (-1.5)Málaga CF won
- UD Las Palmas vs. Málaga CF: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- UD Las Palmas vs. Málaga CF: O/U 0.5Over won
- UD Las Palmas vs. Málaga CF: O/U 1.5Under won
- UD Las Palmas vs. Málaga CF: O/U 3.5Under won
- UD Las Palmas vs. Málaga CF: O/U 4.5Under won
- UD Las Palmas vs. Málaga CF: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.