La Liga · resolved market
UD Las Palmas vs. Málaga CF: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x688f1d837e8a8084153d158df5cb96d838a12ab07f50ab629c677a9e9783bfd9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,809
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,451
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,809 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 52c | 12,018$6,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,249.28 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 53c | 6,053$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,852.72 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 48c | 3,802$1,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,977.17 | 417 | 51.8%216 W · 201 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 49c | 2,672$1,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,374.2 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…81e0backed Yes | 26c | 2,468$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.54 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 51c | 1,964$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.94 | 378 | 29.4%111 W · 267 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 59c | 1,427$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.7 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 48c | 413.99$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.02 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 186 | 53.8%100 W · 86 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 102 | 30.4%31 W · 71 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1e…9e97backed Yes | 51c | 288.75$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe906…aa69backed Yes | 52c | 240.15$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 48c | 240$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.8 | 124 | 60.5%75 W · 49 L | +12.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 52c | 196.19$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.93 | 440 | 39.3%173 W · 267 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff6…2712backed Yes | 52c | 191.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 42c | 190.87$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.99 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed No | 49c | 179.59$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.59 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 48c | 125.37$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.19 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ec…931dbacked Yes | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 67 | 17.9%12 W · 55 L | -8.9wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 50c | 72.38$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.19 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b0…fd60backed No | 66c | 70$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 48c | 61.9$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.19 | 444 | 24.1%107 W · 337 L | -50.1wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0351…d8e8backed Yes | 52c | 47.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 50c | 35.28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 198 | 65.2%129 W · 69 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 47c | 31.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Yes | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 117 | 69.2%81 W · 36 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6096…c7f5backed No | 48c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed No | 48c | 27.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 148 | 56.8%84 W · 64 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2d…d7f8backed No | 49c | 24.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce6…9d69backed No | 50c | 21.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UD Las Palmas vs. Málaga CF: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Málaga CF (-1.5)UD Las Palmas won
- Spread: UD Las Palmas (-1.5)Málaga CF won
- UD Las Palmas vs. Málaga CF: O/U 0.5Over won
- UD Las Palmas vs. Málaga CF: O/U 1.5Under won
- UD Las Palmas vs. Málaga CF: O/U 2.5Under won
- UD Las Palmas vs. Málaga CF: O/U 3.5Under won
- UD Las Palmas vs. Málaga CF: O/U 4.5Under won
- UD Las Palmas vs. Málaga CF: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.