La Liga · resolved market
UD Las Palmas vs. Málaga CF: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee0bec9b0ed762eda4c7b8b40e7b362b1e63db83bf8eab9efdb94f883c4d0cd7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,204
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,095
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,204 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbca1…dd13backed Under | 63c | 7,050$4,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,608.55 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.81 | 200 | 54%108 W · 92 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Over | 37c | 3,486$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.88 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 3,363$1,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,794.78 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 54c | 1,296$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 45c | 1,184$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.3 | 1,497 | 38.6%578 W · 919 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3b…5a53backed Over | 65c | 759.45$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.64 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 37c | 756.4$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.51 | 988 | 33.4%330 W · 658 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa704…11c1backed Over | 70c | 717.01$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 31c | 483.87$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.87 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…81e0backed Over | 39c | 458.05$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.64 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84bc…4aadbacked Under | 64c | 440.63$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.63 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Over | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 57c | 333.82$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.28 | 192 | 58.9%113 W · 79 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 828 | 44.8%371 W · 457 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 102 | 30.4%31 W · 71 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x675c…4341backed Under | 44c | 228.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.98 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | +14.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 69c | 163.01$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.48 | 2,339 | 48.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Under | 63c | 158.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe212…0409backed Over | 71c | 153.37$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.89 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 54c | 120$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 50c | 102.28$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.69 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd11…ecd5backed Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +23%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Over | 64c | 90$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.3 | 117 | 69.2%81 W · 36 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 47c | 82.22$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.87 | 215 | 46%99 W · 116 L | -14.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bdf…e663backed Over | 63c | 79.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x500b…b1a1backed Over | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 70c | 52.87$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.17 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 28c | 52.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 443 | 24.2%107 W · 336 L | -49.5wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 35c | 51.22$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…3755backed Over | 71c | 50.91$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.03 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.3wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 69c | 49$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.81 | 1,559 | 51.6%804 W · 755 L | -9.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf0…4eadbacked Over | 38c | 42.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Under | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 206 | 30.6%63 W · 143 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d70…d0a6backed Under | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…4b5bbacked Over | 70c | 28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60bf…ebb6backed Over | 59c | 26.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f36…905fbacked Under | 75c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 71c | 20.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 198 | 65.2%129 W · 69 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b08…ab3ebacked Over | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 69c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 452 | 50.2%227 W · 225 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UD Las Palmas vs. Málaga CF: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Málaga CF (-1.5)UD Las Palmas won
- Spread: UD Las Palmas (-1.5)Málaga CF won
- UD Las Palmas vs. Málaga CF: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- UD Las Palmas vs. Málaga CF: O/U 0.5Over won
- UD Las Palmas vs. Málaga CF: O/U 2.5Under won
- UD Las Palmas vs. Málaga CF: O/U 3.5Under won
- UD Las Palmas vs. Málaga CF: O/U 4.5Under won
- UD Las Palmas vs. Málaga CF: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.