South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Rosario Central vs. Club Libertad: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeae9bb07a804f7f882ae1c65403d914b6b1ea655dcaa058e7851a414bb22d98d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,519
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,985
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,519 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over | 46c | 19,551$9,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,033.51 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 54c | 13,603$7,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,316.55 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 54c | 6,808$3,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,118.99 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 46c | 6,522$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000.12 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 5,058$2,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,453.55 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 141 | 61%86 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 51c | 768.51$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.38 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 47c | 339.57$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.56 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 23c | 322.15$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.56 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Over | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 50 | 70%35 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Under | 24c | 181.29$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.78 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 75c | 180.94$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.14 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Under | 25c | 171$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.25 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 76c | 153.79$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.88 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Under | 57c | 138$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.34 | 196 | 30.6%60 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 76c | 131.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.31 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Under | 52c | 114.56$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.66 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 27c | 107.52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.49 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef2…fdb6backed Over | 73c | 104.78$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.49 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 50c | 102.83$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.72 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 49c | 101$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.51 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 42c | 86.66$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.72 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked Under | 56c | 85.4$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 44c | 85.4$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.58 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 45c | 83.64$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked Under | 24c | 79.17$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.17 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1b…106cbacked Under | 54c | 73.21$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.62 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Under | 54c | 70.62$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.27 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57c3…44b8backed Over | 75c | 66.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce4…da39backed Over | 45c | 49.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcfe…4b94backed Under | 54c | 39.14$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83de…1786backed Under | 40c | 36.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.85 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…8ffabacked Under | 49c | 35.78$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.25 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 75c | 35.34$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.51 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…4397backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a77…8b53backed Under | 51c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.06 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Under | 38c | 33.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.47 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1272…37e7backed Over | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66e8…c0e2backed Under | 52c | 31.56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd92a…31ebbacked Under | 77c | 25.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 52c | 25.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 209 | 58.4%122 W · 87 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Under | 49c | 25.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 197 | 61.9%122 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 57c | 24.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b7d…9b6cbacked Over | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 61 | 72.1%44 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Rosario Central vs. Club Libertad: O/U 1.5this page
- CA Rosario Central vs. Club Libertad: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA Rosario Central vs. Club Libertad: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Rosario Central vs. Club Libertad: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Rosario Central vs. Club Libertad: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Rosario Central (-1.5)Club Libertad won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.