TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

CA Rosario Central vs. Club Libertad: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$110,180
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$111,936

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,180 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb22…6478backed Over55c86,675$47,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47,567.4529446.6%137 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under45c28,462$12,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,653.891,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under46c23,617$10,775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,842.2310741.1%44 W · 63 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Over55c8,000$4,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,399.974339.5%17 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-23.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under50c5,837$2,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,946.388,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over53c5,661$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000.3317146.2%79 W · 92 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under45c4,073$1,848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,224.263,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under45c3,200$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,76024855.2%137 W · 111 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under45c3,079$1,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,693.4542962.2%267 W · 162 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under46c3,056$1,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,656.195,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Under45c2,400$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,32013059.2%77 W · 53 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under45c2,329$1,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,273.671,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under45c1,826$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9981,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6982…a165backed Under67c1,581$1,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.591154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-24.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Under45c1,422$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.223345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under45c1,400$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77016558.2%96 W · 69 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e1c…d8acbacked Under45c1,333$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.33757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under45c1,200$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66024053.8%129 W · 111 L-0.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under45c1,153$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.9965058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Under45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55023057.4%132 W · 98 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under45c800$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44019559.5%116 W · 79 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under47c723.89$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.821,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under45c662.25$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.7327855.4%154 W · 124 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Under45c630.02$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.5110467.3%70 W · 34 L+12.8wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+25%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under48c625.96$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.545253.1%240 W · 212 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under45c600$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33028851.7%149 W · 139 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under45c600$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33023056.5%130 W · 100 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9663…5b70backed Under45c573$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.154667.4%31 W · 15 L+7.9wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+38.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Under45c480$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26416559.4%98 W · 67 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under45c480$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26415857.6%91 W · 67 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under45c400$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22024956.6%141 W · 108 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under45c400$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22018358.5%107 W · 76 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under46c390$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.611059.1%65 W · 45 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Under53c320.58$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.4316349.1%80 W · 83 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under45c320$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17621358.7%125 W · 88 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Over54c288.54$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.8119630.6%60 W · 136 L-0.9wins0.00per pick31cpaid+11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Under45c280$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15421657.9%125 W · 91 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under45c280$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15420360.6%123 W · 80 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under45c270.91$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14947758.1%277 W · 200 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under45c222.2$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.2163657.5%366 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a6e…9bc5backed Under47c213.3$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.056656.1%37 W · 29 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-5.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Under45c196$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.822457.1%128 W · 96 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10031745.1%143 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed Under45c175$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.257748.1%37 W · 40 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under46c165.04$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.422,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Under45c160$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8822058.6%129 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under45c156$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.830754.7%168 W · 139 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Under45c155.2$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.3633266.3%220 W · 112 L+24.8wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+15.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed Under45c151.11$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.1112948.1%62 W · 67 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under45c146$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.32,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Under48c142.69$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.213049.2%64 W · 66 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under45c138.24$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.0334155.1%188 W · 153 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed Under46c135.78$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.2810652.8%56 W · 50 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbcc…edc9backed Under77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.87966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6628…b24abacked Under45c128.84$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.862962.1%18 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6afa…e227backed Under47c127.66$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.661050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under45c126.76$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.7257157.8%330 W · 241 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Under45c120$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6624257%138 W · 104 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Under45c120$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6615560%93 W · 62 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under45c120$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6618959.3%112 W · 77 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Over55c111.98$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.592544%11 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d5…11f0backed Under45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.111060%6 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x059d…10e3backed Under46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.74553.3%24 W · 21 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Over52c107.97$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.1942250.2%212 W · 210 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Under51c107.48$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.661,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under45c98$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.922853.1%121 W · 107 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over17c88.42$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6185220.7%176 W · 676 L-85.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa5ec…3630backed Over13c85.93$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.561136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e1…f17fbacked Under45c82.22$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.22742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over56c71.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4015041.3%62 W · 88 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fd…3914backed Over45c68.89$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315843.1%25 W · 33 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+18.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Over49c62$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3814844.6%66 W · 82 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0199…4e86backed Under46c59.26$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323053.3%16 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83de…1786backed Over42c59.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.934348.8%21 W · 22 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0614…ff8bbacked Over54c55.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308555.3%47 W · 38 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed Under45c54.93$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.2113465.7%88 W · 46 L+13.1wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+23.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2a77…8b53backed Under51c54.71$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.711866.7%12 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xad84…1897backed Over56c53.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012439.5%49 W · 75 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Under47c53.19$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.196056.7%34 W · 26 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcce5…7eb2backed Under47c53.19$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.195556.4%31 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under45c48.89$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8917049.4%84 W · 86 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked Under45c47.38$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0612755.1%70 W · 57 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Under45c45.61$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.0920138.3%77 W · 124 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3aa7…303dbacked Under51c44.51$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.755764.9%37 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick64cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under45c44.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4438861.3%238 W · 150 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe479…70dfbacked Under45c43.33$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.834533.3%15 W · 30 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-32.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked Under45c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2215359.5%91 W · 62 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaedd…ad5bbacked Under45c37.33$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.5328665%186 W · 100 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cfd…ba99backed Under45c37.02$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.361566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a4c…ad2fbacked Under45c36.79$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.233571.4%25 W · 10 L+5.1wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+30.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under45c32$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.617960.3%108 W · 71 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc353…30a8backed Under45c31$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.059936.4%36 W · 63 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Under50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9120958.4%122 W · 87 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5297…9d23backed Under67c29.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.853100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc82b…4a75backed Under46c26.09$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.09366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+30.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c7…d042backed Under70c14.29$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.