TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Spread: CA Rosario Central (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Club Libertadof CA Rosario Central, Club Libertad
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$49,300
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$50,972

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,300 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb22…6478backed CA Rosario Central46c38,267$17,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,580.5729446.6%137 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc95b…f819backed Club Libertad54c5,428$2,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,498.275050%25 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Club Libertad54c3,627$1,959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,668.473345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a54…7191backed Club Libertad54c3,573$1,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,643.745543.6%24 W · 31 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Club Libertad55c3,471$1,907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,564.218,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Club Libertad54c3,424$1,849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,575.0442962.2%267 W · 162 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Club Libertad54c3,292$1,781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,511.435,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Club Libertad54c2,886$1,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3313,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Club Libertad53c2,780$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,299.911,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d43…920fbacked CA Rosario Central49c2,151$1,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,053.75850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Club Libertad54c1,600$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73624855.2%137 W · 111 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Club Libertad55c1,298$709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.981,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Club Libertad54c1,200$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55213059.2%77 W · 53 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Club Libertad53c999.99$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47016647%78 W · 88 L+11.8wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked CA Rosario Central47c851.06$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003850%19 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Club Libertad54c700$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32216558.2%96 W · 69 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked CA Rosario Central45c600.83$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.9833745.4%153 W · 184 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Club Libertad54c600$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27624053.8%129 W · 111 L-0.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Club Libertad54c571.13$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.341,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Club Libertad64c468.19$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.1916349.1%80 W · 83 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Club Libertad54c463.69$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.6927855.4%154 W · 124 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked CA Rosario Central47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013257.6%76 W · 56 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Club Libertad54c400$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18419559.5%116 W · 79 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Club Libertad51c358.78$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.817049.4%84 W · 86 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Club Libertad53c357.41$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.9842250.2%212 W · 210 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Club Libertad54c329.07$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.3765058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Club Libertad54c315.01$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.910467.3%70 W · 34 L+12.8wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+25%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Club Libertad54c300$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13828851.7%149 W · 139 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Club Libertad54c300$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13823056.5%130 W · 100 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked CA Rosario Central47c295.91$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.0819630.6%60 W · 136 L-0.9wins0.00per pick31cpaid+11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Club Libertad54c240$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.415857.6%91 W · 67 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Club Libertad54c230.19$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.8916559.4%98 W · 67 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Club Libertad56c229.74$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.7345253.1%240 W · 212 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed CA Rosario Central47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008351.8%43 W · 40 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Club Libertad54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9224956.6%141 W · 108 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Club Libertad54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9218358.5%107 W · 76 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed Club Libertad54c190$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.47748.1%37 W · 40 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5bf…7851backed Club Libertad54c184.81$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed Club Libertad54c174.39$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.3910652.8%56 W · 50 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed Club Libertad54c167.76$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.7612948.1%62 W · 67 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Club Libertad54c160$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.621358.7%125 W · 88 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22f8…898ebacked Club Libertad55c156.72$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.27475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+39.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Club Libertad54c140$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.421657.9%125 W · 91 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Club Libertad54c140$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.420360.6%123 W · 80 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed CA Rosario Central35c133.51$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.781,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Club Libertad53c127.23$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.1763657.5%366 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Club Libertad53c118.78$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.272,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa96f…0cd0backed CA Rosario Central47c106.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Club Libertad55c93.78$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.9634155.1%188 W · 153 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Club Libertad53c93.68$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.7444959%265 W · 184 L+22.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x95e4…5134backed Club Libertad54c88.91$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.93234.4%11 W · 21 L-6.9wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-42.9%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Club Libertad54c80$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.822058.6%129 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Club Libertad53c75.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.3447758.1%277 W · 200 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Club Libertad53c70$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.95855.2%32 W · 26 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked CA Rosario Central49c61.98$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3714844.6%66 W · 82 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Club Libertad54c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.624257%138 W · 104 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Club Libertad54c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.615560%93 W · 62 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Club Libertad54c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.618959.3%112 W · 77 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Club Libertad54c58.78$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.1457157.8%330 W · 241 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Club Libertad51c58.06$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.4523057.4%132 W · 98 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe11c…c7f7backed CA Rosario Central49c51.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-40.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Club Libertad51c49$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0124253.3%129 W · 113 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6628…b24abacked Club Libertad52c44.33$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.332962.1%18 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13e4…dd71backed Club Libertad54c43.91$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.2250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed Club Libertad54c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.413465.7%88 W · 46 L+13.1wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+23.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Club Libertad66c38.61$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0930858.4%180 W · 128 L+11.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Club Libertad54c37.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.92,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Club Libertad54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0438861.3%238 W · 150 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x35d1…1f70backed Club Libertad54c36.98$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0119761.9%122 W · 75 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Club Libertad54c34.98$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.0920138.3%77 W · 124 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfee8…9197backed CA Rosario Central49c32.73$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.041942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked Club Libertad54c30.02$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8112755.1%70 W · 57 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x659f…04e4backed Club Libertad54c27.95$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.965156.9%29 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc1c…2bf2backed Club Libertad54c27.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.651675%12 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x089f…f599backed Club Libertad54c27.21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.52666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d6b…8ffabacked Club Libertad56c26.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.757060%42 W · 28 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed CA Rosario Central38c26.32$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1071619.7%141 W · 575 L-49.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2a0e…accebacked Club Libertad54c23.52$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.82966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+16.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7905…d0a4backed Club Libertad64c23.44$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.44366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+27.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dfd…aadebacked Club Libertad62c22.62$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.588350.6%42 W · 41 L-7.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-22.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Club Libertad54c21$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.6622853.1%121 W · 107 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaff6…07f9backed CA Rosario Central50c20.11$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3aa7…303dbacked Club Libertad54c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.25764.9%37 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick64cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Club Libertad53c19$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8820958.4%122 W · 87 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.