TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$205,131
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$213,409

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $205,131 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9c76…c926backed Under47c26,997$12,819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,178.591,29250.2%648 W · 644 L+18.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over52c26,754$13,962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,961.814,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Over52c20,000$10,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,397.5960451%308 W · 296 L-2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38f0…2768backed Under49c19,131$9,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,668.1414943.6%65 W · 84 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under51c11,567$5,862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,704.581,85153.1%982 W · 869 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Under48c9,527$4,531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,996.213,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over48c9,250$4,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,457.094,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6498…8910backed Under56c6,000$3,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,64051756.5%292 W · 225 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under52c5,737$2,958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,778.378,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x459e…7dd1backed Under50c5,400$2,696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,704.547047.1%33 W · 37 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Under54c5,054$2,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,323.733554%181 W · 154 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over54c5,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7001,06348.2%512 W · 551 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over44c4,839$2,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,130.6510,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b12…5ee4backed Over49c4,403$2,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,171.0628553.3%152 W · 133 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over49c3,487$1,723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,723.132,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Over44c3,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,32030647.4%145 W · 161 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Over52c2,830$1,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,471.727351.3%140 W · 133 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over49c2,732$1,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,343.531,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under47c2,422$1,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,285.845,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under48c2,381$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,230.524,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd60…396cbacked Over48c2,005$962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962.4919546.2%90 W · 105 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Over53c1,994$1,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,062.2617248.8%84 W · 88 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked Under45c1,840$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,011.9721242%89 W · 123 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Over52c1,800$936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93686653%459 W · 407 L+16.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed Over49c1,678$826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$826.1132251.6%166 W · 156 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under49c1,479$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758.3611,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under45c1,300$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.8412,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Over53c1,287$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.1191252.4%478 W · 434 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Over49c1,224$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60011652.6%61 W · 55 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over49c1,218$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.7350751.7%262 W · 245 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2bf…04d7backed Over50c1,140$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.894652.2%24 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Over52c1,080$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.789053.1%473 W · 417 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd1f…9136backed Under56c1,016$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.0513850%69 W · 69 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Under51c980.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.3987750.4%442 W · 435 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf58c…0b79backed Under50c965.34$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.466854.4%37 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x05b9…2adfbacked Over52c961.54$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003036.7%11 W · 19 L-4.4wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-27%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x09af…9728backed Over55c909.09$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50089153.5%477 W · 414 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x78b0…9f1abacked Over56c899.47$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50039047.4%185 W · 205 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa99b…52b2backed Under48c850$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+20%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under52c820.67$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.753,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over51c811.59$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.96,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under56c792.17$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.868,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Under48c728.99$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.0727249.3%134 W · 138 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Over51c710.68$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.1532850%164 W · 164 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Under47c640$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.241051.7%212 W · 198 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Under50c611.69$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.8528154.4%153 W · 128 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under48c570.2$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.42,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07cd…fbebbacked Under47c545.19$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.4643560%261 W · 174 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Under49c544$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.4425249.2%124 W · 128 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Over50c535.22$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.4565549.3%323 W · 332 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over41c531.16$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.136,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Under47c504.56$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.9830048%144 W · 156 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2409,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over50c480$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.082,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Over42c454.44$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.131,37950.6%698 W · 681 L-2.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Under53c382$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.549666.7%64 W · 32 L+16.4wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+36.4%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xb47b…c6b1backed Over52c381.15$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011138.7%43 W · 68 L-11.0wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over26c296.4$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.34,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over42c294.73$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.712,24357.6%1,293 W · 950 L+37.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over56c267.86$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15094034.3%322 W · 618 L-2.8wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Under39c262.06$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.548,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1980…3340backed Over42c252.81$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.1832450.9%165 W · 159 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Under47c240$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.241637.5%156 W · 260 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over41c226.42$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.832,58361.4%1,587 W · 996 L+70.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Under48c219$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.2978155.6%434 W · 347 L+28.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Under52c201.92$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.9263943.3%277 W · 362 L+1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under47c200$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.6699447.3%470 W · 524 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Under50c199.2$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.41,00148.3%483 W · 518 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Over54c197.52$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.581,20558.8%708 W · 497 L+31.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaab4…5a40backed Over51c194.7$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016251.9%84 W · 78 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Under51c192.87$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.5138353.5%205 W · 178 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked Over54c190.74$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1031,00052.4%524 W · 476 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under48c189.77$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.912,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under45c185$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.892054%497 W · 423 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Over55c182$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.11,13746.3%526 W · 611 L+36.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6717…d6ebbacked Over55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10037256.5%210 W · 162 L+1.8wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ef2…fdb6backed Over50c148.4$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.21323.1%3 W · 10 L-4.1wins-0.32per pick55cpaid-60.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Over48c144.06$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.851,04249.4%515 W · 527 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36f4…0eb2backed Under50c132.7$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.785949.1%422 W · 437 L-3.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8193…8c82backed Over40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc78d…0bbdbacked Under48c124.97$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.982941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under77c124$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.521,77758.4%1,037 W · 740 L+91.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over23c120.28$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6575344.1%332 W · 421 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd208…2751backed Over47c118$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.4617446%80 W · 94 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over47c118$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.465,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xad22…014abacked Under46c115$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.124749%121 W · 126 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba17…5c67backed Under48c113.67$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.577646.1%35 W · 41 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Under48c112$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.912,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed Under45c111.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.3447350.7%240 W · 233 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over46c110.26$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.893,45751.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L+108.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7dec…c92dbacked Under45c108.89$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.8910459.6%62 W · 42 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Under49c106$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.0625850.4%130 W · 128 L-0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e94…776bbacked Under47c105.3$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.2918444.6%82 W · 102 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under48c104.99$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.411,17249.1%575 W · 597 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc1c…debbbacked Under46c104$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.968940.4%36 W · 53 L-6.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491,27951.2%655 W · 624 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Over49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491,75350.8%890 W · 863 L+29.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Over55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5526747.9%128 W · 139 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd325…8c5fbacked Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5025260.3%152 W · 100 L+16.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6210…4fb1backed Under52c96$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.0814759.9%88 W · 59 L+14.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+19.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.