MLB · resolved market
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 10.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0fa7a0e5ab0793e4153ca47f497db21a12de51329b5fda81c51ec2d0a026c6d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,895
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,470
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,895 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 37c | 10,494$3,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,838.58 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 67c | 9,689$6,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,155.72 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 29c | 4,311$1,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,258.94 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6d…08a8backed Under | 71c | 4,194$2,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,216.4 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Under | 59c | 1,862$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.47 | 248 | 52.4%130 W · 118 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 41c | 1,320$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.65 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 77c | 1,127$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.92 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 33c | 908.73$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.88 | 1,737 | 49.1%852 W · 885 L | +7.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 63c | 793.13$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.24 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f55…8956backed Under | 65c | 703.14$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.1 | 148 | 58.8%87 W · 61 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Over | 38c | 589$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.82 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 65c | 554.59$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.01 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 71c | 509.7$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.86 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5a…7070backed Under | 73c | 300$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 64c | 300$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 70c | 242$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.6 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8073…c119backed Under | 67c | 229.96$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.94 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 55cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 75c | 184$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Over | 36c | 137.35$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.95 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1631…072dbacked Over | 28c | 118.43$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.73 | 773 | 53.9%417 W · 356 L | +35.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 64c | 92.27$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.22 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7885…1173backed Under | 69c | 60.05$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 133 | 57.9%77 W · 56 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Under | 60c | 55.41$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.16 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 33c | 50.92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Under | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Over | 34c | 49.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 597 | 49.9%298 W · 299 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bda…8254backed Over | 37c | 46.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 89 | 66.3%59 W · 30 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4788…6bc3backed Over | 35c | 46.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 35c | 44.49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5587…6d07backed Over | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 516 | 56.6%292 W · 224 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Over | 37c | 42.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 694 | 47.6%330 W · 364 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9af…f4f7backed Over | 33c | 42.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 65c | 41.43$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 2,310 | 52.6%1,215 W · 1,095 L | +27.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 35c | 41.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 674 | 44.1%297 W · 377 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…24a8backed Under | 66c | 32.9$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.19 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…90e5backed Under | 66c | 32.2$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.20per pick | 67cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xffd8…5069backed Under | 66c | 32.19$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.94 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…f6dcbacked Under | 66c | 31.7$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7180…aa45backed Under | 66c | 31.6$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.74 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5574…f9fbbacked Under | 66c | 31.51$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…cc49backed Under | 66c | 31.19$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x192d…b95abacked Under | 66c | 31.1$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…9cb2backed Under | 66c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8db8…4af2backed Under | 66c | 30.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.37 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2801…870dbacked Under | 66c | 30.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccb…d817backed Under | 66c | 30.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.27 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 69cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7763…125abacked Under | 66c | 30.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20b…6b74backed Under | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a04…ae3cbacked Under | 66c | 29.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4da…3261backed Under | 66c | 29.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 35c | 29.12$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2fd…8914backed Under | 66c | 28.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a6…f5d9backed Under | 66c | 28.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90bd…cc0abacked Under | 66c | 28.89$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88fa…bb82backed Under | 66c | 28.89$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14c7…b0c6backed Under | 66c | 28.79$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd954…5982backed Under | 66c | 28.79$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 67cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c47…8cccbacked Under | 66c | 28.59$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a6…575abacked Under | 66c | 28.59$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9eb…1dfebacked Under | 66c | 27.8$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2355…572dbacked Under | 66c | 27.7$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf723…7835backed Under | 66c | 27.7$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea4e…aceabacked Under | 66c | 27.59$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.38 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87e5…7347backed Under | 66c | 27.4$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 65cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac26…005fbacked Under | 66c | 27.39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.31 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdca7…0720backed Under | 66c | 27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42d…4d66backed Under | 66c | 26.4$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.98 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2655…77d2backed Under | 66c | 26.31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5e…8a41backed Under | 66c | 25.4$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb351…d62abacked Under | 66c | 25.39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.63 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x614e…f65abacked Under | 66c | 24.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9202…18b0backed Under | 66c | 24.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40aa…b99bbacked Under | 66c | 24.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x570a…fe3ebacked Under | 66c | 24.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86c2…594cbacked Under | 66c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7891…c020backed Under | 65c | 23.94$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c8…ccffbacked Under | 66c | 23.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…cbc8backed Under | 66c | 23.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f7…5ae3backed Under | 66c | 23.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b19…17f5backed Under | 66c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e37…ac4abacked Under | 66c | 22.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x812e…2fbabacked Under | 66c | 22.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 62cpaid | -34%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4c…745bbacked Under | 66c | 22.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03aa…4633backed Under | 66c | 22.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 69cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d8…f4f1backed Under | 66c | 22.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97cf…ad38backed Under | 66c | 22.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc52…5bd3backed Under | 66c | 22.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34f1…0ecabacked Under | 66c | 22.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.51 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2120…50c4backed Under | 66c | 21.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 71cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…e021backed Under | 66c | 21.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6b…13b8backed Under | 66c | 21.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.27 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…6e15backed Under | 66c | 21.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fcb…0694backed Under | 66c | 20.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3a…978cbacked Under | 66c | 20.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.83 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe991…a082backed Under | 66c | 19.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc20…dc0bbacked Under | 66c | 18.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 10.5this page
- Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit TigersSeattle Mariners won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 11.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 5.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-3.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-3.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-4.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit TigersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.