Bundesliga · resolved market
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86b302ef4cd116116e515178a116662a3bdec78df1f5d9a90843f39650deef53
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $936,420
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $999,166
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $936,420 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 16c | 99,787$15,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,965.86 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe26c…88cfbacked No | 16c | 76,966$11,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,959.34 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked No | 20c | 70,635$14,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,015.89 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +181.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4761…5ae8backed No | 16c | 57,311$9,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,169.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85e8…474abacked No | 15c | 31,369$4,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,710.7 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked No | 15c | 30,225$4,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,565.95 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…4bb0backed Yes | 80c | 25,375$20,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,075 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 66cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1350…0841backed No | 15c | 25,003$3,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,848.42 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 14c | 10,145$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420.34 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked No | 2c | 9,133$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.99 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…b3b4backed No | 1c | 8,023$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 11c | 7,768$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.27 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 15c | 7,501$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.33 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed No | 15c | 4,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked No | 16c | 3,944$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.04 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 1c | 3,792$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.14 | 60 | 10%6 W · 54 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +119.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2952…97b0backed No | 15c | 3,675$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf476…8cefbacked Yes | 80c | 3,500$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 80c | 3,312$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.48 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 12c | 3,166$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.28 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 16c | 3,024$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.89 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 16c | 2,930$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.64 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 3c | 2,821$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.77 | 531 | 40.7%216 W · 315 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 15c | 2,550$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.5 | 71 | 11.3%8 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 16c | 2,335$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.98 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 7c | 2,262$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.14 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 4c | 1,867$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.72 | 100 | 26%26 W · 74 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Yes | 80c | 1,511$1,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.2 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3d91…a5fdbacked No | 15c | 1,489$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15f3…c9d2backed No | 16c | 1,300$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.97 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.35per pick | 46cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed No | 15c | 1,277$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 16c | 1,072$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.18 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed No | 3c | 1,031$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…57c8backed No | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 15c | 917$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.55 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 14c | 869.48$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.73 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 11c | 814.11$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.37 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 14c | 774$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.36 | 125 | 60.8%76 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed No | 16c | 729.67$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.59 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 14c | 708.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.91 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc52…dfcebacked No | 16c | 630$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed No | 14c | 600$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99cd…8b45backed No | 17c | 600$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed No | 5c | 592.39$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.87 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc513…98babacked No | 14c | 578.58$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef2…fdb6backed Yes | 80c | 418.98$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 5c | 406.36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.23 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +37%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8490…ac46backed No | 17c | 352.94$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 15c | 251.5$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.72 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 20c | 240$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 14c | 238.48$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.41 | 264 | 45.5%120 W · 144 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed No | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 19c | 227.07$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.14 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 19c | 210.85$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.1 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee5f…5468backed Yes | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 14c | 199.96$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea54…8010backed No | 16c | 189$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 9c | 178.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 14c | 167.43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.44 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 15c | 156.39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -6.6wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd7a…7887backed No | 15c | 150$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 36cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 14c | 140$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c96…5099backed No | 8c | 126.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…ddb2backed Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +55%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…26aebacked No | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3211…bcf7backed No | 15c | 102.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c46…ce9bbacked Yes | 79c | 101.27$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed No | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed No | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked No | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc96…08ecbacked No | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc604…5438backed No | 16c | 80$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…049abacked Yes | 80c | 75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Yes | 80c | 67.88$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d14…f766backed Yes | 80c | 55.95$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c94…5a2bbacked No | 79c | 38.05$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Yes | 80c | 30.4$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a51…1933backed Yes | 80c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee6…fe26backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…0e54backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Yes | 80c | 24.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.97 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 80c | 19.51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed Yes | 80c | 19.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x097c…630abacked Yes | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc407…0875backed Yes | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Yes | 80c | 12.93$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.59 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x603a…6257backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d7…d801backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe34d…ad51backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6905…d0e8backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3761…c501backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6949…b64ebacked Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-16?this page
- Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-05-16?No won
- Will FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Köln end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.