Other European Leagues · resolved market
Beşiktaş JK vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ce4a27262efaf3b3ee26e3fc5ccc4c7b0346db86799f4a82d42225af1eddcb4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,919
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,662
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,919 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 40c | 4,999$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.77 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 60c | 3,920$2,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,568.03 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd411…7a18backed Over | 11c | 3,750$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.5 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +80.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 40c | 2,912$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,156.6 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Over | 10c | 2,838$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.8 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 60c | 1,609$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.11 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf07…e601backed Over | 15c | 1,500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.98 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 24c | 909.43$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.85 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 15c | 500$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 100 | 28%28 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 27c | 354.15$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.62 | 168 | 26.2%44 W · 124 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfddc…931abacked Under | 60c | 325.01$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef2…fdb6backed Under | 60c | 325.01$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 60c | 320.69$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Over | 39c | 299.1$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.21 | 115 | 20.9%24 W · 91 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x497a…883fbacked Under | 61c | 257.89$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.58 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…fc48backed Over | 34c | 150$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 60c | 138.62$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.99 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 61c | 121$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.19 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 58c | 77.66$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.62 | 268 | 53.7%144 W · 124 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…20bfbacked Under | 64c | 76.81$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 41c | 58.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | -8.5wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Over | 36c | 53.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 60c | 48.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 61c | 45.59$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 343 | 58.9%202 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 61c | 36.37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…ea66backed Over | 40c | 33.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 60c | 32.21$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Under | 62c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Under | 61c | 29.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 76 | 69.7%53 W · 23 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Over | 37c | 27.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 155 | 48.4%75 W · 80 L | -12.0wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34f1…5fd6backed Over | 41c | 27.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 72c | 21.68$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.07 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40aa…087ebacked Under | 62c | 18.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Under | 60c | 18.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Beşiktaş JK vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: O/U 3.5this page
- Beşiktaş JK vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Beşiktaş JK vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: O/U 1.5Under won
- Beşiktaş JK vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: O/U 2.5Under won
- Beşiktaş JK vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Beşiktaş JK (-1.5)Fatih Karagümrük SK won
- Spread: Beşiktaş JK (-2.5)Fatih Karagümrük SK won
- Spread: Fatih Karagümrük SK (-1.5)Beşiktaş JK won
- Spread: Fatih Karagümrük SK (-2.5)Beşiktaş JK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.