Other European Leagues · resolved market
Beşiktaş JK vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xedc41e37c425511ed30d8ae3b15750a796196f999f75578df03c76beba2092e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,299
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,085
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,299 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 60c | 8,508$5,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,419.59 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf07…e601backed Over | 43c | 3,500$1,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,513.95 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Over | 15c | 1,999$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.85 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 47c | 1,840$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.79 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 53c | 1,118$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.08 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 28c | 1,006$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.79 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 55c | 980.71$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.52 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…1204backed Over | 29c | 937.59$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.9 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 51c | 783.49$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.39 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 37c | 729.71$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.87 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…5018backed Over | 49c | 722.04$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.83 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 63c | 624.88$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.02 | 136 | 62.5%85 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764f…6b8abacked Over | 63c | 445.44$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.63 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x497a…883fbacked Under | 38c | 436.12$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 47c | 412$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.64 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…5854backed Over | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 53c | 399.85$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.25 | 343 | 58.9%202 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 40c | 380.59$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.4 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over | 63c | 318.17$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.45 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4a…e7cabacked Under | 63c | 309.64$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.57 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 49c | 301.97$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.7 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x016c…df21backed Over | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 60c | 300$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 37c | 297.8$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.91 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 37c | 262.96$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.64 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40b4…1483backed Over | 45c | 214.89$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.7 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 30c | 200$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 100 | 28%28 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…077dbacked Over | 40c | 198.98$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.55 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +8.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 37c | 180.23$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.54 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 63c | 170.73$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.56 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Under | 49c | 162.17$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.71 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0082…e801backed Over | 63c | 138.13$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.02 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…ea54backed Over | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 41cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Under | 37c | 99.98$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.99 | 182 | 41.8%76 W · 106 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 50c | 99.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.91 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…f3c4backed Over | 57c | 99.13$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 38c | 91.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.61 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x276d…ea8fbacked Under | 64c | 76.44$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 38c | 76.06$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.16 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 37c | 68.48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.14 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 37c | 68.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.93 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 37c | 65.67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.37 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdda4…b658backed Over | 43c | 65.65$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.41 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 60c | 64.75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 63c | 62.08$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.11 | 318 | 60.4%192 W · 126 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a8…daabbacked Over | 63c | 62.08$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.11 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b5…e85ebacked Under | 52c | 59.09$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…31b5backed Under | 43c | 51.42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.41 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +175.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 46c | 49.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34f1…5fd6backed Over | 63c | 48.78$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.73 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb9…2772backed Over | 54c | 46.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.37 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a98…3f93backed Over | 29c | 46.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 55c | 43.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked Under | 56c | 42.23$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.63 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Over | 49c | 39.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 54c | 39.47$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe32a…efabbacked Under | 54c | 39.42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.13 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 63c | 38.8$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | -8.5wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 36c | 37.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0079…b852backed Over | 57c | 37.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.43 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e24…24fbbacked Over | 38c | 35.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 75c | 31.48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 256 | 53.1%136 W · 120 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Over | 63c | 29.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 53c | 25.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…d6a5backed Under | 61c | 19.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ca…8709backed Under | 77c | 17.29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa7…303dbacked Under | 72c | 14.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Beşiktaş JK vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: O/U 2.5this page
- Beşiktaş JK vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Beşiktaş JK vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: O/U 1.5Under won
- Beşiktaş JK vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: O/U 3.5Under won
- Beşiktaş JK vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Beşiktaş JK (-1.5)Fatih Karagümrük SK won
- Spread: Beşiktaş JK (-2.5)Fatih Karagümrük SK won
- Spread: Fatih Karagümrük SK (-1.5)Beşiktaş JK won
- Spread: Fatih Karagümrük SK (-2.5)Beşiktaş JK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.