Other European Leagues · resolved market
Beşiktaş JK vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b820d6963935c037fe07124e30b5f4fb42de28f43eb2ee31f693e5d6688de7a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,032
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,489
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,032 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 7,192$3,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,539.68 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf07…e601backed Over | 61c | 2,600$1,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,592.96 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 49c | 2,116$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.2 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Over | 7c | 2,056$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.5 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc3…0b17backed Over | 80c | 1,982$1,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,585.33 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 53c | 1,624$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.82 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 57c | 1,015$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.28 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 76c | 999.99$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.99 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 57c | 854.56$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.1 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd58c…b339backed Over | 58c | 594.63$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 16c | 447.15$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.05 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 37c | 391.18$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.04 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Over | 6c | 381.61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4871…0742backed Over | 71c | 255.03$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.87 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | -5.8wins | -0.13per pick | 71cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 53c | 240$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.6 | 100 | 28%28 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3a…265ebacked Over | 66c | 228.61$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.82 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 52c | 224.97$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.48 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40b4…1483backed Over | 45c | 214.89$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.7 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 36c | 201.86$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.89 | 343 | 58.9%202 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…57b8backed Over | 25c | 191$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.75 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05e6…f081backed Under | 37c | 157.19$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.48 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Over | 50c | 157.01$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.49 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…60d6backed Over | 68c | 122.32$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.18 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…2c06backed Over | 45c | 109.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 44cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1155…2315backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 82.5%33 W · 7 L | +5.9wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 52c | 93.83$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.29 | 256 | 53.1%136 W · 120 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 67c | 87.78$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.81 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Under | 22c | 86.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.59 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 45c | 86.27$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.1 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 60c | 84.73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.48 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…28bcbacked Over | 49c | 79.1$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.76 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked Under | 38c | 73.84$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.79 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…31b5backed Under | 28c | 68.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.85 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +175.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x45b5…5b12backed Over | 30c | 59.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95ed…b7adbacked Under | 50c | 52.38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.19 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 37c | 52.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…4397backed Over | 57c | 51.27$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Over | 75c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 76c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…9e23backed Over | 51c | 49.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.24 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x125c…f50abacked Over | 39c | 49.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd69e…3393backed Over | 54c | 46.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…45fbbacked Over | 56c | 46.38$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.06 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 68cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe203…1b53backed Under | 44c | 43.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 59c | 36.04$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0664…f7f0backed Under | 48c | 30.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 67c | 29.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 178 | 50.6%90 W · 88 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 54c | 26.65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.23 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cd…ba81backed Over | 53c | 25.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8589…bd9cbacked Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff0…271bbacked Over | 57c | 19.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Beşiktaş JK vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: O/U 1.5this page
- Beşiktaş JK vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Beşiktaş JK vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: O/U 2.5Under won
- Beşiktaş JK vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: O/U 3.5Under won
- Beşiktaş JK vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Beşiktaş JK (-1.5)Fatih Karagümrük SK won
- Spread: Beşiktaş JK (-2.5)Fatih Karagümrük SK won
- Spread: Fatih Karagümrük SK (-1.5)Beşiktaş JK won
- Spread: Fatih Karagümrük SK (-2.5)Beşiktaş JK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.