TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Spread: Beşiktaş JK (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Fatih Karagümrük SKof Beşiktaş JK, Fatih Karagümrük SK
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$11,610
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$12,797

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,610 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd48a…6e90backed Beşiktaş JK50c3,988$1,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,994.169450%47 W · 47 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Fatih Karagümrük SK50c1,775$887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$887.382,01235.5%714 W · 1,298 L-27.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Fatih Karagümrük SK54c1,393$757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.614436.4%16 W · 28 L-5.8wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-31.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Fatih Karagümrük SK50c970$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48515361.4%94 W · 59 L+10.7wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+20.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Fatih Karagümrük SK53c550.08$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.5413357.1%76 W · 57 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+13.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Fatih Karagümrük SK67c531.33$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.787,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Fatih Karagümrük SK52c435.11$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.8527542.5%117 W · 158 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8709…7d3dbacked Beşiktaş JK46c420.7$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.523941%16 W · 23 L-4.4wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-22.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Beşiktaş JK27c418.39$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.971656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Fatih Karagümrük SK66c369.94$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.281,28250.2%644 W · 638 L-25.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa221…84e9backed Beşiktaş JK45c364.56$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.05333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d0…591cbacked Beşiktaş JK47c295.68$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.97560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+28.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Beşiktaş JK36c267.64$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.168536.5%31 W · 54 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked Beşiktaş JK47c227$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.6910248%49 W · 53 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Fatih Karagümrük SK50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1009644.8%43 W · 53 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Fatih Karagümrük SK55c185.11$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.31,71148.3%827 W · 884 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed Fatih Karagümrük SK53c184.64$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.784654.3%25 W · 21 L+6.8wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+36.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6fab…775abacked Beşiktaş JK48c161.47$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9787…37dfbacked Beşiktaş JK27c139.83$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.263842.1%16 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Fatih Karagümrük SK50c122.68$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.342,33446.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Beşiktaş JK48c100.92$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4422727.8%63 W · 164 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86c3…2020backed Beşiktaş JK49c99.32$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.462850%14 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Beşiktaş JK30c92.81$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2858320.1%117 W · 466 L-37.7wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-27.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf33e…0ab8backed Fatih Karagümrük SK51c81.4$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.891353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Beşiktaş JK47c79.33$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.294841.7%20 W · 28 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-21.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x72ee…a848backed Beşiktaş JK44c74.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.216750.9%85 W · 82 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0437…30f4backed Beşiktaş JK49c74.05$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.28366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2ece…0163backed Beşiktaş JK50c67.9$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.952653.8%14 W · 12 L+3.4wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+35.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Beşiktaş JK49c67.01$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5216248.1%78 W · 84 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Beşiktaş JK49c61.93$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3510543.8%46 W · 59 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x91d9…6c60backed Beşiktaş JK39c61.76$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.091957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee8a…69acbacked Beşiktaş JK50c58.2$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.13161.3%19 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked Beşiktaş JK28c51.01$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.055536.4%20 W · 35 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Beşiktaş JK48c50.46$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.227251.4%37 W · 35 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe795…d019backed Beşiktaş JK36c48.08$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.31560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae45…96b9backed Fatih Karagümrük SK50c39.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.73450%17 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76e5…af5ebacked Fatih Karagümrük SK50c38.8$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.41275%9 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+34.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Fatih Karagümrük SK50c38.8$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.416346.6%76 W · 87 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35d1…1f70backed Fatih Karagümrük SK51c37.78$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.369658.3%56 W · 40 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Beşiktaş JK32c37.59$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.042,30942.8%988 W · 1,321 L-41.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ed5…2aa3backed Beşiktaş JK48c34.31$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.471963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Fatih Karagümrük SK79c31.13$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.45,60442%2,356 W · 3,248 L+75.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7a4…31eebacked Beşiktaş JK50c29.1$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.551361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.20per pick41cpaid+59.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf875…256cbacked Beşiktaş JK49c28$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.722347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2d3…aafbbacked Beşiktaş JK50c23.24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6280%0 W · 8 L-3.9wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xfb61…25e3backed Beşiktaş JK46c23.14$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.641127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Fatih Karagümrük SK61c22.62$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.7925653.1%136 W · 120 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Fatih Karagümrük SK61c22.62$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.7934358.9%202 W · 141 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Beşiktaş JK49c22.14$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8323649.2%116 W · 120 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Beşiktaş JK46c22$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1249528.7%142 W · 353 L-0.6wins0.00per pick29cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56da…0438backed Fatih Karagümrük SK79c18.76$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.94785.7%6 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick78cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9aff…45fbbacked Fatih Karagümrük SK77c14.88$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.48540%2 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick68cpaid-45.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.