Other European Leagues · resolved market
Trabzonspor vs. Göztepe SK: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd4efcb000773ea5c3fb826104336df6a7f0b6da8e69d62dd88f2ba6766bf451
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,238
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,477
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,238 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 34c | 2,033$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.92 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e8…88a4backed Over | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc35b…6eb2backed Over | 71c | 848.99$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.12 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 74cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 48c | 388.02$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.11 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Under | 76c | 307$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.32 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Under | 11c | 201.96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 174 | 21.8%38 W · 136 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 54c | 180.93$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.93 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef2…fdb6backed Under | 18c | 171.77$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3c…84c5backed Over | 72c | 166.67$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 19c | 124.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.19 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 47c | 110.35$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.59 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 60c | 109.98$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.65 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 22c | 103.31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.71 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Under | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 78c | 62.75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Over | 66c | 45.61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d49…7cc0backed Over | 29c | 44.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.27 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 78c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Under | 74c | 33.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 178 | 50.6%90 W · 88 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 47c | 29.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 373 | 41.6%155 W · 218 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 74c | 26.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 140 | 71.4%100 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9132…6607backed Under | 73c | 16.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Trabzonspor vs. Göztepe SK: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Göztepe SK (-1.5)Trabzonspor won
- Spread: Göztepe SK (-2.5)Trabzonspor won
- Spread: Trabzonspor (-1.5)Göztepe SK won
- Spread: Trabzonspor (-2.5)Göztepe SK won
- Trabzonspor vs. Göztepe SK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Trabzonspor vs. Göztepe SK: O/U 2.5Under won
- Trabzonspor vs. Göztepe SK: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.