Mls · resolved market
Minnesota United FC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ce07e56df46174a8253229501111347b0e1cafb791ad5863a1745828264655c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,754
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,666
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,754 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 52c | 2,255$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.85 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 52c | 2,192$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.3 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Under | 24c | 1,956$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,486.19 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 76c | 1,917$1,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,456.66 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 42c | 1,474$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.01 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf07…e601backed Over | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 40cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a5…2cbdbacked Over | 28c | 999.98$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5f…cdfcbacked Under | 43c | 861.63$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…5018backed Over | 57c | 854.46$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.76 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 71c | 813.76$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.54 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Over | 25c | 700$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 62 | 22.6%14 W · 48 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 43c | 605.11$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.61 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d4…8e51backed Over | 46c | 599.99$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 24c | 551.49$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.69 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2831…e84dbacked Over | 66c | 500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed Over | 57c | 379.73$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 42c | 351.7$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.4 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Over | 59c | 300$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb48…6ad1backed Over | 74c | 300$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 76c | 293.4$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.98 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 76c | 293.4$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.98 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0764…41d1backed Under | 56c | 173.86$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef2…fdb6backed Under | 18c | 151.18$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 39c | 138.15$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.94 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6e…c865backed Over | 72c | 130.77$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 66cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3b…f353backed Under | 16c | 118.7$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +384.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Over | 65c | 116.36$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.63 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 71c | 111.11$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.6 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc3…0b17backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…3231backed Under | 56c | 99.1$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.6 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…f6e1backed Under | 56c | 98.23$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.22 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 63c | 97.78$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 132 | 43.9%58 W · 74 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Over | 56c | 87.28$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 67c | 81.04$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.52 | 287 | 21.6%62 W · 225 L | -29.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 77c | 80.42$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.86 | 192 | 55.2%106 W · 86 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over | 76c | 77.81$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.14 | 122 | 54.9%67 W · 55 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 42c | 74.4$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.99 | 392 | 34.4%135 W · 257 L | -47.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe64b…9cf1backed Under | 56c | 69.54$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 35c | 64.88$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.17 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…c5dcbacked Over | 73c | 64.62$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Over | 50c | 57.94$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -33%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…3235backed Over | 77c | 51.62$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce20…bb8abacked Under | 54c | 48.62$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.37 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 76c | 43.12$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.77 | 222 | 63.1%140 W · 82 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ca…c93abacked Over | 65c | 42.48$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Over | 76c | 42.38$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.21 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 80c | 40.45$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.36 | 205 | 54.6%112 W · 93 L | +17.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3849…00d8backed Under | 75c | 39.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc93c…95cabacked Over | 76c | 35.97$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.34 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2494…17b3backed Under | 56c | 34.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 76c | 31.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 61c | 30.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4359…1260backed Over | 56c | 29.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Over | 76c | 25.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Over | 79c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Over | 47c | 22.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Over | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…6ec8backed Over | 76c | 19.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 40 | 77.5%31 W · 9 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 76c | 19.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 248 | 59.3%147 W · 101 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Over | 79c | 18.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Over | 76c | 16.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x033c…b4afbacked Over | 78c | 13.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota United FC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Minnesota United FC vs. Los Angeles FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Minnesota United FC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Minnesota United FC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Minnesota United FC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles FC (-2.5)Minnesota United FC won
- Spread: Minnesota United FC (-1.5)Los Angeles FC won
- Spread: Minnesota United FC (-2.5)Los Angeles FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.