Mls · resolved market
Minnesota United FC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa29a19b2b5889c780c683e37cb51e329e9208c35c919b72756bbd3c1b5d1cf9e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,637
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,288
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,637 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 45c | 5,193$2,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,856.24 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 55c | 4,600$2,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,529.8 | 190 | 44.7%85 W · 105 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 50c | 2,327$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160.8 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 55c | 2,013$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.72 | 278 | 37.8%105 W · 173 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5f…cdfcbacked Under | 55c | 1,749$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc952…3c89backed Over | 44c | 1,557$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 52c | 1,453$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.46 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…5058backed Over | 47c | 1,443$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.73 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…5018backed Over | 69c | 1,254$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Over | 22c | 1,200$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.99 | 62 | 22.6%14 W · 48 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 76c | 896.5$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.95 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 45c | 766.65$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.41 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 45c | 758.9$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.39 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 48c | 686.9$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.01 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Under | 78c | 624.6$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.41 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 48c | 600.46$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.74 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +152.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 23c | 521.15$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.29 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -5.7wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d4…8e51backed Over | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 50c | 475.66$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.12 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf07…e601backed Over | 52c | 451$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.26 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 40cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb408…e303backed Over | 55c | 442.27$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 51c | 384.83$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.58 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 45c | 323$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.65 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Over | 53c | 300$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.08 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 28c | 242.94$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.19 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc4…5a94backed Under | 45c | 202.88$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.58 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2831…e84dbacked Over | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Under | 65c | 186.01$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.1 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa78d…130bbacked Over | 68c | 144.24$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x550e…0840backed Over | 46c | 135.76$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Over | 45c | 109.2$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.14 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ca…c93abacked Over | 38c | 101.35$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe2…6829backed Under | 30c | 95.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 27c | 95.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.82 | 132 | 43.9%58 W · 74 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 71c | 85.8$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.92 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8701…2075backed Over | 64c | 84.08$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.81 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 66c | 79.74$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.94 | 392 | 34.4%135 W · 257 L | -47.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc454…8c31backed Under | 31c | 74.21$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.21 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 60c | 73$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 311 | 58.5%182 W · 129 L | +27.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3b…f353backed Under | 29c | 66.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +384.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 46c | 66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…9487backed Under | 36c | 61.82$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.33 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3711…7339backed Over | 43c | 56.15$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over | 67c | 55.59$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.24 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Over | 46c | 52.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 55c | 47.85$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.27 | 167 | 44.3%74 W · 93 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfde…8ad8backed Under | 78c | 46.81$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 45c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ed…b7adbacked Over | 55c | 44.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 55c | 44.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.33 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a8…daabbacked Over | 46c | 42.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -6.2wins | -0.21per pick | 57cpaid | -38%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 46c | 41.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.47 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -7.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30a5…ae72backed Over | 39c | 39.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 66c | 32.69$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -10.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -43%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce1…2f49backed Under | 63c | 30.28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Over | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x464a…d107backed Over | 51c | 29.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…c9a8backed Under | 54c | 27.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 54c | 27.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Over | 56c | 26.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 59c | 25.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Under | 45c | 23.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67b3…13edbacked Under | 52c | 23.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 68c | 22.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 73c | 19.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -11.4wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota United FC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Minnesota United FC vs. Los Angeles FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Minnesota United FC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Minnesota United FC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Minnesota United FC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles FC (-2.5)Minnesota United FC won
- Spread: Minnesota United FC (-1.5)Los Angeles FC won
- Spread: Minnesota United FC (-2.5)Los Angeles FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.