MLB · resolved market
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb72c969f5c48b648cef3d3d797431c373fae5ee0c9d452d792192715b0066ef2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arizona Diamondbacksof Chicago Cubs, Arizona Diamondbacks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,478
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,400
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,478 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…f328backed Chicago Cubs | 40c | 7,249$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,899.63 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Chicago Cubs | 74c | 6,845$5,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,058.7 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 61c | 5,012$3,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,954.8 | 1,301 | 50.2%653 W · 648 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 64c | 3,432$2,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,233.42 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 61c | 2,067$1,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.02 | 1,538 | 48.6%747 W · 791 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Chicago Cubs | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 149 | 24.2%36 W · 113 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 60c | 1,987$1,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.33 | 657 | 49.2%323 W · 334 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Chicago Cubs | 39c | 1,894$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.65 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 25c | 1,844$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,376.53 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Chicago Cubs | 71c | 1,545$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.74 | 252 | 66.3%167 W · 85 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 39c | 1,296$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.34 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 1,188$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.86 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 61c | 1,160$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.03 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 60c | 1,100$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Chicago Cubs | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Chicago Cubs | 22c | 783.33$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.33 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…bb62backed Chicago Cubs | 39c | 782.62$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.22 | 165 | 43%71 W · 94 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed Chicago Cubs | 39c | 769.23$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 293 | 31.7%93 W · 200 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 61c | 508.03$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.13 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 60c | 402.42$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.94 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Chicago Cubs | 65c | 379.09$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6672…9ea3backed Chicago Cubs | 40c | 375$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 61c | 367.99$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.52 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 55c | 341.69$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.14 | 401 | 48.1%193 W · 208 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45dd…7b56backed Chicago Cubs | 38c | 271.05$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 62c | 260.79$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.1 | 674 | 44.1%297 W · 377 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Chicago Cubs | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 569 | 46.9%267 W · 302 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Chicago Cubs | 40c | 251.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.12 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 234.22$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.68 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Chicago Cubs | 38c | 209.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 496 | 49.8%247 W · 249 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e1…7e55backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…7fafbacked Chicago Cubs | 38c | 192.11$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 478 | 49%234 W · 244 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 61c | 192.06$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.9 | 1,845 | 50.7%936 W · 909 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d28…ad43backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 190.66$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.78 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 183.3$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.24 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Chicago Cubs | 65c | 158.68$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.1 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 62c | 151.61$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.61 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 61c | 150$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Chicago Cubs | 39c | 140$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 29c | 123.68$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.25 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d00…7507backed Chicago Cubs | 39c | 119.08$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.44 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Chicago Cubs | 73c | 113.7$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.26 | 1,728 | 50.4%871 W · 857 L | +57.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Chicago Cubs | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 799 | 43.2%345 W · 454 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeba1…44dfbacked Chicago Cubs | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Chicago Cubs | 37c | 99.97$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.99 | 373 | 57.4%214 W · 159 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 98.1$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 393 | 44.3%174 W · 219 L | -22.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0857…5bedbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 63c | 95.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.24 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 27c | 87.32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.96 | 194 | 42.3%82 W · 112 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Chicago Cubs | 48c | 84.4$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.78 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 81$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.24 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x473e…c0f6backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 25c | 73.74$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.14 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 60c | 71.25$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.15 | 2,995 | 47.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L | +12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Chicago Cubs | 38c | 70$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 53c | 67.92$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Chicago Cubs | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 66c | 61.37$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Chicago Cubs | 38c | 60.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.84 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef2…fdb6backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 62c | 55$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -4.1wins | -0.32per pick | 55cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7307…b257backed Chicago Cubs | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 53c | 50.93$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 2,588 | 61.5%1,591 W · 997 L | +72.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 50.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb684…343cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 62c | 49.92$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 143 | 53.1%76 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Chicago Cubs | 38c | 49.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 736 | 50.7%373 W · 363 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5410…dcc7backed Chicago Cubs | 38c | 49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 121 | 28.1%34 W · 87 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 37.36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.37 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 77c | 36.72$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 2,546 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,378 L | -74.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 78c | 36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Chicago Cubs | 54c | 35.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 273 | 54.6%149 W · 124 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…5487backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 64c | 33.63$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 62c | 33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 62c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 213 | 53.5%114 W · 99 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed Chicago Cubs | 39c | 27.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 848 | 40.2%341 W · 507 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 23.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Chicago Cubs | 62c | 22.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 21.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 207 | 64.7%134 W · 73 L | +21.2wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb779…ab22backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 62c | 21.14$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 62c | 19.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.51 | 306 | 52%159 W · 147 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fce…6476backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 63c | 19.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +4.8wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7198…4213backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 62c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)this page
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago CubsChicago Cubs won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 11.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 13.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 6.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-3.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago CubsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.